Borislav Nikolic vs Mark Vologdin Prediction & Picks: Winning Game Angles

On Saturday 1 August 2026, Borislav Nikolic takes on Mark Vologdin in the UFC. Our model likes one bet here. The one it likes most is Borislav Nikolic -3.5 on the Line, priced at -110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Borislav Nikolic -3.5 on the Line (-110)

I like Borislav Nikolic to win by at least four points against Mark Vologdin. Nikolic is a solid striker who can land some big hits, while Vologdin often relies on grappling. If Nikolic can keep the fight standing and avoid being taken down, he has a real chance to score enough points to cover the spread. This fight looks pretty close, so it's not a sure thing, but I think Nikolic has what it takes to pull ahead. Just remember, anything can happen in the octagon! It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

The tale of the tape:

• Alexander Poppeck: last five L, dropped the last 1, 0% of career wins came by knockout, 2563 days since the last fight
• Jovan Leka: last five W, on a 1-fight win streak, 0% of career wins came by knockout, 288 days since the last fight
• Daniel Rodriguez: last five W-W-W-L-L, on a 3-fight win streak, 12% of career wins came by knockout, 376 days since the last fight
• Dennis Buzukja: last five L-L-W-L-L, dropped the last 2, 6% of career wins came by knockout, 103 days since the last fight
• Bogdan Grad: last five L-L-W-W-L, dropped the last 2, 5% of career wins came by knockout, 250 days since the last fight
• Robert Valentin: last five W-L-L-L, on a 1-fight win streak, 0% of career wins came by knockout, 103 days since the last fight
• Gilbert Urbina: last five L-L-W-L-L, dropped the last 2, 8% of career wins came by knockout, 355 days since the last fight
• Hailey Cowan: last five L-L-L-W, dropped the last 3, 0% of career wins came by knockout, 117 days since the last fight
• Jan Blachowicz: last five L-L-W-L-W, dropped the last 2, 12% of career wins came by knockout, 495 days since the last fight
• Navajo Stirling: last five W-W-W-W-W, on a 6-fight win streak, 30% of career wins came by knockout, 40 days since the last fight
• Kyle Prepolec: last five L-L-L-L, dropped the last 4, 0% of career wins came by knockout, 285 days since the last fight
• Ludovit Klein: last five W-L-W-W-W, on a 1-fight win streak, 7% of career wins came by knockout, 278 days since the last fight
• Tofiq Musayev: last five W-L, on a 1-fight win streak, 0% of career wins came by knockout, 124 days since the last fight
• Marcin Tybura: last five L-L-W-W-L, dropped the last 2, 11% of career wins came by knockout, 124 days since the last fight
• Aleksandar Rakic: last five L-L-L-L-W, dropped the last 4, 10% of career wins came by knockout, 278 days since the last fight
• Oban Elliott: last five L-L-W-W-W, dropped the last 2, 6% of career wins came by knockout, 180 days since the last fight
• Michael Oliveira: last five W, on a 1-fight win streak, 11% of career wins came by knockout, 288 days since the last fight

That is how our model reads Borislav Nikolic v Mark Vologdin. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.