Kennedy Nzechukwu vs Shamil Gaziev Prediction & Picks: Odds Analysis & Top Props

Kennedy Nzechukwu is a solid striker who needs to keep the fight standing to show off his skills, while Shamil Gaziev is a tough wrestler who will likely try to take him down. The matchup seems pretty even, which is why our pick is for Kennedy to win by at least 4 points. This is a bit of a gamble because both fighters can surprise us, but if Kennedy uses his striking well, he has a good shot at covering that spread. Just remember, anything can happen in the octagon! It was priced at -125 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

The tale of the tape:

• Kennedy Nzechukwu: last five L-W-W-L-L, dropped the last 1, 33% of career wins came by knockout, 404 days since the last fight
• Shamil Gaziev: last five L-L-W-W-L, dropped the last 2, 12% of career wins came by knockout, 110 days since the last fight

That is how our model reads Kennedy Nzechukwu v Shamil Gaziev. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.