On Saturday 15 August 2026, Neil Magny takes on Ramiz Brahimaj in the UFC. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Under 2.5 Total Rounds, priced at -135 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Under 2.5 Total Rounds (-135)

Odds available at Betanysports at time of publishing

In the fight between Vicente Luque and Tresean Gore, I like the bet on Under 2.5 total rounds. Luque is known for his striking skills and often finishes fights quickly, while Gore has shown he can be aggressive too. With both fighters looking to end the fight fast, it seems likely we won't see a lot of rounds. Our numbers suggest this is a strong pick, but remember, anything can happen in the octagon. Just keep in mind it could be over sooner than you think! It was priced at -135 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $17.40 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Ramiz Brahimaj -3.5 on the Line (-110)

Odds available at Bovada at time of publishing

In the upcoming fight between Neil Magny and Ramiz Brahimaj, I'm picking Brahimaj to win by at least four points. Brahimaj is a strong grappler who can control the fight on the ground. If he can take Magny down and keep him there, he could score big points. Magny is a tough opponent, so this could be a close match. It might feel like a bit of a gamble, but I think Brahimaj has what it takes to pull ahead. Just remember, anything can happen in a fight, so don't expect an easy win! It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

The tale of the tape:

  • Charles Johnson: last five L-W-L-W-L, dropped the last 1, 11% of career wins came by knockout, 48 days since the last fight
  • Eduardo Chapolin: last five W, on a 1-fight win streak, 0% of career wins came by knockout, 345 days since the last fight
  • Chidi Njokuani: last five L-L-W-W-W, dropped the last 2, 11% of career wins came by knockout, 174 days since the last fight
  • Joel Álvarez: last five L-W-W-W-W, dropped the last 1, 15% of career wins came by knockout, 97 days since the last fight
  • Dustin Stoltzfus: last five L-L-W-L-W, dropped the last 2, 8% of career wins came by knockout, 335 days since the last fight
  • Mansur Abdul-Malik: last five L-W-W-W-W, dropped the last 1, 27% of career wins came by knockout, 139 days since the last fight
  • Edson Barboza: last five L-L-L-W-W, dropped the last 3, 24% of career wins came by knockout, 251 days since the last fight
  • Esteban Ribovics: last five L-W-L-W-W, dropped the last 1, 11% of career wins came by knockout, 125 days since the last fight
  • Eric McConico: last five W-L-W-L, on a 1-fight win streak, 0% of career wins came by knockout, 111 days since the last fight
  • Donte Johnson: last five W-W-W, on a 3-fight win streak, 12% of career wins came by knockout, 160 days since the last fight
  • Jalin Turner: last five W-L-L-W-L, on a 1-fight win streak, 21% of career wins came by knockout, 251 days since the last fight
  • Kauê Fernandes: last five W-W-W-L, on a 3-fight win streak, 15% of career wins came by knockout, 342 days since the last fight
  • Jeremiah Wells: last five W-L-L-W-W, on a 1-fight win streak, 11% of career wins came by knockout, 286 days since the last fight
  • Myktybek Orolbai: last five W-W-W-L-W, on a 3-fight win streak, 5% of career wins came by knockout, 153 days since the last fight
  • Lucas Fernando: last five L, dropped the last 1, 0% of career wins came by knockout, 1102 days since the last fight
  • Rafael Tobias: last five L-W, dropped the last 1, 0% of career wins came by knockout, 160 days since the last fight
  • Mackenzie Dern: last five W-W-W-L-L, on a 3-fight win streak, 0% of career wins came by knockout, 293 days since the last fight
  • Gillian Robertson: last five W-W-W-W-W, on a 5-fight win streak, 12% of career wins came by knockout, 153 days since the last fight
  • Vicente Luque: last five W-L-L-W-L, on a 1-fight win streak, 19% of career wins came by knockout, 125 days since the last fight
  • Tresean Gore: last five W-L-L-W-W, on a 1-fight win streak, 0% of career wins came by knockout, 132 days since the last fight

That is how our model reads Neil Magny v Ramiz Brahimaj. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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