Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Roy Alexander is Under 3.5 on Passing Yards.
On the Passing Yards market the model assigns a calibrated win probability of 53%, versus the book's implied 52%, for a model edge of +2.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 5:29PM UTC
NCAAF
Roy Alexander
Incarnate Word
Latest Model Pick
Passing Yards
Under 3.5
-110 (1.91) · $100→$191
+2.7% Edge
Villanova
@
Incarnate Word
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
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Implied Probability
52.4%
Predicted Value
1.3 Passing Yards
| Market | Model | Calibrated | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Passing Yards | 52.7% | 52.7% | 52.4% | 2.00 | +2.7% |
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| Window | Hit Rate |
|---|
| Last 3 games | 0/0 |
| Last 5 games | 0/0 |
| Last 10 games | 0/0 |
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| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
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Roy Alexander (Incarnate Word) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The latest model pick for Roy Alexander is Under 3.5 on Passing Yards. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.7% on this pick. Their next game is Villanova vs Incarnate Word on Saturday 7 December. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.
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