Here are our Tennis picks for Thursday 13 August 2026. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is Luca Van Assche vs Dusan Lajovic: Luca Van Assche to win the match, priced at -227 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Luca Van Assche vs Dusan Lajovic: Luca Van Assche to win the match (-227)

Odds available at pinnacle at time of publishing

Luca Van Assche faces Dusan Lajovic at Cincinnati Open on Thursday 13 August 2026. They are playing on a hard court. This is a match winner bet, so it lands if Luca Van Assche wins the match. It was priced at -227 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14.40 if it lands. Our model likes this one a lot. Luca Van Assche presents strong value at 1.44 against Dusan Lajovic, driven by superior recent form and serve performance on hard courts. Van Assche has an impressive 80% win rate over his last 5 matches, compared to Lajovic's 60% over 10 matches. On hard courts, Van Assche's first-serve percentage stands at approximately 63.6%, winning 71.7% of first points and 52.9% on second serves. His ability to save break points is solid at 51.9%, indicating resilience under pressure. Additionally, he maintains a low double fault rate (4.1%) while generating a respectable ace rate (7.3%).

Alycia Parks vs Viktorija Golubic: Viktorija Golubic to win the match (-175)

Odds available at pinnacle at time of publishing

Alycia Parks faces Viktorija Golubic at Cincinnati Open on Thursday 13 August 2026. They are playing on a hard court. This is a match winner bet, so it lands if Viktorija Golubic wins the match. It was priced at -175 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $15.70 if it lands. Our model likes this one a lot. Viktorija Golubic presents strong value at 1.57 against Alycia Parks based on recent hard court performance and form. Golubic has a solid average of 69% first serve percentage and wins 55.7% of first serve points, demonstrating her ability to dominate service games. She also maintains a decent 56% break point save rate, indicating resilience under pressure. In contrast, Parks has struggled to find her rhythm, evidenced by her win rate of only 60% over the last five matches. Golubic’s overall form is superior, with a 70% win rate over her last ten matches, compared to Parks' inconsistent performance. With these key stats highlighting Golubic's superior serving and recent form, she is the clear pick for value in this matchup.

Katie Boulter vs Katie Volynets: Katie Boulter to win the match (-103)

Odds available at pinnacle at time of publishing

Katie Boulter faces Katie Volynets at Cincinnati Open on Thursday 13 August 2026. They are playing on a hard court. This is a match winner bet, so it lands if Katie Boulter wins the match. It was priced at -103 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.70 if it lands. Our model likes this one a lot. Boulter's recent hard-court form shows a solid average first serve percentage of 62%, winning 63% of first serve points and 46% of second serve points. Her overall serve points won rate stands at 57.7%, which is competitive against Volynets’ lower averages (64% serve points won). Boulter also demonstrates resilience, saving 47.5% of break points, in contrast to Volynets’ 85.7% against tougher opponents. Additionally, Boulter's lower double fault rate (6.3%) enhances her reliability under pressure, while her ace rate of 2% adds an offensive threat. With a recent win rate of 20% over the last five matches, the odds suggest her potential for an upset is underappreciated, making her the value pick in this matchup.

That is the model's read on today's Tennis card. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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