On Saturday 1 August 2026, Oban Elliott takes on Michael Oliveira in the UFC. Our model likes one bet here. The one it likes most is Michael Oliveira to Win, priced at -333 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Michael Oliveira to Win (-333)

Odds available at Betfair at time of publishing

Michael Oliveira is facing Oban Elliott in this UFC fight, and our numbers show that Oliveira is a strong favorite. Oliveira is known for his striking skills, which could give him an advantage against Elliott. If Oliveira can keep the fight standing and use his punches effectively, he has a good chance of winning. However, fights can be unpredictable, and there's no guarantee he'll come out on top. Still, if you're feeling hopeful, betting on Oliveira seems like a solid choice. It was priced at -333 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $13.00 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

The tale of the tape:

  • Oban Elliott: last five L-L-W-W-W, dropped the last 2, 6% of career wins came by knockout, 180 days since the last fight
  • Michael Oliveira: last five W, on a 1-fight win streak, 11% of career wins came by knockout, 288 days since the last fight

That is how our model reads Oban Elliott v Michael Oliveira. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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