Abe Alsaghir vs Fabrizio Escarrega Prediction & Picks: Analytics Breakdown

On Wednesday 12 August 2026, Abe Alsaghir takes on Fabrizio Escarrega in the UFC. Our model likes one bet here. The one it likes most is Under 1.5 Total Rounds, priced at -105 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Under 1.5 Total Rounds (-105)

Abe Alsaghir and Fabrizio Escarrega are both known for their aggressive fighting styles, which often leads to quick finishes. Alsaghir likes to strike hard and fast, while Escarrega is a skilled wrestler who can end fights on the ground. With both fighters looking to finish the match early, it's likely we won't see many rounds. Our numbers suggest that this fight will probably end before the second round starts, making the bet on under 1.5 rounds a solid choice. Just remember, anything can happen in the octagon! It was priced at -105 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.50 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads Abe Alsaghir v Fabrizio Escarrega. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.