Amanda Lemos vs Alexia Thainara Prediction & Picks: Don't Miss These Odds

I'm picking Alexia Thainara to cover the point spread against Amanda Lemos. Thainara is a strong striker and has shown she can control fights, which might give her an advantage here. Lemos needs to keep the fight standing and be aggressive to win, but if Thainara can stick to her game plan, she should be able to pull ahead. Our numbers suggest Thainara has a good chance to win by a decent margin. Just remember, fights can be unpredictable, so there's no guarantee here, but this could be a solid bet. It was priced at +145 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $24.50 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

The tale of the tape:

• Bruno Lopes: last five L-L-W-W-L, dropped the last 2, 6% of career wins came by knockout, 133 days since the last fight
• Diyar Nurgozhay: last five W-L-L-W, on a 1-fight win streak, 8% of career wins came by knockout, 154 days since the last fight
• Juliana Miller: last five L-W-L-L-W, dropped the last 1, 11% of career wins came by knockout, 168 days since the last fight
• Ravena Oliveira: last five L-L-L, dropped the last 3, 0% of career wins came by knockout, 140 days since the last fight
• Louie Sutherland: last five W-L-L, on a 1-fight win streak, 0% of career wins came by knockout, 98 days since the last fight
• Manoel Sousa: last five W-W, on a 2-fight win streak, 13% of career wins came by knockout, 147 days since the last fight
• Mateusz Gamrot: last five W-L-W-L-W, on a 1-fight win streak, 10% of career wins came by knockout, 119 days since the last fight
• Quillan Salkilld: last five W-W-W-W-W, on a 6-fight win streak, 23% of career wins came by knockout, 98 days since the last fight
• Miles Johns: last five L-L-L-W-W, dropped the last 3, 10% of career wins came by knockout, 273 days since the last fight
• Gianni Vazquez: last five L, dropped the last 1, 0% of career wins came by knockout, 182 days since the last fight
• Steven Asplund: last five L-W-W, dropped the last 1, 22% of career wins came by knockout, 147 days since the last fight
• Guilherme Pat: last five L-W, dropped the last 1, 0% of career wins came by knockout, 126 days since the last fight

That is how our model reads Amanda Lemos v Alexia Thainara. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.