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Today's bets are live / Top performing picks daily / Tracked in public — wins & losses
SATURDAY · JULY 25 · 6 CLEARED BETS · 6 MULTIS

Today's Sharp Picks

Our model checks every bet on today’s board and throws almost all of them out. What survives is worth backing — with the price and how much to put on. Free to browse, no signup.

Model vs the odds · best bets first · updated 2026-07-25 20:02 UTC
Recent winners · $100 flat bets
Over · Total Runs+$340today
Over · Total Runs+$295today
Over · Total Runs+$235today
Over · Total Runs+$200today
Over · Total Runs+$176today
Over · Total Runs+$139today
Dane Myers · Batter - Hits+$119today
Over · Total Runs+$112today
Today's multis

Built to actually land, not just to look big

Built only from legs the model already backed — capped where the maths stops making sense. Members see every leg. 18+, bet what you can afford.

MLB · 3-leg Pro
San Francisco Giants v Los Angeles Angels
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Returns $16
Unlock this multi
NCAAF · 2-leg Pro
West Virginia Mountaineers v Coastal Carolina Chanticleers
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Kentucky Wildcats v Youngstown St Penguins
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Returns $37
Unlock this multi
NCAAF · 3-leg Pro
West Virginia Mountaineers v Coastal Carolina Chanticleers
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Kentucky Wildcats v Youngstown St Penguins
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Nebraska Cornhuskers v Ohio Bobcats
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Returns $70
Unlock this multi
NCAAF · 3-leg Pro
West Virginia Mountaineers v Coastal Carolina Chanticleers
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Kentucky Wildcats v Youngstown St Penguins
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Nebraska Cornhuskers v Ohio Bobcats
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Returns $70
Unlock this multi
MLB · 3-leg Pro
Baltimore Orioles v Atlanta Braves
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Returns $36
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MLB · 3-leg Pro
Milwaukee Brewers v Colorado Rockies
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Returns $48
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Today's cleared bets

We looked at 439 bets today. 6 made it through.

The bets our model actually backed. You see the game and the market — members see the bet, the price and the stake.

AFL Top pick
Hawthorn Hawks v North Melbourne Kangaroos
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Model win
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Best price
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Value
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Stake
Sat Aug 1, 03:35 UTC Pro
Unlock this bet
MLB Top pick
Boston Red Sox v Toronto Blue Jays
●●●●●●●●Pitcher - Strikeouts
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Model win
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Best price
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Value
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Stake
Sat Jul 25, 20:10 UTC Pro
Unlock this bet
MLB Top pick
Baltimore Orioles v Atlanta Braves
●●●●●●●●Pitcher - Strikeouts
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Model win
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Best price
●●
Value
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Stake
Sat Jul 25, 23:05 UTC Pro
Unlock this bet
MLB Top pick
Tampa Bay Rays v Cleveland Guardians
●●●●●●●●Total Runs
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Model win
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Best price
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Value
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Stake
Sat Jul 25, 22:10 UTC Pro
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MLB Top pick
Tampa Bay Rays v Cleveland Guardians
●●●●●●●●Total Runs
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Model win
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Best price
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Value
●●
Stake
Sat Jul 25, 22:10 UTC Pro
Unlock this bet
MLB Top pick
San Francisco Giants v Los Angeles Angels
●●●●●●●●Total Runs
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Model win
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Best price
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Value
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Stake
Sat Jul 25, 20:05 UTC Pro
Unlock this bet
20,000
simulations run on every game before we price it
439
bets checked today — most get thrown out
Every one
recorded before kick-off and graded in public, wins and losses
You just watched us throw out 433 bets. That is the whole job. The few that survive are the ones members get — with the price and the stake, before the game starts.
See today's cleared bets
From $29/week · cancel in one click · 18+, gamble responsibly
The full board

Everything else we looked at today — free

These are the ordinary model tips: every upcoming game and market we priced. Useful, and free to browse. They are not the bets that cleared.

All sports Top picks Odds: Decimal
MLB Value
San Francisco Giants v Los Angeles Angels
Los Angeles Angels +1Spread
46.6%
Model win
13.00
Best price
+38.9%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 0.00 Sat 20:05 UTC
MLB Value
San Francisco Giants v Los Angeles Angels
Los Angeles Angels +1Spread
46.6%
Model win
13.00
Best price
+38.9%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 0.00 Sat 20:05 UTC
MLB Value
San Francisco Giants v Los Angeles Angels
Los Angeles Angels +2Spread
54.5%
Model win
6.00
Best price
+37.8%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 0.00 Sat 20:05 UTC
MLB Value
San Francisco Giants v Los Angeles Angels
Los Angeles Angels +2Spread
54.5%
Model win
6.00
Best price
+37.8%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 0.00 Sat 20:05 UTC
MLB Value
San Francisco Giants v Los Angeles Angels
Los Angeles Angels +1.5Spread
50.6%
Model win
6.50
Best price
+35.2%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 0.00 Sat 20:05 UTC
MLB Value
San Francisco Giants v Los Angeles Angels
Los Angeles Angels +1.5Spread
50.6%
Model win
6.50
Best price
+35.2%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 0.00 Sat 20:05 UTC
MLB Value
San Francisco Giants v Los Angeles Angels
Los Angeles Angels +3Spread
62.1%
Model win
3.70
Best price
+35.1%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 0.00 Sat 20:05 UTC
MLB Value
San Francisco Giants v Los Angeles Angels
Los Angeles Angels +2.5Spread
58.4%
Model win
4.10
Best price
+34.0%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 0.00 Sat 20:05 UTC
MLB Value
San Francisco Giants v Los Angeles Angels
Los Angeles Angels +2.5Spread
58.4%
Model win
4.10
Best price
+34.0%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 0.00 Sat 20:05 UTC
MLB Value
San Francisco Giants v Los Angeles Angels
Los Angeles Angels +3.5Spread
65.8%
Model win
2.80
Best price
+30.1%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 0.00 Sat 20:05 UTC
MLB Value
San Francisco Giants v Los Angeles Angels
Los Angeles Angels +3.5Spread
65.8%
Model win
2.80
Best price
+30.1%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 0.00 Sat 20:05 UTC
MLB Value
Boston Red Sox v Toronto Blue Jays
Sonny Gray Sonny Gray under 4.5 strikeoutsPitcher - Strikeouts
78.0%
Model win
2.07
Best price
+29.6%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 2.10 Sat 20:10 UTC
MLB Value
San Francisco Giants v Los Angeles Angels
Zach Neto Zach Neto under 1.5 hitsBatter - Hits
90.9%
Model win
1.61
Best price
+28.8%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 1.51 Sat 20:05 UTC
MLB Value
San Francisco Giants v Los Angeles Angels
Los Angeles Angels +4Spread
69.4%
Model win
2.45
Best price
+28.5%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 0.00 Sat 20:05 UTC
MLB Value
San Francisco Giants v Los Angeles Angels
Los Angeles Angels +4Spread
69.4%
Model win
2.45
Best price
+28.5%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 0.00 Sat 20:05 UTC
MLB Value
Baltimore Orioles v Atlanta Braves
Brandon Young Brandon Young under 4.5 strikeoutsPitcher - Strikeouts
83.0%
Model win
1.82
Best price
+28.1%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 1.94 Sat 23:05 UTC
MLB Value
San Francisco Giants v Los Angeles Angels
Nolan Schanuel Nolan Schanuel under 1.5 hitsBatter - Hits
87.8%
Model win
1.65
Best price
+27.2%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 1.45 Sat 20:05 UTC
MLB Value
San Francisco Giants v Los Angeles Angels
Nolan Schanuel Nolan Schanuel under 2.5 hits + runs + rbisBatter - Hits + Runs + RBIs
82.6%
Model win
1.80
Best price
+27.1%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 0.00 Sat 20:05 UTC
MLB Value
San Francisco Giants v Los Angeles Angels
Drew Gilbert Drew Gilbert under 1.5 hitsBatter - Hits
86.2%
Model win
1.69
Best price
+27.0%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 1.23 Sat 20:05 UTC
MLB Value
San Francisco Giants v Los Angeles Angels
Casey Schmitt Casey Schmitt under 1.5 hitsBatter - Hits
86.7%
Model win
1.61
Best price
+24.6%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 1.78 Sat 20:05 UTC
MLB Value
San Francisco Giants v Los Angeles Angels
Rafael Devers Rafael Devers under 1.5 hitsBatter - Hits
86.1%
Model win
1.62
Best price
+24.4%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 1.45 Sat 20:05 UTC
MLB Value
San Francisco Giants v Los Angeles Angels
over 9.5 total runsTotal Runs
68.2%
Model win
2.26
Best price
+23.9%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 0.00 Sat 20:05 UTC
MLB Value
San Francisco Giants v Los Angeles Angels
over 9.5 total runsTotal Runs
68.2%
Model win
2.26
Best price
+23.9%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 0.00 Sat 20:05 UTC
MLB Value
San Francisco Giants v Los Angeles Angels
Zach Neto Zach Neto under 2.5 hits + runs + rbisBatter - Hits + Runs + RBIs
82.8%
Model win
1.69
Best price
+23.6%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 1.61 Sat 20:05 UTC
MLB Value
San Francisco Giants v Los Angeles Angels
Bryce Eldridge Bryce Eldridge under 2.5 total basesBatter - Total Bases
85.6%
Model win
1.61
Best price
+23.5%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 1.32 Sat 20:05 UTC
MLB Value
San Francisco Giants v Los Angeles Angels
Nolan Schanuel Nolan Schanuel under 1.5 singlesBatter - Singles
93.5%
Model win
1.42
Best price
+23.1%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 1.24 Sat 20:05 UTC
MLB Value
San Francisco Giants v Los Angeles Angels
over 11.5 total runsTotal Runs
51.7%
Model win
3.50
Best price
+23.1%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 0.00 Sat 20:05 UTC
MLB Value
San Francisco Giants v Los Angeles Angels
over 11.5 total runsTotal Runs
51.7%
Model win
3.50
Best price
+23.1%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 0.00 Sat 20:05 UTC
MLB Value
San Francisco Giants v Los Angeles Angels
over 0.5 total runs - 1st 1 inningsTotal Runs - 1st 1 Innings
76.4%
Model win
1.87
Best price
+22.9%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 0.00 Sat 20:05 UTC
MLB Value
San Francisco Giants v Los Angeles Angels
Bryce Eldridge Bryce Eldridge under 2.5 runs scoredBatter - Runs Scored
96.3%
Model win
1.36
Best price
+22.8%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 1.28 Sat 20:05 UTC
MLB Value
San Francisco Giants v Los Angeles Angels
Los Angeles Angels +4.5Spread
72.7%
Model win
1.99
Best price
+22.5%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 0.00 Sat 20:05 UTC
MLB Value
San Francisco Giants v Los Angeles Angels
Los Angeles Angels +4.5Spread
72.7%
Model win
1.99
Best price
+22.5%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 0.00 Sat 20:05 UTC
MLB Value
San Francisco Giants v Los Angeles Angels
over 9 total runsTotal Runs
71.9%
Model win
2.02
Best price
+22.4%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 0.00 Sat 20:05 UTC
MLB Value
San Francisco Giants v Los Angeles Angels
over 9 total runsTotal Runs
71.9%
Model win
2.02
Best price
+22.4%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 0.00 Sat 20:05 UTC
MLB Value
San Francisco Giants v Los Angeles Angels
over 10.5 total runsTotal Runs
60.2%
Model win
2.64
Best price
+22.3%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 0.00 Sat 20:05 UTC
MLB Value
San Francisco Giants v Los Angeles Angels
over 10.5 total runsTotal Runs
60.2%
Model win
2.64
Best price
+22.3%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 0.00 Sat 20:05 UTC
MLB Value
San Francisco Giants v Los Angeles Angels
Bryce Eldridge Bryce Eldridge under 1.5 hitsBatter - Hits
84.2%
Model win
1.61
Best price
+22.1%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 1.38 Sat 20:05 UTC
MLB Value
San Francisco Giants v Los Angeles Angels
Luis Arraez Luis Arraez under 1.5 total basesBatter - Total Bases
75.4%
Model win
1.87
Best price
+21.9%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 2.01 Sat 20:05 UTC
MLB Value
Tampa Bay Rays v Cleveland Guardians
over 9.5 total runsTotal Runs
58.1%
Model win
2.72
Best price
+21.4%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 0.00 Sat 22:10 UTC
MLB Value
San Francisco Giants v Los Angeles Angels
over 8.5 total runsTotal Runs
75.4%
Model win
1.83
Best price
+20.8%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 0.00 Sat 20:05 UTC
MLB Value
San Francisco Giants v Los Angeles Angels
Rafael Devers Rafael Devers under 2.5 runs scoredBatter - Runs Scored
95.6%
Model win
1.33
Best price
+20.4%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 1.32 Sat 20:05 UTC
MLB Value
San Francisco Giants v Los Angeles Angels
Nolan Schanuel Nolan Schanuel under 1.5 total basesBatter - Total Bases
80.9%
Model win
1.65
Best price
+20.3%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 1.64 Sat 20:05 UTC
MLB Value
Boston Red Sox v Toronto Blue Jays
over 0.5 total runs - 1st 1 inningsTotal Runs - 1st 1 Innings
65.1%
Model win
2.22
Best price
+20.0%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 0.00 Sat 20:10 UTC
MLB Value
San Francisco Giants v Los Angeles Angels
Logan Webb Logan Webb under 1.5 walksPitcher - Walks
79.8%
Model win
1.67
Best price
+19.9%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 1.77 Sat 20:05 UTC
MLB Value
San Francisco Giants v Los Angeles Angels
over 8.5 total runsTotal Runs
75.4%
Model win
1.80
Best price
+19.9%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 0.00 Sat 20:05 UTC
MLB Value
San Francisco Giants v Los Angeles Angels
over 8.5 total runsTotal Runs
75.4%
Model win
1.80
Best price
+19.9%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 0.00 Sat 20:05 UTC
MLB Value
Tampa Bay Rays v Cleveland Guardians
Tampa Bay Rays -3.5Spread
39.7%
Model win
5.00
Best price
+19.7%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 0.00 Sat 22:10 UTC
MLB Value
Tampa Bay Rays v Cleveland Guardians
over 7.5 total runsTotal Runs
73.8%
Model win
1.85
Best price
+19.7%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 0.00 Sat 22:10 UTC
MLB Value
Tampa Bay Rays v Cleveland Guardians
over 10.5 total runsTotal Runs
49.6%
Model win
3.30
Best price
+19.3%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 0.00 Sat 22:10 UTC
MLB Value
Tampa Bay Rays v Cleveland Guardians
Tampa Bay Rays -2.5Spread
47.4%
Model win
3.55
Best price
+19.3%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 0.00 Sat 22:10 UTC
MLB Value
San Francisco Giants v Los Angeles Angels
over 12.5 total runsTotal Runs
43.1%
Model win
4.20
Best price
+19.3%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 0.00 Sat 20:05 UTC
MLB Value
San Francisco Giants v Los Angeles Angels
over 12.5 total runsTotal Runs
43.1%
Model win
4.20
Best price
+19.3%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 0.00 Sat 20:05 UTC
MLB Value
San Francisco Giants v Los Angeles Angels
Drew Gilbert Drew Gilbert under 1.5 singlesBatter - Singles
92.7%
Model win
1.36
Best price
+19.2%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 1.12 Sat 20:05 UTC
MLB Value
Milwaukee Brewers v Colorado Rockies
over 4.5 total runs - 1st 5 inningsTotal Runs - 1st 5 Innings
77.5%
Model win
1.71
Best price
+19.0%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 0.00 Sat 23:10 UTC
MLB Value
San Francisco Giants v Los Angeles Angels
San Francisco GiantsMoneyline
74.9%
Model win
1.79
Best price
+19.0%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 0.00 Sat 20:05 UTC
MLB Value
Tampa Bay Rays v Cleveland Guardians
over 8.5 total runsTotal Runs
66.3%
Model win
2.10
Best price
+18.7%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 0.00 Sat 22:10 UTC
AFL Value
North Melbourne Kangaroos v St Kilda Saints
Bradley Hill Bradley Hill under 26.5 disposalsDisposals
72.3%
Model win
1.86
Best price
+18.5%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 0.00 Sun 05:15 UTC
MLB Value
San Francisco Giants v Los Angeles Angels
Los Angeles AngelsMoneyline - 1st 5 Innings
32.1%
Model win
7.30
Best price
+18.4%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 0.00 Sat 20:05 UTC
MLB Value
San Francisco Giants v Los Angeles Angels
Los Angeles AngelsMoneyline - 1st 5 Innings
32.1%
Model win
7.30
Best price
+18.4%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 0.00 Sat 20:05 UTC
MLB Value
San Francisco Giants v Los Angeles Angels
Rafael Devers Rafael Devers under 2.5 rbisBatter - RBIs
97.5%
Model win
1.26
Best price
+18.1%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 1.26 Sat 20:05 UTC
That was the board anyone can see. Every one of those was priced by the same model — they just didn't clear the bar. The ones that did are waiting at the top of this page.
Unlock today's cleared bets
From $29/week · cancel in one click · 18+, gamble responsibly
6 more model-flagged value picks are on today's board for Pro members — every extra bet we found priced better than the odds, ranked and sized for you. Unlock all picks →
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How to read this: Model win is our best guess at how often this bet wins. Value is how much better the price is than it should be — we only show bets that are worth more than the price. Stake is a safe amount to put on, shown in units (1 unit = 1% of your money) and capped — type your bankroll in the box above to see it in real dollars. It's a guide, not advice. Where we have a track record we show how often we beat the final odds. Odds move and betting sites cut winners, so check the price before you bet. Some days no sport has a real edge — when our model doesn't beat the odds we show nothing rather than make up a pick. 18+. Gamble responsibly.