On Monday 10 August 2026, Washington Mystics play Phoenix Mercury in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Under 183.5 Total Points, priced at -526 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Under 183.5 Total Points (-526)
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
As the Washington Mystics gear up to host the Phoenix Mercury at CareFirst Arena, the stage is set for a matchup with a decidedly lower scoring vibe. Both teams have been wrestling with offensive consistency, and that's likely to play a pivotal role in this game. The Mystics, known for their gritty defense, will challenge the Mercury's scoring rhythm, particularly as they try to find their groove without key players. Meanwhile, Phoenix's struggles from beyond the arc have further hampered their ability to light up the scoreboard. With both squads inclined to play at a slower pace, the model's projection of just over 161 total points feels spot-on. Expect a defensive battle that keeps the score well under 183.5. In this clash, it's all about tightening the screws on defense and limiting fast-break opportunities, making the under a tempting play. It was priced at -526 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $11.90 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Washington Mystics +5.5 on the Line (-213)
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
Washington Mystics play Phoenix Mercury in the WNBA on Monday 10 August 2026. The bet we are looking at is Washington Mystics +5.5 on the Line. That is a points handicap bet. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. It was priced at -213 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14.70 if it lands. It is on at CareFirst Arena in Washington. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
Washington Mystics play Phoenix Mercury in the WNBA on Monday 10 August 2026. The bet we are looking at is DeWanna Bonner Over 8.5 Points. That is a player points bet. It was priced at -208 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14.80 if it lands. It is on at CareFirst Arena in Washington. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Sonia Citron Under 19.5 Points and Rebounds (-118)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Washington Mystics play Phoenix Mercury in the WNBA on Monday 10 August 2026. The bet we are looking at is Sonia Citron Under 19.5 Points and Rebounds. That is a player points and rebounds combined bet. It was priced at -118 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.50 if it lands. It is on at CareFirst Arena in Washington. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Washington Mystics play Phoenix Mercury in the WNBA on Monday 10 August 2026. The bet we are looking at is Kahleah Copper Over 1.5 Assists. That is a player assists bet. It was priced at -189 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $15.30 if it lands. It is on at CareFirst Arena in Washington. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads Washington Mystics v Phoenix Mercury. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
See All Our Picks
You're viewing a preview. Subscribe today to unlock the full article and gain access to all our expert insights and best bets - every single day.
Unlock all picks