Us Open: Amanda Anisimova vs Iga Swiatek — Iga Swiatek Moneyline (-370)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Iga Swiatek presents compelling value at 1.27 against Amanda Anisimova, backed by superior recent form and serving metrics. Swiatek boasts an impressive 80% win rate over her last 5 matches, coupled with a solid first-serve percentage of 65.3% and first points won at 65.8%. Her second-serve points won rate of 43.7% further enhances her ability to capitalize on pressure situations. Moreover, Swiatek's break point save percentage of 57.1% indicates her resilience under pressure, while Anisimova's form has been less consistent. Swiatek's sharp overall serve effectiveness, combined with her ability to win crucial points, suggests she will dominate in this hard-court matchup. Given the model probability of 94.98% against the market's 78.74%, the edge of 16.2% solidifies Swiatek as the value pick in this encounter.

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