Jonathan Taylor (IND) Under 17.5 Receiving Yards (-111)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The under bet on Jonathan Taylor for the 'player_reception_yds' market seems like a plausible choice, considering his recent performance and statistical trends. Over his last five games, Taylor has not surpassed the 17.5 yards receiving mark (overall_hit_rate_last_5: 0/5), indicating a consistent inability to achieve high reception yards. This trend is consistent both at home and in general (home_hit_rate_last_5: 0/5). Furthermore, his overall hit rate over the last 10 games is a meager 10% (overall_hit_rate_last_10: 1/10). Although Taylor has performed well against Atlanta in the past (vs_atl_hit_rate_last_20: 1/1), his recent slump and the low overall_hit_rate_overall of 59% (26/44) suggest that betting under 17.5 reception yards could be a solid choice. Moreover, the model edge of 8.24% further supports

Jonathan Taylor (IND) Under 17.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The statistical data strongly suggests that betting on Jonathan Taylor to stay under 17.5 reception yards is a prudent choice. Taylor has been consistently performing under this mark, as indicated by his recent hit rates. In the last 5 games, both overall and at home, he has not exceeded 17.5 reception yards once. This trend extends further back as well, with Taylor only hitting over this mark once in his last 10 games overall. His record against the Falcons is also encouraging for this bet, with him staying under 17.5 in their most recent encounter. Although his overall and home hit rates suggest he has the potential to exceed this mark, his current form indicates this is unlikely. With a model edge of 0.076, this bet offers a statistically sound opportunity based on Taylor's current performance trends.

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