On Saturday 22 August 2026, Marcio Barbosa takes on Ryan Kuse in the UFC. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is Márcio Barbosa to Win, priced at -769 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Márcio Barbosa to Win (-769)

Odds available at Betfair at time of publishing

Marcio Barbosa takes on Ryan Kuse in the UFC on Saturday 22 August 2026. The bet we are looking at is Márcio Barbosa to Win. That is a match winner bet. It was priced at -769 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $11.30 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Under 0.5 Total Rounds (+165)

Odds available at Bovada at time of publishing

In the fight between Marcio Barbosa and Ryan Kuse, I like betting on less than half a round. Both fighters have a strong chance to end the match quickly, as Barbosa is known for his striking and Kuse can surprise with quick finishes. Given their styles, this could be a fast-paced fight with one of them getting knocked out or submitted early. While it's always tough to predict exactly how a fight will go, this pick has a decent chance, making it a fun bet to consider. It was priced at +165 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $26.50 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Ryan Kuse +5.5 on the Line (+450)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Ryan Kuse is facing Marcio Barbosa in a UFC fight where Kuse needs to step up his game to keep things competitive. Kuse is known for his striking, while Barbosa is more of a well-rounded fighter. The bet on Kuse at +5.5 means he can lose but still cover the spread if he keeps it close. Our numbers see this as a long shot, but sometimes surprises happen in fights. Just remember, there's no guarantee, and anything can happen in the octagon! It was priced at +450 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $55 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This is a long shot at the price, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

The tale of the tape:

  • Marcio Barbosa: last five W-W, on a 2-fight win streak, 10% of career wins came by knockout, 124 days since the last fight

That is how our model reads Marcio Barbosa v Ryan Kuse. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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