On Saturday 1 August 2026, Jan Blachowicz takes on Navajo Stirling in the UFC. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is Under 2.5 Total Rounds, priced at +174 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Under 2.5 Total Rounds (+174)

Odds available at BetOnline at time of publishing

In the fight between Jan Blachowicz and Navajo Stirling, I like the bet on under 2.5 rounds. Both guys have exciting styles, and they can finish fights quickly. Blachowicz is a powerful striker, while Stirling is known for his grappling skills. With their aggressive approaches, I think it's likely one of them will find a way to end it early. Our numbers show a strong chance for this to happen, but remember, anything can occur in the octagon. So, while this looks promising, it's still a gamble. It was priced at +174 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $27.40 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Navajo Stirling -3.5 on the Line (-120)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

I like Navajo Stirling to win by more than 3.5 points against Jan Blachowicz. Stirling is known for his wrestling skills and can use them to control the fight, while Blachowicz is more of a striker. If Stirling can take the fight to the ground and keep Blachowicz there, he should be able to win by a decent margin. It feels like a strong chance for Stirling to cover that spread, but, remember, anything can happen in a fight. Keep your expectations realistic! It was priced at -120 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.30 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Jan Blachowicz to Win (+270)

Odds available at Betfair at time of publishing

Jan Blachowicz is a tough fighter known for his striking skills, which could really come in handy in this matchup against Navajo Stirling. Blachowicz has a solid chance to win, especially if he can keep the fight standing and land his powerful punches. Stirling usually likes to take the fight to the ground, so if Blachowicz can avoid that and use his striking to his advantage, he has a real shot. Betting on him as the underdog might feel risky, but sometimes the biggest surprises come from unexpected places. Just remember, anything can happen in the octagon! It was priced at +270 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $37 if it lands. This is a long shot at the price, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

The tale of the tape:

  • Jan Blachowicz: last five L-L-W-L-W, dropped the last 2, 12% of career wins came by knockout, 495 days since the last fight
  • Navajo Stirling: last five W-W-W-W-W, on a 6-fight win streak, 30% of career wins came by knockout, 40 days since the last fight

That is how our model reads Jan Blachowicz v Navajo Stirling. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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