Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Alec Pierce is Under 20.5 on Receiving Yards.
On Receiving Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 67 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 67%, implied 53%, edge +14.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 30, 8:41PM UTC
NFL

Alec Pierce

IND

+14.2% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Receiving Yards Under 20.5 -112 (1.89) · $100→$189
+14.2% Edge
San Francisco 49ers @ Indianapolis Colts
Indianapolis · Indoor
QUESTIONABLESeason pending
Pierce (ankle) is working out prior to Saturday's preseason game against the Lions but will not play, Mike Chappell of Fox 59 News Indianapolis reports.
updated Aug 29, 4:42PM UTC · 1d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
67 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 67.1% · the book's price implies 52.9% · gap +14.2%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receiving Yards67.1%52.9%1.49+14.2%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan — less than one $50 bet a week · cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Alec Pierce (IND) Under 20.5 Receiving Yards (-112)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The betting rationale for Alec Pierce to go under 20.5 in the 'player_reception_yds' market is largely based on his recent performance and hit rate trends. Pierce has been struggling to achieve this mark consistently, as shown by his overall hit rate, which stands at 16 out of 61 attempts. This translates to a hit rate of approximately 26%, implying that he has failed to surpass 20.5 yards in about 74% of his games. His performance at home games is slightly better with a hit rate of 7 out of 30, about 23%, but still below par. In his last 20 overall and home games, he has only surpassed the 20.5 yards mark 2 and 5 times respectively. His current hit streak for both overall and home games is at zero, indicating his recent struggles. Therefore, betting under 20.5 yards seems to be a statistically grounded decision.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — the match-up read, the key numbers and how sure it is — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Receiving Yards1 line trackedNo line posted
20.5typical line · receiving yds
tips tracked1

Alec Pierce's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 1 time, typically around a 20.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Alec Pierce (IND) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Alec Pierce is Under 20.5 on Receiving Yards. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +14.2% on this pick. Their next game is San Francisco 49ers vs Indianapolis Colts at Indianapolis. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.