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NFL

Alec Pierce

IND

Value call

Alec Pierce has one live pick today: over 29.5 receiving yards that pays $136 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
93 in 100
Predicted
55.0 receiving yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 93.0% · before adjusting for past results 93.0% · the book's price implies 73.5% · gap +19.5%.

Latest Model PickFree
Baltimore Ravens @ Indianapolis Colts
Indianapolis · Indoor
Sun 13 Sep, 1:00 PM ET
Alec Pierce
over 29.5 receiving yards
Receiving Yards (Alt) Over 29.5 -278 (1.36) · $100→$136
Value call
HIGHWins about 93 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$13.60 Odds-278
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Alec Pierce is Over 29.5 on Receiving Yards (Alt).
On Receiving Yards (Alt), our numbers say this bet wins about 93 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 93%, the price says 74%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 12, 1:15AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receiving Yards (Alt)93.0%93.0%73.5%1.36+19.5%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

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AI Analysis

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Alec Pierce (IND) Over 29.5 Player reception yds alternate (-278)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Indianapolis Colts play Baltimore Ravens in the NFL on Sunday 13 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Alec Pierce (IND) Over 29.5 Player reception yds alternate. It was priced at -278 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $13.60 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Receiving Yards81 lines trackedNo line posted
46.5typical line · receiving yds
line range9.5–49.5model over64%tips tracked81

Alec Pierce's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 81 times, typically around a 46.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receptions2 lines trackedNo line posted
2.5typical line · receptions
line range2.5–2.5tips tracked2

Alec Pierce's NFL receptions prop has been priced 2 times, typically around a 2.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Anytime TD1 line trackedNo line posted
35%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked1

Alec Pierce's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 1 time, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 35%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
13 Sep 26 Baltimore Ravens @ Indianapolis Colts Receiving Yards (Alt) 29.5 Over -278 ✓ HIT
13 Sep 26 Baltimore Ravens @ Indianapolis Colts Receiving Yards (Alt) 24.5 Over -345 ✓ HIT
13 Sep 26 Baltimore Ravens @ Indianapolis Colts Receptions 2.5 Under +120 ✗ MISS
13 Sep 26 Baltimore Ravens @ Indianapolis Colts Receiving Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
13 Sep 26 Baltimore Ravens @ Indianapolis Colts Receiving Yards — — — Pending
13 Sep 26 Baltimore Ravens @ Indianapolis Colts Receiving Yards (Alt) — — — Pending

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About This Player

Alec Pierce (IND) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Alec Pierce is Over 29.5 on Receiving Yards (Alt). The model identifies a strong positive edge of +19.5% on this pick. Their next game is Baltimore Ravens vs Indianapolis Colts on Sunday 13 September at Indianapolis. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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