Us Open: Diane Parry vs Marta Kostyuk — Marta Kostyuk Moneyline (-385)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Marta Kostyuk presents an excellent value pick at 1.26 against Diane Parry, given her superior recent form and serve performance. Over her last five matches, Kostyuk has a solid first-serve percentage of 49.6% and wins 61.4% of her first-serve points, crucial for maintaining pressure on Parry. In contrast, Parry's ability to break serve is hampered by a lower 28.5% break point save rate, indicating vulnerability in critical moments. Kostyuk's average second-serve points won (38.3%) is comparable to Parry's, yet her overall service game remains more consistent. Additionally, Kostyuk’s recent win rate of 60% over her last five matches suggests she is in form, while Parry's win rate mirrors this, but her serve efficiency is less effective. Kostyuk's edge in pressure scenarios and overall service reliability makes her the stronger choice in this matchup.

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