On Wednesday 19 August 2026, Connecticut Sun play Los Angeles Sparks in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Under 188.5 Total Points, priced at -476 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Under 188.5 Total Points (-476)
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
As the Connecticut Sun host the Los Angeles Sparks at the Mohegan Sun Arena, the stage is set for a defensive showdown. Both teams have a penchant for controlling the tempo, and with the Sun's stingy defense allowing just 75 points per game, they're bound to frustrate the Sparks' offensive rhythm. Los Angeles, on the other hand, has struggled to find its scoring groove lately, often failing to break the 80-point mark. Given their recent performances and the Sun's ability to stifle opposing offenses, a combined score in the low 160s feels more realistic. The model reflects this sentiment, projecting around 160.9 total points for the matchup. With both teams prioritizing defense over fireworks, betting the under on 188.5 seems like a savvy play as they battle for every point in what promises to be a hard-fought game. It was priced at -476 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $12.10 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Connecticut Sun +6.5 on the Line (-204)
Odds available at BetRivers at time of publishing
As the Connecticut Sun prepare to host the Los Angeles Sparks at the Mohegan Sun Arena, the atmosphere promises to be electric, and so does the matchup. The Sun, known for their relentless pace and disciplined defense, have the advantage of home court. Their ability to score quickly and efficiently, paired with a solid defensive scheme, makes them formidable. The Sparks, while talented, have struggled with consistency, particularly on the road. Connecticut's depth and chemistry could exploit this, especially as they look to build momentum heading into the playoffs. With our model projecting a narrow win for the Sun, taking them at -6.5 offers a cushion that feels right. Expect the Sun to assert their will, leveraging that home-court energy to not just win, but cover the spread in a game likely to feature plenty of scoring opportunities. It was priced at -204 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14.90 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Rae Burrell Under 2.5 Three-Pointers Made (-161)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Connecticut Sun play Los Angeles Sparks in the WNBA on Wednesday 19 August 2026. The bet we are looking at is Rae Burrell Under 2.5 Three-Pointers Made. That is a player three-pointers made bet. It was priced at -161 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.20 if it lands. It is on at Mohegan Sun Arena in Connecticut. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Connecticut Sun play Los Angeles Sparks in the WNBA on Wednesday 19 August 2026. The bet we are looking at is Brittney Griner Over 9.5 Points. That is a player points bet. It was priced at -196 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $15.10 if it lands. It is on at Mohegan Sun Arena in Connecticut. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Odds available at BetOnline at time of publishing
Connecticut Sun play Los Angeles Sparks in the WNBA on Wednesday 19 August 2026. The bet we are looking at is Nneka Ogwumike Over 2.5 Assists. That is a player assists bet. It was priced at -167 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.00 if it lands. It is on at Mohegan Sun Arena in Connecticut. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads Connecticut Sun v Los Angeles Sparks. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
Unlock the rest of this one
You're reading the free preview. One plan unlocks the full article and every pick we back — every league, every day.
Unlock the full article