On Sunday 16 August 2026, Las Vegas Aces play Minnesota Lynx in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Under 199.5 Total Points, priced at -714 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Under 199.5 Total Points (-714)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
As the Las Vegas Aces prepare to face the Minnesota Lynx at the Michelob Ultra Arena, a clash of contrasting styles sets the stage for a potentially low-scoring affair. The Aces thrive on a fast-paced game but will likely find themselves stifled by Minnesota's disciplined defense, which has shown an ability to slow down even the most potent offenses. With both teams currently trending toward a conservative game plan, our model suggests a total that hovers around 161.5 points-well below the set line of 199.5. The Lynx, known for their grinding style, will look to control the tempo and limit possessions, aiming to keep the Aces from running wild. Expect a strategic battle where every point counts, making the under a compelling perspective as both teams might struggle to find their offensive rhythm amid the pressure. It was priced at -714 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $11.40 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Las Vegas Aces +5.5 on the Line (-179)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
When the Las Vegas Aces welcome the Minnesota Lynx to the Michelob Ultra Arena, expect a high-octane showdown filled with offensive firepower. The Aces thrive at home, leveraging their fast-paced style to build momentum, and they'll look to exploit the Lynx's defensive vulnerabilities. While our model suggests a razor-thin margin, the Aces have shown resilience, particularly in crunch time, which could be the difference-maker here. With the Aces averaging over 90 points in recent home games, their ability to outscore opponents is a significant factor. The key will be their depth and the playmaking of their stars, who can create mismatches against the Lynx's defense. Considering the Aces' home-court advantage and their motivation to solidify playoff positioning, betting on them to cover the 5.5-point spread feels like a smart play. Get ready for an electrifying matchup that could see Las Vegas shining brightly once again. It was priced at -179 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $15.60 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Odds available at William Hill at time of publishing
Las Vegas Aces play Minnesota Lynx in the WNBA on Sunday 16 August 2026. The bet we are looking at is Natasha Howard Over 4.5 Rebounds. That is a player rebounds bet. It was priced at -244 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14.10 if it lands. It is on at Michelob Ultra Arena in Las Vegas. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Kayla McBride Over 19.5 Points and Rebounds (+102)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Las Vegas Aces play Minnesota Lynx in the WNBA on Sunday 16 August 2026. The bet we are looking at is Kayla McBride Over 19.5 Points and Rebounds. That is a player points and rebounds combined bet. It was priced at +102 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $20.20 if it lands. It is on at Michelob Ultra Arena in Las Vegas. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
A'ja Wilson Over 22.5 Points (-238)
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
Las Vegas Aces play Minnesota Lynx in the WNBA on Sunday 16 August 2026. The bet we are looking at is A'ja Wilson Over 22.5 Points. That is a player points bet. It was priced at -238 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14.20 if it lands. It is on at Michelob Ultra Arena in Las Vegas. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads Las Vegas Aces v Minnesota Lynx. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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