Jessica Pegula vs Ann Li Prediction: Odds & Edge Breakdown

Us Open: Jessica Pegula vs Ann Li — Jessica Pegula Moneyline (-385)

Jessica Pegula is a strong pick against Ann Li, backed by compelling statistics. Pegula boasts a 60.7% first-serve percentage and wins 57.7% of her first-serve points, indicating her ability to dominate service games. Her overall serve points won percentage stands at 51%, demonstrating consistent performance under pressure. Additionally, she has a solid 38.7% break point save rate, showcasing her resilience in critical moments. In her last five matches, Pegula has a 60% win rate, reflecting solid form heading into this matchup. Ann Li’s statistics are not available for comparison, but Pegula's performance on hard courts and her superior serve metrics position her well. With an implied probability of 79.4% against a model probability of 97.9%, the 1.26 odds present a significant value edge of 18.5%. This makes Pegula the clear choice for this head-to-head matchup.