On Friday 31 July 2026, Las Vegas Aces play New York Liberty in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Under 199.5 Total Points, priced at -714 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Under 199.5 Total Points (-714)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

As the Las Vegas Aces welcome the New York Liberty to Michelob Ultra Arena, expect a clash where defense takes center stage. Both teams boast robust defensive lineups that thrive on disrupting offensive flow, especially in high-pressure matchups like this one. The Aces have shown they can stifle opponents, and the Liberty - with their gritty play - are no strangers to lower-scoring affairs. With the combined scoring potential projected at around 165 points, the under seems like a savvy play. The pace of this game is likely to be methodical, with both squads taking their time to exploit mismatches rather than rushing into shots. In a playoff atmosphere, the stakes rise, and so does the intensity on defense. This isn't just a battle for points; it's a war for supremacy on the hardwood. Expect a game that might leave the scoreboard a little quieter than anticipated. It was priced at -714 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $11.40 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

New York Liberty +17.5 on the Line (-667)

Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing

As the Las Vegas Aces prepare to host the New York Liberty at the Michelob Ultra Arena, this matchup is shaping up to be a real nail-biter. The Aces, with their home-court advantage, will be looking to assert their dominance, but the Liberty have shown they can rise to the occasion, especially against top-tier teams. Our model forecasts a razor-thin margin, projecting the Aces to win by just two points. What's intriguing here is the Liberty's ability to keep games close, even when facing the league's elite. With their fast pace and high-scoring potential, they can rattle opponents and create mismatches. Betting on New York +17.5 feels like a smart play, allowing for those close, high-intensity moments to unfold without the pressure of a heavy loss. If they can capitalize on their agility and sharpshooting, expect them to stay competitive throughout this thrilling clash. It was priced at -667 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $11.50 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Sabrina Ionescu Over 19.5 Points and Rebounds (-217)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Las Vegas Aces play New York Liberty in the WNBA on Friday 31 July 2026. The bet we are looking at is Sabrina Ionescu Over 19.5 Points and Rebounds. That is a player points and rebounds combined bet. It was priced at -217 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14.60 if it lands. It is on at Michelob Ultra Arena in Las Vegas. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Jackie Young Under 29.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists (-118)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Las Vegas Aces play New York Liberty in the WNBA on Friday 31 July 2026. The bet we are looking at is Jackie Young Under 29.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists. That is a player points, rebounds and assists combined bet. It was priced at -118 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.50 if it lands. It is on at Michelob Ultra Arena in Las Vegas. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Jonquel Jones Over 9.5 Rebounds and Assists (-238)

Odds available at BetRivers at time of publishing

Las Vegas Aces play New York Liberty in the WNBA on Friday 31 July 2026. The bet we are looking at is Jonquel Jones Over 9.5 Rebounds and Assists. That is a player rebounds and assists combined bet. It was priced at -238 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14.20 if it lands. It is on at Michelob Ultra Arena in Las Vegas. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads Las Vegas Aces v New York Liberty. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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