Here are our Tennis picks for Friday 14 August 2026. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Karen Khachanov: Karen Khachanov to win the match, priced at -227 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Karen Khachanov: Karen Khachanov to win the match (-227)

Odds available at pinnacle at time of publishing

Aleksandar Kovacevic faces Karen Khachanov at Cincinnati Open on Saturday 15 August 2026. They are playing on a hard court. This is a match winner bet, so it lands if Karen Khachanov wins the match. It was priced at -227 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14.40 if it lands. Our model likes this one a lot. Karen Khachanov presents strong value at 1.44 against Aleksandar Kovacevic, especially given his superior recent form and serve performance on hard courts. Khachanov has a first-serve percentage of 66.99% and wins 74.93% of his first-serve points, compared to Kovacevic's struggling form with a 40% win rate in his last five matches. Additionally, Khachanov's average second-serve win rate of 54.64% and a solid break-point save percentage (25%) indicate he excels under pressure. In contrast, Kovacevic has shown vulnerability, with a significantly higher average opponent's first-serve win percentage of 75%. Thus, backing Khachanov is a calculated decision based on recent performance metrics and serve reliability.

Alycia Parks vs Viktorija Golubic: Viktorija Golubic to win the match (-175)

Odds available at pinnacle at time of publishing

Alycia Parks faces Viktorija Golubic at Cincinnati Open on Friday 14 August 2026. They are playing on a hard court. This is a match winner bet, so it lands if Viktorija Golubic wins the match. It was priced at -175 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $15.70 if it lands. Our model likes this one a lot. Viktorija Golubic presents a compelling value pick at 1.57 against Alycia Parks, especially given her recent form and serve performance on hard courts. In her last five matches on hard courts, Golubic has achieved a first-serve percentage of 69.0% and won 55.7% of first-serve points, indicating solid service reliability. Additionally, her second-serve points won at 43.9% and a break point save percentage of 55.9% demonstrate her ability to handle pressure effectively. Conversely, Parks has struggled with form, reflected in her 60% win rate over the last five matches. Golubic's superior serve stats and recent performance position her as the likely victor, making her the smart betting choice in this matchup.

That is the model's read on today's Tennis card. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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