On Saturday 15 August 2026, Charles Johnson takes on Eduardo Chapolin in the UFC. Our model likes one bet here. The one it likes most is Eduardo Chapolin to Win, priced at +105 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Eduardo Chapolin to Win (+105)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

I'm picking Eduardo Chapolin to win his fight against Charles Johnson. This matchup feels pretty even, kind of like tossing a coin. Chapolin is a strong striker and can really pack a punch, which might give him the upper hand if he can keep the fight standing. Johnson is tough and has skills, too, so it won't be easy for Chapolin. There's a good chance this could go either way, but I think Chapolin has what it takes to pull off the win. Just remember, anything can happen in a fight! It was priced at +105 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $20.50 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

The tale of the tape:

  • Charles Johnson: last five L-W-L-W-L, dropped the last 1, 11% of career wins came by knockout, 48 days since the last fight
  • Eduardo Chapolin: last five W, on a 1-fight win streak, 0% of career wins came by knockout, 345 days since the last fight

That is how our model reads Charles Johnson v Eduardo Chapolin. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

Unlock the rest of this one

You're reading the free preview. One plan unlocks the full article and every pick we back — every league, every day.

Unlock the full article