Best MLB Parlay Picks Today, Saturday 07/18 (7-Leg) Nolan Schanuel Prop Focus: Maximize Your Winnings

As the Athletics prepare to face the Nationals, all eyes are on Dylan Crews and his ability to swipe bags. However, the evidence leans heavily towards him staying put on the bases. Crews has shown flashes of speed, but the recent trends paint a different picture. The Nationals have been conservative on the base paths, with a mere 0.06 average stolen bases per game over the past month. On top of that, the Athletics’ pitching staff has excelled at holding runners, limiting stolen base attempts significantly. With the stakes high, expect a more cautious approach from Crews as he evaluates each opportunity. Given that the model indicates a staggering 96.2% chance of staying under 1.5 stolen bases, this matchup looks ripe for a conservative outing. Betting on the 'Under' here feels like a smart play, as the numbers suggest a strong likelihood that Crews will remain anchored on first.

Masyn Winn (NA) Under 1.5 Walks (-1667)

As the Arizona Diamondbacks face off against the St. Louis Cardinals, all eyes will be on Masyn Winn’s plate discipline. While he’s shown flashes of brilliance, recent trends suggest that taking the under on 1.5 walks for the young infielder might be the way to go. Winn has been facing a tough stretch against right-handed pitching, particularly in away games where the Cardinals have struggled to generate free passes. With Diamondbacks ace on the mound, who boasts a stingy walk rate, the odds favor a more aggressive approach at the plate. Add in the fact that Winn has only walked in 10% of his plate appearances this season, and it becomes clear that he’s likely to be swinging rather than waiting for a free pass. Considering the matchup and his current form, betting the under feels like a wise move as he looks to make more contact than take pitches.

Dylan Crews (WSN) Under 1.5 Walks (-500)

As the Athletics gear up to host the Nationals, all eyes will be on rookie sensation Dylan Crews. While he’s shown flashes of brilliance at the plate, his plate discipline is still a work in progress. With a walk rate hovering around 8%, he’s more inclined to swing than to take a free pass. The A’s pitching staff has also been effective at limiting walks, thanks to their aggressive approach on the mound. They’ve averaged just 3.2 walks allowed per game at home, which plays right into this narrative. The combination of Crews's tendency to be overly aggressive and the A’s pitchers’ knack for avoiding walks makes the 'Under 1.5' a compelling angle. With a solid edge in our model and an implied probability nudging towards 83.3%, it feels like a smart move to bet against Crews drawing more than one walk in this matchup.

Harry Ford (NA) Under 1.5 Walks (-667)

As the Athletics gear up to host the Nationals, keep a close eye on Harry Ford's walk total, particularly with the line set at 1.5. Ford has shown flashes of talent, but his recent plate discipline leaves much to be desired. In the past few weeks, he’s struggled to draw walks, facing pitchers that challenge him aggressively. The Nationals' pitching staff has been notably stingy, surrendering just 2.7 walks per nine innings, and with their strong focus on pounding the zone, Ford may find himself swinging more than waiting for his pitch. Moreover, the Athletics' lineup has been plagued with inconsistency, making it tougher for any hitter to find a rhythm. Given these trends and Ford’s current form, betting on the 'Under' feels like a prudent play. With an implied probability nudging 87%, it’s a bet that lines up well with the matchup dynamics.

Geraldo Perdomo (NA) Under 1.5 Walks (-526)

As the Diamondbacks gear up to host the Cardinals, all eyes will be on Geraldo Perdomo, especially in the walks department. Despite showing flashes of brilliance, Perdomo has struggled to draw walks lately, averaging just 0.5 walks over his last ten games. The Cardinals' pitching staff, particularly their starters, have kept opposing hitters in check, boasting a solid 7.8% walk rate against them this season. What’s more, Perdomo faces a tough matchup against a pitcher known for command; he isn't likely to be overly generous on the mound. Given the stakes of this game and the recent trends, it's no surprise that the under on Perdomo's walks is drawing attention. With the odds favoring a low walk count and a significant edge leaning towards the under, it seems likely that Perdomo won't be adding to his walk totals today. Look for him to remain aggressive at the plate rather than taking those free passes.

Gabriel Moreno (NA) Under 1.5 Doubles (-1250)

As the Arizona Diamondbacks gear up to face the St. Louis Cardinals, eyes will be on Gabriel Moreno and his quest for doubles. However, betting on Moreno to go over 1.5 doubles may not be the wisest move. He’s up against a Cardinals pitching staff that has shown remarkable consistency lately, limiting opponents to a mere .300 slugging percentage against lefties. Moreno, while talented, has struggled to find the gap against quality pitching, logging only a handful of extra-base hits in his recent outings. The pressure of the matchup may weigh heavily, especially considering the Cardinals’ tight defense and strategic positioning. The odds are heavily stacked in favor of the under, with a model prediction suggesting an underwhelming 0.11 doubles. With the current trends and Moreno’s recent form, it’s hard to envision him crossing that threshold tonight. Bet the under and feel confident in this pick.