Aus Open Singles: Emilio Nava vs Cameron Norrie — Cameron Norrie Moneyline (-909)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Cameron Norrie is a strong pick against Emilio Nava, given his superior recent form and serve performance on hard court. Norrie boasts a high first-serve percentage of 71.5% and wins 68.4% of his first-serve points, showing consistent pressure and effectiveness when serving. His second-serve points won rate of 63.2% further demonstrates resilience under pressure. Additionally, he has a solid break point save percentage of 69.3%, indicating his ability to handle critical moments. In contrast, Nava's recent form is not as strong, with a win rate of only 60% in his last five matches. Norrie’s overall model probability (94.2%) compared to the implied probability (90.1%) suggests there is value at the current odds of 1.11. Given these statistics, Norrie’s edge in serve performance and experience on hard courts makes him a compelling bet.

See All Our Picks

You're viewing a preview. Subscribe today to unlock the full article and gain access to all our expert insights and best bets - every single day.

Get My Full Access