Manoel Sousa vs Richie Miranda Prediction & Picks: Winning Game Angles

In the fight between Manoel Sousa and Richie Miranda, I like the bet on Sousa to win by at least four points. Sousa is known for his striking skills, while Miranda often relies on his wrestling. If Sousa can keep the fight standing and use his punches effectively, he should be able to control the action and score points. Our numbers give Sousa a good chance to win by enough to cover the spread. Just remember, anything can happen in the octagon, so while I feel good about this pick, there's no guarantee. It was priced at -154 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.50 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

The tale of the tape:

• Amanda Lemos: last five L-L-W-L-W, dropped the last 2, 14% of career wins came by knockout, 146 days since the last fight
• Alexia Thainara: last five W-W-W-W, on a 4-fight win streak, 0% of career wins came by knockout, 132 days since the last fight
• Bruno Lopes: last five L-L-W-W-L, dropped the last 2, 6% of career wins came by knockout, 132 days since the last fight
• Diyar Nurgozhay: last five W-L-L-W, on a 1-fight win streak, 8% of career wins came by knockout, 153 days since the last fight
• Juliana Miller: last five L-W-L-L-W, dropped the last 1, 11% of career wins came by knockout, 167 days since the last fight
• Ravena Oliveira: last five L-L-L, dropped the last 3, 0% of career wins came by knockout, 139 days since the last fight
• Mateusz Gamrot: last five W-L-W-L-W, on a 1-fight win streak, 10% of career wins came by knockout, 118 days since the last fight
• Quillan Salkilld: last five W-W-W-W-W, on a 6-fight win streak, 23% of career wins came by knockout, 97 days since the last fight
• Miles Johns: last five L-L-L-W-W, dropped the last 3, 10% of career wins came by knockout, 272 days since the last fight
• Steven Asplund: last five L-W-W, dropped the last 1, 22% of career wins came by knockout, 146 days since the last fight
• Guilherme Pat: last five L-W, dropped the last 1, 0% of career wins came by knockout, 125 days since the last fight

That is how our model reads Manoel Sousa v Richie Miranda. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.