Predictions
Dustin Stoltzfus vs Mansur Abdul-Malik Prediction & Picks: Winning Game Angles
On Sunday 16 August 2026, Dustin Stoltzfus takes on Mansur Abdul-Malik in the UFC. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Mansur Abdul-Malik to Win, priced at -588 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Mansur Abdul-Malik to Win (-588)
Odds available at Betfair at time of publishing
Dustin Stoltzfus takes on Mansur Abdul-Malik in the UFC on Sunday 16 August 2026. The bet we are looking at is Mansur Abdul-Malik to Win. That is a match winner bet. It was priced at -588 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $11.70 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Mansur Abdul-Malik -5.5 on the Line (-233)
Odds available at Bovada at time of publishing
Mansur Abdul-Malik is a strong fighter who likes to strike and can keep the pressure on his opponents. Dustin Stoltzfus will need to be careful and avoid getting caught in tough spots. Our numbers suggest that Mansur has a good chance to win by a decent margin, so betting on him to win by more than 5.5 points looks promising. Just remember, fights can be unpredictable, and anything can happen once they step into the octagon. It was priced at -233 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14.30 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
The tale of the tape:
- Dustin Stoltzfus: last five L-L-W-L-W, dropped the last 2, 8% of career wins came by knockout, 336 days since the last fight
- Mansur Abdul-Malik: last five L-W-W-W-W, dropped the last 1, 27% of career wins came by knockout, 140 days since the last fight
That is how our model reads Dustin Stoltzfus v Mansur Abdul-Malik. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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