Jameson Williams (DET) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+200)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Betting on Jameson Williams to score a touchdown at any time during the Detroit Lions vs. Cleveland Browns game comes with a model edge of 0.168792102683558. However, Williams' recent performance does not inspire confidence. His hit rate over the last 3, 5, and even 10 games is very low. He has failed to score in his last 3 games overall and at home, and his hit rate over the last 5 games is a mere 20% at home and 0% overall. Over the last 10 games, his hit rate improves slightly, but is still only 40% at home and 30% overall. His overall hit rate stands at 27.5% overall and 30% at home. Additionally, he is currently on a no-hit streak both overall and at home. Therefore, while the model indicates an edge, Williams' recent track record suggests caution is warranted.

Sam LaPorta (DET) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+190)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Betting on Sam LaPorta to score a touchdown anytime during the Detroit Lions vs. Cleveland Browns game is a risky proposition based on his recent performance data. Both his overall and home hit rates for the last three and five games are 0, indicating he hasn't scored a touchdown in recent matches. His overall current hit streak and home current hit streak also stand at 0, highlighting his ongoing dry spell in scoring. While his overall hit rate over the last 20 games (6/20) and home hit rate over the same period (8/20) show some promise, they are not sufficiently consistent to confidently predict a touchdown. Lastly, his hit rate overall (13/40) and home hit rate overall (8/20) suggest that he scores a touchdown in roughly one-third of his games. Therefore, considering these stats, betting on LaPorta to score anytime may not be the safest bet.

Detroit Lions vs Cleveland Browns : NA -10 Point Spread (-110)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on the Detroit Lions -10 in the spreads market is primarily driven by the substantial comparative strength of the Lions' recent performance statistics and the weakness of their opponents'. Over their last five games, the Lions have outscored their opponents by an average of 6.6 points, compared to their opponents' negative differential of 12.8 points. Furthermore, the Lions have a positive EPA (Expected Points Added) difference of 7.12, indicating they've been efficient in turning their possessions into points, while their opponents have a significantly negative EPA difference of -15.91. The Lions also have a superior total yardage record, gaining an average of 419.6 yards per game compared to their opponents' 275.2. The turnover difference is slightly in favor of the opponents but is not enough to significantly impact the overall assessment. Finally, the Lions' home record over the last five games (3-2) is superior to their opponents' away record (0-

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