On Monday 10 August 2026, Washington Mystics play Phoenix Mercury in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Under 183.5 Total Points, priced at -588 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Under 183.5 Total Points (-588)
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
As the Washington Mystics prepare to host the Phoenix Mercury at CareFirst Arena, all signs point toward a defensive showdown. Both teams have shown a tendency to slow down the pace, with the Mystics ranking among the league's best in defensive efficiency. Expect a methodical approach from Washington, aiming to control the tempo and limit fast-break opportunities. The Mercury, while capable of scoring, have faced struggles with consistency, particularly on the road. With their scoring often reliant on isolated plays, it's likely that they'll find it tough to breach the Mystics' stifling defense. Our model suggests a combined score closer to 161 points, signaling a stark contrast to the total set at 183.5. With the stakes high and defenses tightening, betting the under feels like a savvy play in this clash of contrasting styles. It was priced at -588 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $11.70 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Washington Mystics +5.5 on the Line (-213)
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
As the Washington Mystics host the Phoenix Mercury at CareFirst Arena, the stage is set for an intriguing showdown. Both teams are known for their dynamic styles, but the Mystics have been particularly impressive on their home court recently, showing a knack for turning up the intensity in front of their fans. With a projected final margin favoring Washington by just over a point, taking them at -5.5 offers a compelling blend of confidence in their ability to outperform their visitors. The Mystics thrive on a balanced attack, leveraging their defensive tenacity to stifle the Mercury's offensive rhythm. If they can maintain that pressure while capitalizing on their home-court advantage, they're well-positioned to cover the spread. Look for Washington to assert themselves early and control the pace, setting up a victory that not only resonates with their playoff aspirations but also aligns with this favorable betting line. It was priced at -213 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14.70 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
Washington Mystics play Phoenix Mercury in the WNBA on Monday 10 August 2026. The bet we are looking at is DeWanna Bonner Over 8.5 Points. That is a player points bet. It was priced at -189 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $15.30 if it lands. It is on at CareFirst Arena in Washington. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Sonia Citron Under 19.5 Points and Rebounds (-118)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Washington Mystics play Phoenix Mercury in the WNBA on Monday 10 August 2026. The bet we are looking at is Sonia Citron Under 19.5 Points and Rebounds. That is a player points and rebounds combined bet. It was priced at -118 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.50 if it lands. It is on at CareFirst Arena in Washington. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Kelsey Plum Under 25.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists (-108)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
In the matchup between the Washington Mystics and Phoenix Mercury, Kelsey Plum's role takes center stage, but we're leaning towards the 'Under 25.5' for her combined points, rebounds, and assists. The Mystics' defensive strategy has evolved this season, focusing on shutting down high-scoring threats, and Plum, while talented, may find her opportunities limited against a well-prepared Washington defense. Moreover, with the Mystics boasting formidable frontcourt players, the rebounding battle will be fierce, likely siphoning off some of Plum's contributions. Our projection anticipates her to land around 20.3 combined stats, a number that reflects the tightening grip of the Mystics' defense and the overall dynamics on the court. In a game where every possession counts, expect Plum to be more of a facilitator than a primary scorer, making the 'Under' a compelling play in this intriguing showdown at the CareFirst Arena. It was priced at -108 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.30 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads Washington Mystics v Phoenix Mercury. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
See All Our Picks
You're viewing a preview. Subscribe today to unlock the full article and gain access to all our expert insights and best bets - every single day.
Unlock all picks