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NFL

Alec Pierce

IND

+14.2% Edge
Latest Pick
Receiving Yards Under 20.5 -112 (1.89)
+14.2% Edge
San Francisco 49ers @ Indianapolis Colts
Indianapolis
Model Probability
67.1%
Implied Probability
52.9%
Model Edge
+14.2%
Predicted Value

AI Analysis

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Alec Pierce (IND) Under 20.5 Receiving Yards (-112)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The betting rationale for Alec Pierce to go under 20.5 in the 'player_reception_yds' market is largely based on his recent performance and hit rate trends. Pierce has been struggling to achieve this mark consistently, as shown by his overall hit rate, which stands at 16 out of 61 attempts. This translates to a hit rate of approximately 26%, implying that he has failed to surpass 20.5 yards in about 74% of his games. His performance at home games is slightly better with a hit rate of 7 out of 30, about 23%, but still below par. In his last 20 overall and home games, he has only surpassed the 20.5 yards mark 2 and 5 times respectively. His current hit streak for both overall and home games is at zero, indicating his recent struggles. Therefore, betting under 20.5 yards seems to be a statistically grounded decision.

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Pick History & Track Record

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