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Today's bets are live / Top performing picks daily / Tracked in public — wins & losses

Today's Sharp Picks

Not every model tip — only the ones worth backing. We put our model up against the price the sharpest betting sites are offering, keep only the bets that are priced better than they should be, tell you how much to put on each one, and drop any pick whose player is ruled out. Free, no signup.

Model vs the odds · best bets first · updated 2026-07-25 20:02 UTC
Recent winners · graded in public
✓Over · Total Runs+$340today
✓Over · Total Runs+$295today
✓Over · Total Runs+$235today
✓Over · Total Runs+$200today
✓Over · Total Runs+$176today
✓Over · Total Runs+$139today
✓Dane Myers · Batter - Hits+$119today
✓Over · Total Runs+$112today
All sports Top picks Odds: Decimal
Today's cleared bets

We looked at 439 bets today. 6 made it through.

Everything above is the ordinary board — free, and worth a look. These are the ones our model actually backed after throwing the rest out. You see the game and the market; members see the bet, the price and how much to put on.

AFL Top pick
Hawthorn Hawks v North Melbourne Kangaroos
●●●●●●●●Head to Head
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Model win
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Best price
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Value
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Stake
Sat Aug 1, 03:35 UTC Pro
MLB Top pick
Boston Red Sox v Toronto Blue Jays
●●●●●●●●Pitcher - Strikeouts
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Model win
●●
Best price
●●
Value
●●
Stake
Sat Jul 25, 20:10 UTC Pro
MLB Top pick
Baltimore Orioles v Atlanta Braves
●●●●●●●●Pitcher - Strikeouts
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Model win
●●
Best price
●●
Value
●●
Stake
Sat Jul 25, 23:05 UTC Pro
MLB Top pick
Tampa Bay Rays v Cleveland Guardians
●●●●●●●●Total Runs
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Model win
●●
Best price
●●
Value
●●
Stake
Sat Jul 25, 22:10 UTC Pro
MLB Top pick
Tampa Bay Rays v Cleveland Guardians
●●●●●●●●Total Runs
●●
Model win
●●
Best price
●●
Value
●●
Stake
Sat Jul 25, 22:10 UTC Pro
MLB Top pick
San Francisco Giants v Los Angeles Angels
●●●●●●●●Total Runs
●●
Model win
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Best price
●●
Value
●●
Stake
Sat Jul 25, 20:05 UTC Pro
Today's multis

Built to actually land, not just to look big

Anyone can stack six long shots and show you a huge number. Ours are built from the legs the model already backed, and we cap them where the maths stops making sense. Members see every leg. 18+, and only ever bet what you can afford to lose.

MLB · 3-leg Pro
San Francisco Giants v Los Angeles Angels
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San Francisco Giants v Los Angeles Angels
●●●●●●●●●
San Francisco Giants v Los Angeles Angels
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Returns $8
Unlock this multi
NCAAF · 2-leg Pro
West Virginia Mountaineers v Coastal Carolina Chanticleers
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Kentucky Wildcats v Youngstown St Penguins
●●●●●●●●●
Returns $18
Unlock this multi
NCAAF · 3-leg Pro
West Virginia Mountaineers v Coastal Carolina Chanticleers
●●●●●●●●●
Kentucky Wildcats v Youngstown St Penguins
●●●●●●●●●
Nebraska Cornhuskers v Ohio Bobcats
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Returns $35
Unlock this multi
NCAAF · 3-leg Pro
West Virginia Mountaineers v Coastal Carolina Chanticleers
●●●●●●●●●
Kentucky Wildcats v Youngstown St Penguins
●●●●●●●●●
Nebraska Cornhuskers v Ohio Bobcats
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Returns $35
Unlock this multi
MLB · 3-leg Pro
Baltimore Orioles v Atlanta Braves
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Baltimore Orioles v Atlanta Braves
●●●●●●●●●
Baltimore Orioles v Atlanta Braves
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Returns $18
Unlock this multi
MLB · 3-leg Pro
Milwaukee Brewers v Colorado Rockies
●●●●●●●●●
Milwaukee Brewers v Colorado Rockies
●●●●●●●●●
Milwaukee Brewers v Colorado Rockies
●●●●●●●●●
Returns $24
Unlock this multi
20,000
simulations run on every game before we price it
439
bets checked today — most get thrown out
Every one
recorded before kick-off and graded in public, wins and losses
You just watched us throw out 433 bets. That is the whole job. The few that survive are the ones members get — with the price and the stake, before the game starts.
See today's cleared bets
From $29/week · cancel in one click · 18+, gamble responsibly
The full board

Everything else we looked at today — free

These are the ordinary model tips: every upcoming game and market we priced. Useful, and free to browse. They are not the bets that cleared.

MLB Value
San Francisco Giants v Los Angeles Angels
Los Angeles Angels +1Spread
46.6%
Model win
13.00
Best price
+38.9%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 0.00 Sat 20:05 UTC
Shop the best price
MLB Value
San Francisco Giants v Los Angeles Angels
Los Angeles Angels +1Spread
46.6%
Model win
13.00
Best price
+38.9%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 0.00 Sat 20:05 UTC
Shop the best price
MLB Value
San Francisco Giants v Los Angeles Angels
Los Angeles Angels +2Spread
54.5%
Model win
6.00
Best price
+37.8%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 0.00 Sat 20:05 UTC
Shop the best price
MLB Value
San Francisco Giants v Los Angeles Angels
Los Angeles Angels +2Spread
54.5%
Model win
6.00
Best price
+37.8%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 0.00 Sat 20:05 UTC
Shop the best price
MLB Value
San Francisco Giants v Los Angeles Angels
Los Angeles Angels +1.5Spread
50.6%
Model win
6.50
Best price
+35.2%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 0.00 Sat 20:05 UTC
Shop the best price
MLB Value
San Francisco Giants v Los Angeles Angels
Los Angeles Angels +1.5Spread
50.6%
Model win
6.50
Best price
+35.2%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 0.00 Sat 20:05 UTC
Shop the best price
MLB Value
San Francisco Giants v Los Angeles Angels
Los Angeles Angels +3Spread
62.1%
Model win
3.70
Best price
+35.1%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 0.00 Sat 20:05 UTC
Shop the best price
MLB Value
San Francisco Giants v Los Angeles Angels
Los Angeles Angels +2.5Spread
58.4%
Model win
4.10
Best price
+34.0%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 0.00 Sat 20:05 UTC
Shop the best price
MLB Value
San Francisco Giants v Los Angeles Angels
Los Angeles Angels +2.5Spread
58.4%
Model win
4.10
Best price
+34.0%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 0.00 Sat 20:05 UTC
Shop the best price
MLB Value
San Francisco Giants v Los Angeles Angels
Los Angeles Angels +3.5Spread
65.8%
Model win
2.80
Best price
+30.1%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 0.00 Sat 20:05 UTC
Shop the best price
MLB Value
San Francisco Giants v Los Angeles Angels
Los Angeles Angels +3.5Spread
65.8%
Model win
2.80
Best price
+30.1%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 0.00 Sat 20:05 UTC
Shop the best price
MLB Value
Boston Red Sox v Toronto Blue Jays
Sonny Gray Sonny Gray under 4.5 strikeoutsPitcher - Strikeouts
78.0%
Model win
2.07
Best price
+29.6%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 2.10 Sat 20:10 UTC
Shop the best price
MLB Value
San Francisco Giants v Los Angeles Angels
Zach Neto Zach Neto under 1.5 hitsBatter - Hits
90.9%
Model win
1.61
Best price
+28.8%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 1.51 Sat 20:05 UTC
Shop the best price
MLB Value
San Francisco Giants v Los Angeles Angels
Los Angeles Angels +4Spread
69.4%
Model win
2.45
Best price
+28.5%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 0.00 Sat 20:05 UTC
Shop the best price
MLB Value
San Francisco Giants v Los Angeles Angels
Los Angeles Angels +4Spread
69.4%
Model win
2.45
Best price
+28.5%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 0.00 Sat 20:05 UTC
Shop the best price
MLB Value
Baltimore Orioles v Atlanta Braves
Brandon Young Brandon Young under 4.5 strikeoutsPitcher - Strikeouts
83.0%
Model win
1.82
Best price
+28.1%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 1.94 Sat 23:05 UTC
Shop the best price
MLB Value
San Francisco Giants v Los Angeles Angels
Nolan Schanuel Nolan Schanuel under 1.5 hitsBatter - Hits
87.8%
Model win
1.65
Best price
+27.2%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 1.45 Sat 20:05 UTC
Shop the best price
MLB Value
San Francisco Giants v Los Angeles Angels
Nolan Schanuel Nolan Schanuel under 2.5 hits + runs + rbisBatter - Hits + Runs + RBIs
82.6%
Model win
1.80
Best price
+27.1%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 0.00 Sat 20:05 UTC
Shop the best price
MLB Value
San Francisco Giants v Los Angeles Angels
Drew Gilbert Drew Gilbert under 1.5 hitsBatter - Hits
86.2%
Model win
1.69
Best price
+27.0%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 1.23 Sat 20:05 UTC
Shop the best price
MLB Value
San Francisco Giants v Los Angeles Angels
Casey Schmitt Casey Schmitt under 1.5 hitsBatter - Hits
86.7%
Model win
1.61
Best price
+24.6%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 1.78 Sat 20:05 UTC
Shop the best price
MLB Value
San Francisco Giants v Los Angeles Angels
Rafael Devers Rafael Devers under 1.5 hitsBatter - Hits
86.1%
Model win
1.62
Best price
+24.4%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 1.45 Sat 20:05 UTC
Shop the best price
MLB Value
San Francisco Giants v Los Angeles Angels
over 9.5 total runsTotal Runs
68.2%
Model win
2.26
Best price
+23.9%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 0.00 Sat 20:05 UTC
Shop the best price
MLB Value
San Francisco Giants v Los Angeles Angels
over 9.5 total runsTotal Runs
68.2%
Model win
2.26
Best price
+23.9%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 0.00 Sat 20:05 UTC
Shop the best price
MLB Value
San Francisco Giants v Los Angeles Angels
Zach Neto Zach Neto under 2.5 hits + runs + rbisBatter - Hits + Runs + RBIs
82.8%
Model win
1.69
Best price
+23.6%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 1.61 Sat 20:05 UTC
Shop the best price
MLB Value
San Francisco Giants v Los Angeles Angels
Bryce Eldridge Bryce Eldridge under 2.5 total basesBatter - Total Bases
85.6%
Model win
1.61
Best price
+23.5%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 1.32 Sat 20:05 UTC
Shop the best price
MLB Value
San Francisco Giants v Los Angeles Angels
Nolan Schanuel Nolan Schanuel under 1.5 singlesBatter - Singles
93.5%
Model win
1.42
Best price
+23.1%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 1.24 Sat 20:05 UTC
Shop the best price
MLB Value
San Francisco Giants v Los Angeles Angels
over 11.5 total runsTotal Runs
51.7%
Model win
3.50
Best price
+23.1%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 0.00 Sat 20:05 UTC
Shop the best price
MLB Value
San Francisco Giants v Los Angeles Angels
over 11.5 total runsTotal Runs
51.7%
Model win
3.50
Best price
+23.1%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 0.00 Sat 20:05 UTC
Shop the best price
MLB Value
San Francisco Giants v Los Angeles Angels
over 0.5 total runs - 1st 1 inningsTotal Runs - 1st 1 Innings
76.4%
Model win
1.87
Best price
+22.9%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 0.00 Sat 20:05 UTC
Shop the best price
MLB Value
San Francisco Giants v Los Angeles Angels
Bryce Eldridge Bryce Eldridge under 2.5 runs scoredBatter - Runs Scored
96.3%
Model win
1.36
Best price
+22.8%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 1.28 Sat 20:05 UTC
Shop the best price
MLB Value
San Francisco Giants v Los Angeles Angels
Los Angeles Angels +4.5Spread
72.7%
Model win
1.99
Best price
+22.5%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 0.00 Sat 20:05 UTC
Shop the best price
MLB Value
San Francisco Giants v Los Angeles Angels
Los Angeles Angels +4.5Spread
72.7%
Model win
1.99
Best price
+22.5%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 0.00 Sat 20:05 UTC
Shop the best price
MLB Value
San Francisco Giants v Los Angeles Angels
over 9 total runsTotal Runs
71.9%
Model win
2.02
Best price
+22.4%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 0.00 Sat 20:05 UTC
Shop the best price
MLB Value
San Francisco Giants v Los Angeles Angels
over 9 total runsTotal Runs
71.9%
Model win
2.02
Best price
+22.4%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 0.00 Sat 20:05 UTC
Shop the best price
MLB Value
San Francisco Giants v Los Angeles Angels
over 10.5 total runsTotal Runs
60.2%
Model win
2.64
Best price
+22.3%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 0.00 Sat 20:05 UTC
Shop the best price
MLB Value
San Francisco Giants v Los Angeles Angels
over 10.5 total runsTotal Runs
60.2%
Model win
2.64
Best price
+22.3%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 0.00 Sat 20:05 UTC
Shop the best price
MLB Value
San Francisco Giants v Los Angeles Angels
Bryce Eldridge Bryce Eldridge under 1.5 hitsBatter - Hits
84.2%
Model win
1.61
Best price
+22.1%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 1.38 Sat 20:05 UTC
Shop the best price
MLB Value
San Francisco Giants v Los Angeles Angels
Luis Arraez Luis Arraez under 1.5 total basesBatter - Total Bases
75.4%
Model win
1.87
Best price
+21.9%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 2.01 Sat 20:05 UTC
Shop the best price
MLB Value
Tampa Bay Rays v Cleveland Guardians
over 9.5 total runsTotal Runs
58.1%
Model win
2.72
Best price
+21.4%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 0.00 Sat 22:10 UTC
Shop the best price
MLB Value
San Francisco Giants v Los Angeles Angels
over 8.5 total runsTotal Runs
75.4%
Model win
1.83
Best price
+20.8%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 0.00 Sat 20:05 UTC
Shop the best price
MLB Value
San Francisco Giants v Los Angeles Angels
Rafael Devers Rafael Devers under 2.5 runs scoredBatter - Runs Scored
95.6%
Model win
1.33
Best price
+20.4%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 1.32 Sat 20:05 UTC
Shop the best price
MLB Value
San Francisco Giants v Los Angeles Angels
Nolan Schanuel Nolan Schanuel under 1.5 total basesBatter - Total Bases
80.9%
Model win
1.65
Best price
+20.3%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 1.64 Sat 20:05 UTC
Shop the best price
MLB Value
Boston Red Sox v Toronto Blue Jays
over 0.5 total runs - 1st 1 inningsTotal Runs - 1st 1 Innings
65.1%
Model win
2.22
Best price
+20.0%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 0.00 Sat 20:10 UTC
Shop the best price
MLB Value
San Francisco Giants v Los Angeles Angels
Logan Webb Logan Webb under 1.5 walksPitcher - Walks
79.8%
Model win
1.67
Best price
+19.9%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 1.77 Sat 20:05 UTC
Shop the best price
MLB Value
San Francisco Giants v Los Angeles Angels
over 8.5 total runsTotal Runs
75.4%
Model win
1.80
Best price
+19.9%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 0.00 Sat 20:05 UTC
Shop the best price
MLB Value
San Francisco Giants v Los Angeles Angels
over 8.5 total runsTotal Runs
75.4%
Model win
1.80
Best price
+19.9%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 0.00 Sat 20:05 UTC
Shop the best price
MLB Value
Tampa Bay Rays v Cleveland Guardians
Tampa Bay Rays -3.5Spread
39.7%
Model win
5.00
Best price
+19.7%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 0.00 Sat 22:10 UTC
Shop the best price
MLB Value
Tampa Bay Rays v Cleveland Guardians
over 7.5 total runsTotal Runs
73.8%
Model win
1.85
Best price
+19.7%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 0.00 Sat 22:10 UTC
Shop the best price
MLB Value
Tampa Bay Rays v Cleveland Guardians
over 10.5 total runsTotal Runs
49.6%
Model win
3.30
Best price
+19.3%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 0.00 Sat 22:10 UTC
Shop the best price
MLB Value
Tampa Bay Rays v Cleveland Guardians
Tampa Bay Rays -2.5Spread
47.4%
Model win
3.55
Best price
+19.3%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 0.00 Sat 22:10 UTC
Shop the best price
MLB Value
San Francisco Giants v Los Angeles Angels
over 12.5 total runsTotal Runs
43.1%
Model win
4.20
Best price
+19.3%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 0.00 Sat 20:05 UTC
Shop the best price
MLB Value
San Francisco Giants v Los Angeles Angels
over 12.5 total runsTotal Runs
43.1%
Model win
4.20
Best price
+19.3%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 0.00 Sat 20:05 UTC
Shop the best price
MLB Value
San Francisco Giants v Los Angeles Angels
Drew Gilbert Drew Gilbert under 1.5 singlesBatter - Singles
92.7%
Model win
1.36
Best price
+19.2%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 1.12 Sat 20:05 UTC
Shop the best price
MLB Value
Milwaukee Brewers v Colorado Rockies
over 4.5 total runs - 1st 5 inningsTotal Runs - 1st 5 Innings
77.5%
Model win
1.71
Best price
+19.0%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 0.00 Sat 23:10 UTC
Shop the best price
MLB Value
San Francisco Giants v Los Angeles Angels
San Francisco GiantsMoneyline
74.9%
Model win
1.79
Best price
+19.0%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 0.00 Sat 20:05 UTC
Shop the best price
MLB Value
Tampa Bay Rays v Cleveland Guardians
over 8.5 total runsTotal Runs
66.3%
Model win
2.10
Best price
+18.7%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 0.00 Sat 22:10 UTC
Shop the best price
AFL Value
North Melbourne Kangaroos v St Kilda Saints
Bradley Hill Bradley Hill under 26.5 disposalsDisposals
72.3%
Model win
1.86
Best price
+18.5%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 0.00 Sun 05:15 UTC
Shop the best price
MLB Value
San Francisco Giants v Los Angeles Angels
Los Angeles AngelsMoneyline - 1st 5 Innings
32.1%
Model win
7.30
Best price
+18.4%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 0.00 Sat 20:05 UTC
Shop the best price
MLB Value
San Francisco Giants v Los Angeles Angels
Los Angeles AngelsMoneyline - 1st 5 Innings
32.1%
Model win
7.30
Best price
+18.4%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 0.00 Sat 20:05 UTC
Shop the best price
MLB Value
San Francisco Giants v Los Angeles Angels
Rafael Devers Rafael Devers under 2.5 rbisBatter - RBIs
97.5%
Model win
1.26
Best price
+18.1%
Value
Pro
Stake
Fair 1.26 Sat 20:05 UTC
Shop the best price
That was the board anyone can see. Every one of those was priced by the same model — they just didn't clear the bar. The ones that did are waiting at the top of this page.
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From $29/week · cancel in one click · 18+, gamble responsibly
6 more model-flagged value picks are on today's board for Pro members — every extra bet we found priced better than the odds, ranked and sized for you. Unlock all picks →
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Do more with these picks: Value Finder · Shop the best price · Is X playing · Line movement · Live scores · Our record by market
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How to read this: Model win is our best guess at how often this bet wins. Value is how much better the price is than it should be — we only show bets that are worth more than the price. Stake is a safe amount to put on, shown in units (1 unit = 1% of your money) and capped — type your bankroll in the box above to see it in real dollars. It's a guide, not advice. Where we have a track record we show how often we beat the final odds. Odds move and betting sites cut winners, so check the price before you bet. Some days no sport has a real edge — when our model doesn't beat the odds we show nothing rather than make up a pick. 18+. Gamble responsibly.