Quentin Johnston (LAC) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+160)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Based on the provided statistics, the bet on Quentin Johnston scoring a touchdown anytime during the game between the Los Angeles Chargers and the Minnesota Vikings seems to be a risky proposition. Johnston's overall hit rate is less than 25% (9/39), indicating he has scored a touchdown in only about 23% of his games. His performance has been particularly poor recently, with a hit rate of 0% in his last 5 games (0/5), and he is currently on a zero hit streak. His performance at home and specifically against the Vikings has been similarly unsatisfactory. Although the model gives a slight edge (around 11.7%) to Johnston, his recent performance and trends do not support a confident bet on him scoring a touchdown in this game. Therefore, betting on Johnston for 'Yes' in the 'player_anytime_td' market seems to be a high-risk bet.

Ladd McConkey (LAC) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+155)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Betting on Ladd McConkey to score a touchdown at any point during the Chargers-Vikings game seems to be a risky proposition based on his recent and overall performance data. McConkey's hit rate—meaning instances where he scored a touchdown—has been lacklustre recently. Over his last five games, both overall and at home, he has not scored at all. His hit rate over his last 10 games is only 10% overall and 20% at home. His overall hit rate across his career is low as well, at just over 20%. Furthermore, McConkey is currently on a zero game scoring streak both overall and at home, indicating a lack of consistent scoring form. While the model suggests a slight edge, the player's scoring record does not instil confidence. Therefore, based purely on statistical analysis, a bet on McConkey to score a touchdown seems speculative.

Kimani Vidal (LAC) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+135)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Betting on Kimani Vidal to score a touchdown at any time during the game between the Los Angeles Chargers and the Minnesota Vikings appears to be a long shot based on historical data. Vidal has not managed to score a touchdown in his last 10 games overall and his last 5 home games. His overall hit rate is just 1 in 12 games, and he has not had any successful touchdown attempts in his last 20 home games. Given these statistics, betting on Vidal to score seems to be a risky choice. The model edge of 7.68% suggests a relatively small advantage, which does not outweigh the risk associated with Vidal's recent performance and trends. Therefore, based purely on statistical data, a bet on Vidal to score a touchdown at any time during the game might not be the most prudent choice.

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