Expert analysis and top MLB betting picks for Miami Marlins vs San Diego Padres. Featuring picks like NA props. Discover same game parlay, SGP picks, MLB parlay odds, baseball parlay.
Jackson Merrill (SDP) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-1111)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on Jackson Merrill for Under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market is a solid choice based on his recent performance data. Merrill's average stolen bases in the last five games overall and in away games both stand at 0.2, which is considerably lower than the line set at 0.5. Moreover, his current hit streak, both overall and away, is at zero, indicating a lack of momentum that could contribute to successful stolen bases. Even when considering his performance against the opposition, his average stolen bases is only 0.4, still under the line. Furthermore, there have been no instances of him getting caught stealing in the recent games, suggesting he might be playing it safe on the bases. These stats collectively point towards a lower likelihood of Merrill stealing a base in the upcoming game.
Dane Myers (MIA) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-556)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on Dane Myers for Under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market is statistically backed by his recent performance data. Over the last five games, Myers has an overall stolen base average of just 0.2, indicating that he rarely steals bases. Furthermore, in his last five games at home, Myers has not stolen any bases, reinforcing the trend that he is not a frequent base stealer. His performance against the Padres also supports this bet, as he has not stolen any bases in their previous encounters. Additionally, his current hit streak at home is zero, suggesting a lower chance of him getting on base to even attempt a steal. These factors combined make the "Under 0.5" bet for Myers' stolen bases a statistically sound choice.
Otto Lopez (MIA) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-1000)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on Otto Lopez for Under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market is a good choice based on his recent performance data. Over the last five games, Lopez's stolen base average, both overall and at home, is only 0.4, which is under the line of 0.5. His hit streak is also relatively low, with an overall current hit streak of just 1. While he has a higher home current hit streak of 9, this hasn't translated into a higher stolen base average. Additionally, the average number of times Lopez has been caught stealing (Avg L5 Overall Cs, Avg L5 Home Cs, Avg L5 Opp Cs) is 0, indicating a conservative base running strategy. This combination of low stolen base averages and low caught stealing rates suggests a lower likelihood of Lopez achieving over 0.5 stolen bases in the upcoming game.
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