Tanner Hudson (CIN) Over 14.5 Player reception yds alternate (+185)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Betting on Tanner Hudson to achieve over 14.5 yards in receptions in the game between the Cincinnati Bengals and the Chicago Bears is backed by a number of positive statistical trends. Hudson's performance at home stands out particularly, with a hit rate of 11/14 overall and 7/10 in his last 10 home games. This suggests that Hudson performs better on home turf, a factor that could come into play in this matchup. Furthermore, Hudson has also performed well against the Bears in previous encounters. He has a 100% hit rate in his last game against the Bears, both in general and at home. This suggests that the Bears’ defense may be particularly susceptible to Hudson’s style of play. Even though Hudson's recent overall hit rate and current hit streak aren't impressive, his proven record at home and against the Bears make the bet a worthwhile consideration.

Andrei Iosivas (CIN) Under 17.5 Receiving Yards (-108)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The under 17.5 player reception yards bet for Andrei Iosivas in the Cincinnati Bengals vs. Chicago Bears game is supported by recent performance data. Over his last five games, both overall and at home, Iosivas has not hit the over on this prop bet. His hit rate for the last 20 games is just 25% overall and 39% at home. This suggests a lack of consistency in achieving more than 17.5 reception yards per game. His overall hit rate of 41% (13 out of 32 games) is also less than impressive. Additionally, his current hit streak is at zero, meaning he's currently on a run of games where he hasn't achieved over 17.5 reception yards. Therefore, the under bet for Iosivas, supported by a model edge of 0.089, is a reasonable choice based on his recent performance trends.

Cincinnati Bengals vs Chicago Bears : NA Moneyline (+136)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on the Cincinnati Bengals to win head-to-head against their opponent in the NFL game is supported by the statistical data presented. The Bengals display a stronger performance in their last five overall and home-away games with a winning record of 4-1 and 3-2 respectively, compared to the home team's 1-4 and 3-2. The Bengals also exhibit positive overall performance in the scoring, with a 3.4 point difference, compared to the home team's -9.2, suggesting they have been outscoring their opponents more consistently. Additionally, the Bengals have a positive Expected Points Added (EPA) differential of 5.03, indicating their plays contribute more to scoring, whereas the home team has a negative overall EPA differential of -10.67. Moreover, the Bengals have a better turnover differential of 2.4, compared to the home team's 0.4, implying they are better at capitalizing on opponents' mistakes

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