Miguel Rojas (LAD) Under 1.5 Hits (-270)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The betting rationale for choosing Under 1.5 on Miguel Rojas in the Batter Hits market is primarily based on his recent performance data. Rojas has an average of 0.6 hits overall and 0.4 hits when playing away in his last five games. This suggests a lower hitting rate when playing away from home. Additionally, his performance against the Rockies averages out to zero hits in the last five encounters. Although Rojas is on a hit streak, his hit rate is significantly lower than the line of 1.5. Moreover, his plate appearance averages (2.4 overall, 3 away, and 3.4 against the Rockies) indicate limited opportunities to exceed the 1.5 line. Based on these statistics, betting on Rojas to hit under 1.5 is a data-driven decision.

Kyle Freeland (COL) Over 0.5 Walks Allowed (-385)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Kyle Freeland's historical performance shows a tendency to allow walks, making the Over 0.5 in Pitcher Walks Allowed a strong bet. His last 5 overall games show an average of 0.6 walks allowed, while his last 5 home games have an even higher average of 0.8 walks. More importantly, when facing the Dodgers, his average walks allowed jumps to 1.8, three times higher than the line set for this bet. His current hit streak also indicates a pattern of allowing hits, which often correlates with walks. Although he averages around 5 innings per game, this should be sufficient time for at least one walk to occur, based on his averages. Therefore, the statistics suggest a high probability of this bet being successful.

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