Arizona Cardinals vs Seattle Seahawks : Over 43.5 Total Points (-105)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The betting rationale for Over 43.5 in the 'totals' market for this NFL game is supported by both team's recent scoring trends. The home team's last five games have seen an average score of 23.6 points for and 17.6 points against, which totals 41.2 points. This is slightly below the over/under point total, but when looking at their home games, the total increases to 50.4 points, well above the line. Similarly, the away team's last five games have averaged a total of 39.8 points, but their away games average 41.4 points. Moreover, their record against the opponent is 5-0, indicating they have been able to put up points against them in the past. The model edge of 0.0359 also suggests there's a slight advantage in betting Over. Thus, combining these data points, the Over bet seems statistically reasonable.

Arizona Cardinals vs Seattle Seahawks : Over 43.5 Total Points (-105)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Statistical analysis of the teams' last five games suggests a strong potential for the scoring total to exceed 43.5 points. The home team has averaged 23.6 points per game, while the away team has averaged 24.8 points. Together, these averages suggest an expected total of 48.4 points, well over the betting line. Further, both teams have performed positively in terms of the Expected Points Added (EPA) metric. This suggests that both teams are creating scoring opportunities in their offensive plays. The home team's EPA for is 3.865 while the away team's is 3.096, emphasizing their offensive efficiency. However, there is a note of caution as the home team has a 0-5 record against the away team in their last five meetings. But regardless of the game outcome, the scoring trends suggest a high probability of the total score exceeding 43.5 points.

Emari Demercado (ARI) Under 14.5 Rushing Yards (-112)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Emari Demercado has shown a mixed performance when it comes to rushing yards. Looking at his overall hit rate, he's underperformed 44% of the time. His performance at home isn't promising either, with only 38% success rate in his last 13 home games. His performance against Seattle, however, is more successful with a hit rate of 66.67% across all venues. At home against Seattle, he has a perfect record, but this is based on a single game, which isn't statistically significant. Currently, Demercado's overall hit streak stands at zero, indicating a downturn in his recent performances. His home hit streak stands at one, showing a slightly improving trend. Against Seattle, his current streak is two, suggesting a positive trend. However, considering his overall and home performance, betting under 14.5 rush yards for Demercado seems a reasonable choice, although it's not without risk.

Emari Demercado (ARI) Under 14.5 Rushing Yards (-114)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Emari Demercado's under 14.5 rushing yards in the 'player_rush_yds' market seems like a solid betting choice based on his recent performances and trends. When playing at home, Demercado has consistently been under the mark with a hit rate of 5/13 overall and 2/5 in the last five games. His overall hit rate of going under this mark is also convincing with 14/25. Despite his stronger performance against the Seattle Seahawks, with a hit rate of 2/3 overall and in the last three games, it's important to remember that these games weren't exclusively at home. His home performance trend seems to dominate, making the Under 14.5 a viable bet. Coupled with the model's edge of 0.0279, betting on Demercado to rush for fewer than 14.5 yards seems statistically sound.

Trey Benson (ARI) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+105)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Based on the statistics provided, betting on Trey Benson to score a touchdown anytime during the Arizona Cardinals vs. Seattle Seahawks game seems to be a risky choice. Benson's performance has not been consistent or reliable in recent games. He has a zero touchdown streak in his overall recent games (0/3), at home (0/3), against the Seahawks (0/2), and against the Seahawks at home (0/1). In his last 5 games overall, he scored only once (1/5), and his streak remains the same at home. Moreover, against the Seahawks, he has not scored in the last 5 meetings (0/2), and also in his last game at home against them (0/1). His overall hit rate is low as well (1/15). Therefore, the data suggests that the chances of Benson scoring a touchdown in the upcoming game are slim. The model edge of 0.014320557968111 also implies that the expected return is

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