Parlay Opportunities
Best Tennis Parlay Picks Today, Wednesday 09/03 (3-Leg) Power Play
Winning angles for Novak Djokovic vs Carlos Alcaraz. Includes a 3-leg parlay. Includes tennis parlay picks, moneyline combos, ATP/WTA odds.
Us Open: Novak Djokovic vs Carlos Alcaraz — Carlos Alcaraz Moneyline (-385)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Carlos Alcaraz offers significant value at 1.26 against Novak Djokovic, backed by impressive recent form and serve performance. Over his last five matches, Alcaraz has a first serve percentage of 65.2% and wins 81.1% of first serve points, indicating strong serving efficiency. In contrast, Djokovic's opponent serve points won percentage is notably lower at 61.9%. Alcaraz's second serve points won rate (56.5%) surpasses Djokovic's (40.1%), highlighting his ability to capitalize on pressure points. Furthermore, Alcaraz's break point save percentage of 26.7% indicates resilience under pressure, while Djokovic struggles with a much higher break point save ratio of 92.1%. With a model probability of 97.2% versus an implied probability of 79.4% for Alcaraz, the edge of 17.8% solidifies him as the value side in this matchup, especially on hard court where both excel.
Us Open: Amanda Anisimova vs Iga Swiatek — Iga Swiatek Moneyline (-385)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Iga Swiatek is a strong pick at 1.26 against Amanda Anisimova, given her superior recent form and serve performance. Over her last five matches, Swiatek has an impressive win rate of 80%, highlighting her consistency. She has maintained a first-serve percentage of 65.3% and won 65.8% of her first-serve points, showcasing her effectiveness in service games. Furthermore, her second-serve points won at 43.7% and a break point save percentage of 57.1% suggest resilience under pressure. In contrast, Anisimova has struggled with a lower overall win rate and inconsistent serve stats, which could expose her against Swiatek's strong return game. Given the model probability of 94.98% against the implied probability of 79.37%, there is a significant edge of 15.6% favoring Swiatek. Her superior performance metrics on hard courts make her the value side in this matchup.
Us Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula — Aryna Sabalenka Moneyline (-333)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Aryna Sabalenka presents significant value at 1.3 against Jessica Pegula due to her superior recent form and serve performance. Over her last five matches, Sabalenka boasts an impressive 80% win rate and a first-serve percentage of 65.6%, winning 66.9% of her first-serve points. In contrast, Pegula has a lower first-serve win rate of 72.2% and her overall serve performance is slightly weaker with a 63.6% win rate on serve. Additionally, Sabalenka's second-serve points won (46.8%) and BP save percentage (53.1%) indicate resilience under pressure, while Pegula's BP save rate is significantly lower at 31.1%. Sabalenka's ability to generate aces (5.2%) while maintaining a low double fault rate (4.3%) further solidifies her edge. Given these indicators, coupled with her strong model probability of 85.2%, Sabalenka is positioned as the value side in this matchup.
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