Dallas Cowboys vs Arizona Cardinals : NA Moneyline (+146)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
Betting on the Arizona Cardinals in the 'h2h' market is a statistically sound choice. The Cardinals have had superior performance in their last five games compared to their opponent. They've averaged a higher score (34.4 vs 21.2), maintained a positive point differential (+2.8 vs -2.6), and demonstrated more effective pass plays (EPA for 12.11 vs 0.91). The Cardinals also have a better home record (3-2 vs 1-4) and have been able to gain more total yards per game (378.4 vs 320.6). While they have lost in their most recent matchup against this opponent, their overall stronger performance indicates a higher chance of winning this time. Their model edge of 0.0595 further supports the bet on the Cardinals. This means the betting market might undervalue the Cardinals, so betting on them could offer good value.
Dallas Cowboys vs Arizona Cardinals : NA Moneyline (+145)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on the Arizona Cardinals in the head-to-head (h2h) market seems to be a reasonable one when considering the recent performance data. The Cardinals have a higher score for both overall and home averages over the last 5 games compared to their opponents, with the home score averaging 33.8 points, which is significantly higher than the away team's overall average of 21.2 points. This advantage is also reflected in the Expected Points Added (EPA) data, with the Cardinals having a positive EPA difference in both overall and home games, whereas the away team has a negative EPA difference in their overall performance. The Cardinals also have a better turnover differential, indicating a more disciplined and efficient team. Even though the Cardinals have a losing record against their opponent in their last 5 encounters, the recent form and statistical advantages suggest a good chance for the Cardinals to win this game.
Dallas Cowboys vs Arizona Cardinals : Over 53.5 Total Points (-115)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The reasoning for betting on Over 53.5 in the totals market for this game is largely based on the recent high-scoring performance of the home team, coupled with the defensive weaknesses of the away team. On average, the home team has scored 34.4 points per game in their last five games, while conceding an average of 31.6 points. This combined score of 66 is significantly higher than the outcome point of 53.5. Furthermore, the home team's Expected Points Added (EPA) for and against also supports a high-scoring game, with a positive EPA difference of 3.82494080222243. This suggests the team's offensive plays have been more effective than the opposition's defense in recent games. On the other hand, the away team has an average combined score of 45 in their last five games and a negative EPA difference of -2.96580866887357, indicating a weaker defensive performance. Overall,
Dallas Cowboys vs Arizona Cardinals : Over 53.5 Total Points (-115)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The statistical data suggests that betting on Over 53.5 points in this game could be a good decision. The home team has scored an average of 34.4 points and conceded 31.6 points in their last five games. The away team has scored an average of 21.2 points and conceded 23.8 points in their last five games. Adding the average points scored by both teams gives us a total of 55.6, which is higher than the line set by the bookmakers. Moreover, the home team has an explosive rate of 0.212 and the away team has an explosive rate of 0.210, indicating that both teams have the capability to score points in bunches. Additionally, the home team has a positive turnover difference, meaning they are likely to have more possessions, potentially leading to more scoring opportunities. On the downside, the away team has a negative record in their last five games, but their record against the home team is
See All Our Picks
You're viewing a preview. Subscribe today to unlock the full article and gain access to all our expert insights and best bets - every single day.
Get Bet Better Pro