On Saturday 8 August 2026, Connecticut Sun play Phoenix Mercury in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Under 188 Total Points, priced at -500 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Under 188 Total Points (-500)
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
As the Connecticut Sun prepare to host the Phoenix Mercury at the Mohegan Sun Arena, we're in for a matchup that leans heavily towards a defensive battle. Both teams have shown a penchant for slowing the pace, and with their recent trends pointing to low-scoring affairs, the under seems like the play here. The Sun are known for their gritty defense, often stifling their opponents' scoring opportunities, while the Mercury have struggled to find offensive rhythm, especially on the road. With our model projecting a combined total of around 158 points, it's clear that a firework show is unlikely. As both teams focus on tightening up defensively, we can expect a game that favors the under. With the stakes high, every possession will matter, leading to a drawn-out contest that ultimately keeps the score well below that 188 mark. This game is all about control, and the defenses are poised to shine. It was priced at -500 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $12 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Connecticut Sun +17.5 on the Line (-714)
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
Connecticut Sun play Phoenix Mercury in the WNBA on Saturday 8 August 2026. The bet we are looking at is Connecticut Sun +17.5 on the Line. That is a points handicap bet. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. It was priced at -714 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $11.40 if it lands. It is on at Mohegan Sun Arena in Connecticut. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
Connecticut Sun play Phoenix Mercury in the WNBA on Saturday 8 August 2026. The bet we are looking at is DeWanna Bonner Over 8.5 Points. That is a player points bet. It was priced at -189 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $15.30 if it lands. It is on at Mohegan Sun Arena in Connecticut. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Kelsey Plum Over 5.5 Rebounds and Assists (-250)
Odds available at BetOnline at time of publishing
Connecticut Sun play Phoenix Mercury in the WNBA on Saturday 8 August 2026. The bet we are looking at is Kelsey Plum Over 5.5 Rebounds and Assists. That is a player rebounds and assists combined bet. It was priced at -250 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14 if it lands. It is on at Mohegan Sun Arena in Connecticut. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Connecticut Sun play Phoenix Mercury in the WNBA on Saturday 8 August 2026. The bet we are looking at is Kahleah Copper Over 1.5 Assists. That is a player assists bet. It was priced at -189 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $15.30 if it lands. It is on at Mohegan Sun Arena in Connecticut. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads Connecticut Sun v Phoenix Mercury. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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