Los Angeles Kings vs Vegas Golden Knights : Under 10.5 Total Goals (-5000)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The 'Under 10.5' bet is recommended due to the recent low-scoring performances from both teams. The Los Angeles Kings have an average of 1.8 goals scored and 3.2 goals against in their last 5 home games, while the Vegas Golden Knights have an average of 2.2 goals scored and 3.2 goals against in their last 5 away games. The total average goals for both teams in these games is significantly lower than 10.5, suggesting a lower-scoring game is likely. Additionally, the model prediction of 1.39 further supports this outcome. Both teams have also shown a lack of power play efficiency, indicated by the low PPgoals averages, which could further limit scoring. The records of the teams also indicate tight matches, with both teams having a similar win-lose ratio in their last 5 games. This suggests a competitive, possibly low-scoring game. Therefore, the 'Under 10.5' is

Los Angeles Kings vs Vegas Golden Knights : Los Angeles Kings +4.5 (-5000)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The bet on Los Angeles Kings 4.5 is based on the team's recent performance and implied probability. Despite the Kings' L5 overall record of 2-3, their average goals against (3.2) are relatively close to the Golden Knights' goals average (2.2), suggesting that the Kings can keep the game competitive. Plus, the Kings' home record is stronger, with a 2-3 performance. This implies a fighting chance against the Golden Knights, who have a strong away record of 4-1. Furthermore, the model prediction of 0.22 and implied probability of 98.0% suggest a high likelihood of the Kings not losing by more than 4.5 goals. This, combined with a relatively low model prediction standard deviation (1.58), indicates a lower risk of the Kings underperforming against the bet. Therefore, the Kings 4.5 bet is statistically sound as it predicts a close game given recent performances.

Mark Stone (Vegas Golden Knights) Over 1.5 Shots On Goal (-179)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The statistical data strongly supports a bet on Mark Stone for over 1.5 shots on goal in the upcoming game. The model predicts Stone to have approximately 2.64 shots, which is above the line of 1.5. Furthermore, his recent performance verifies this prediction, as he averages 2.8 shots in his last five away games and 2.6 shots overall. This consistent performance is also reflected in his hit streaks; Stone has surpassed the 1.5 shots mark in each of his last five games, both on the road and overall. Therefore, it's statistically likely that Stone will continue his trend of getting more than 1.5 shots on goal in the upcoming game against the Los Angeles Kings.

See All Our Picks

You're viewing a preview. Subscribe today to unlock the full article and gain access to all our expert insights and best bets - every single day.

Get Bet Better Pro