On Saturday 22 August 2026, Newcastle Knights play Manly Warringah Sea Eagles in the NRL. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is Newcastle Knights to Win, priced at -227 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Newcastle Knights to Win (-227)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

On Saturday 22 August 2026, Newcastle Knights host Manly Warringah Sea Eagles in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is Newcastle Knights Match Winner. This one only needs Newcastle Knights to win the game. It was priced at -227 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14.40 if it lands. That price was showing at Sportsbet. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at -227 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14.40 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Newcastle Knights -6.5 on the Line (-118)

Odds available at TAB at time of publishing

On Saturday 22 August 2026, Newcastle Knights host Manly Warringah Sea Eagles in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is Newcastle Knights -6.5 Line. On this line Newcastle Knights give up 6.5 points before the game starts, so they have to win by more than 6.5. It was priced at -118 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.50 if it lands. That price was showing at TAB. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at -118 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.50 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Under 50.5 Total Points (-112)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

On Saturday 22 August 2026, Newcastle Knights host Manly Warringah Sea Eagles in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is Under 50.5 Total Points. This wins if the two sides score fewer than 50.5 points between them. It was priced at -112 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.90 if it lands. That price was showing at Sportsbet. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at -112 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.90 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads Newcastle Knights v Manly Warringah Sea Eagles. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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