On Sunday 9 August 2026, Canberra Raiders play Newcastle Knights in the NRL. Our model likes 4 bets here. The one it likes most is Newcastle Knights +4.5 on the Line, priced at -114 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Newcastle Knights +4.5 on the Line (-114)

Odds available at PointsBet at time of publishing

On Sunday 9 August 2026, Canberra Raiders host Newcastle Knights in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is Newcastle Knights 4.5 Line. On this line Newcastle Knights start with 4.5 points in hand, so they can lose by less than that and this still wins. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.80 if it lands. That price was showing at PointsBet. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.80 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Under 51.5 Total Points (-111)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

On Sunday 9 August 2026, Canberra Raiders host Newcastle Knights in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is Under 51.5 Total Points. This wins if the two sides score fewer than 51.5 points between them. It was priced at -111 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.00 if it lands. That price was showing at Sportsbet. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at -111 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.00 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Newcastle Knights to Win the First Half (+125)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

On Sunday 9 August 2026, Canberra Raiders host Newcastle Knights in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is Newcastle Knights First Half Match Winner. This one only needs Newcastle Knights to be in front at half time. It was priced at +125 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $22.50 if it lands. That price was showing at Sportsbet. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at +125 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $22.50 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Newcastle Knights to Win (+145)

Odds available at PointsBet at time of publishing

On Sunday 9 August 2026, Canberra Raiders host Newcastle Knights in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is Newcastle Knights Match Winner. This one only needs Newcastle Knights to win the game. It was priced at +145 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $24.50 if it lands. That price was showing at PointsBet. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at +145 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $24.50 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads Canberra Raiders v Newcastle Knights. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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