On Sunday 16 August 2026, Connecticut Sun play New York Liberty in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Connecticut Sun +20.5 on the Line, priced at -714 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Connecticut Sun +20.5 on the Line (-714)

Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing

Connecticut Sun play New York Liberty in the WNBA on Sunday 16 August 2026. The bet we are looking at is Connecticut Sun +20.5 on the Line. That is a points handicap bet. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. It was priced at -714 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $11.40 if it lands. It is on at Mohegan Sun Arena in Connecticut. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Under 191.5 Total Points (-500)

Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing

As the Connecticut Sun prepare to host the New York Liberty at Mohegan Sun Arena, expect a clash that leans heavily on defense. Both teams have consistently shown a propensity for slowing the pace, particularly in high-stakes games where every possession matters. The Sun, known for their disciplined defensive schemes, will look to stifle the Liberty's star-studded lineup, while New York will counter with its own defensive prowess, aiming to limit Connecticut's offensive flow. With our model projecting a combined total closer to 166.5 points, the Under 191.5 presents a clear value. Both teams have a habit of tightening the screws when playing each other, making it hard to envision a scoring barrage. This matchup shapes up to be a gritty, tactical battle, leaning toward a lower-scoring affair that could keep bettors feeling confident in the Under play. It was priced at -500 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $12 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Brittney Griner Over 9.5 Points (-208)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Connecticut Sun play New York Liberty in the WNBA on Sunday 16 August 2026. The bet we are looking at is Brittney Griner Over 9.5 Points. That is a player points bet. It was priced at -208 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14.80 if it lands. It is on at Mohegan Sun Arena in Connecticut. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Sabrina Ionescu Over 15.5 Points (-250)

Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing

Connecticut Sun play New York Liberty in the WNBA on Sunday 16 August 2026. The bet we are looking at is Sabrina Ionescu Over 15.5 Points. That is a player points bet. It was priced at -250 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14 if it lands. It is on at Mohegan Sun Arena in Connecticut. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Jonquel Jones Over 2.5 Assists (-169)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Connecticut Sun play New York Liberty in the WNBA on Sunday 16 August 2026. The bet we are looking at is Jonquel Jones Over 2.5 Assists. That is a player assists bet. It was priced at -169 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $15.90 if it lands. It is on at Mohegan Sun Arena in Connecticut. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads Connecticut Sun v New York Liberty. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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