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Today's bets are live / Top performing picks daily / Tracked in public — wins & losses
WEDNESDAY · JULY 29 · 1 CLEARED BETS · 6 MULTIS

Today's Sharp Picks

Our model checks every bet on today’s board and throws almost all of them out. What survives is worth backing — with the price and how much to put on. Free to browse, no signup.

Model vs the odds · best bets first · updated 2026-07-29 10:14 UTC
Our proven bet types are up +489.8 unitsa +16.0% return at flat stakes · every result graded in public · today’s 1 cleared bets come from those same bet types
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Recent winners · 1 unit a bet
✓Cleveland Guardians · Moneyline+1.4uJul 28
✓Cincinnati Reds 1.5 · Spread+0.8uJul 28
✓Cincinnati Reds v Cleveland Guardians · Over 0.5 Total Runs - 1st 1 Innings+0.8uJul 28
✓JJ Bleday Under 1.5 Batter - Total Bases+0.7uJul 28
✓Nathaniel Lowe Over 0.5 Batter - Hits+0.5uJul 28
✓Nathaniel Lowe Over 0.5 Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs+0.4uJul 28
✓Cincinnati Reds v Cleveland Guardians · Under 11.5 Total Runs+0.4uJul 28
✓Toronto Blue Jays · Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings+1.1uJul 27
Today's multis

Built to actually land, not just to look big

Built only from legs the model already backed — capped where the maths stops making sense. Members see every leg. 18+, bet what you can afford.

UFC · 3-leg Pro
Dennis Buzukja v Bogdan Grad
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Ludovit Klein v Tofiq Musayev
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Duško Todorovic v Robert Valentin
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Returns $891
Unlock this multi
MLB · 5-leg Pro
Washington Nationals v Toronto Blue Jays
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Los Angeles Dodgers v Seattle Mariners
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Athletics v Boston Red Sox
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+2 more legs
Returns $1,195
Unlock this multi
MLB · 3-leg Pro
Los Angeles Dodgers v Seattle Mariners
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Returns $149
Unlock this multi
NCAAF · 2-leg Pro
Wake Forest Demon Deacons v Akron Zips
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West Virginia Mountaineers v Coastal Carolina Chanticleers
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Returns $386
Unlock this multi
NCAAF · 2-leg Pro
Wake Forest Demon Deacons v Akron Zips
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Georgia State Panthers v North Carolina A&T Aggies
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Returns $380
Unlock this multi
NRL · 3-leg Pro
Brisbane Broncos v Newcastle Knights
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Melbourne Storm v Canterbury Bulldogs
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Cronulla Sutherland Sharks v South Sydney Rabbitohs
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Returns $917
Unlock this multi
Today's cleared bets

We looked at 1,955 bets today. 1 made it through.

The bets our model actually backed. You see the game and the market — members see the bet, the price and the stake.

AFL·Hawthorn Hawks v North Melbourne Kangaroos·Head to Head·Sat Aug 1, 03:35 UTC
Top pick
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From $29/week · cancel anytime, one click · 18+, gamble responsibly
20,000
simulations run on every game before we price it
1,955
bets checked today — most get thrown out
Every one
recorded before kick-off and graded in public, wins and losses
You just watched us throw out 1,954 bets. That is the whole job. The few that survive are the ones members get — with the price and the stake, before the game starts.
See today's cleared bets
From $29/week · cancel in one click · 18+, gamble responsibly
The full board

Everything else we looked at today — free

These are the ordinary model tips: every upcoming game and market we priced. Useful, and free to browse. They are not the bets that cleared.

All sports Top picks Odds: Decimal
San Francisco Giants +2.5
MLB·San Francisco Giants v Milwaukee Brewers·Spread - 1st 5 Innings·Wed 19:45 UTC
Wins 69% of the time · value +58.0%
9.00price
San Francisco Giants +3.5
MLB·San Francisco Giants v Milwaukee Brewers·Spread - 1st 5 Innings·Wed 19:45 UTC
Wins 79% of the time · value +52.8%
3.80price
San Francisco Giants +3.5
MLB·San Francisco Giants v Milwaukee Brewers·Spread - 1st 5 Innings·Wed 19:45 UTC
Wins 79% of the time · value +52.8%
3.80price
under 11 total runs
MLB·Los Angeles Dodgers v Seattle Mariners·Total Runs·Thu 02:10 UTC
Wins 65% of the time · value +52.1%
7.50price
under 11 total runs
MLB·Los Angeles Dodgers v Seattle Mariners·Total Runs·Thu 02:10 UTC
Wins 65% of the time · value +52.1%
7.50price
San Francisco Giants +3.5
MLB·San Francisco Giants v Milwaukee Brewers·Spread - 1st 5 Innings·Wed 19:45 UTC
Wins 79% of the time · value +52.1%
3.70price
San Francisco Giants +3.5
MLB·San Francisco Giants v Milwaukee Brewers·Spread - 1st 5 Innings·Wed 19:45 UTC
Wins 79% of the time · value +52.1%
3.70price
under 10.5 total runs
MLB·Los Angeles Dodgers v Seattle Mariners·Total Runs·Thu 02:10 UTC
Wins 61% of the time · value +47.9%
7.40price
under 10.5 total runs
MLB·Los Angeles Dodgers v Seattle Mariners·Total Runs·Thu 02:10 UTC
Wins 61% of the time · value +47.9%
7.40price
San Francisco Giants +2.5
MLB·San Francisco Giants v Milwaukee Brewers·Spread·Wed 19:45 UTC
Wins 61% of the time · value +47.6%
7.40price
San Francisco Giants +2.5
MLB·San Francisco Giants v Milwaukee Brewers·Spread·Wed 19:45 UTC
Wins 61% of the time · value +47.6%
7.40price
under 12 total runs
MLB·Los Angeles Dodgers v Seattle Mariners·Total Runs·Thu 02:10 UTC
Wins 73% of the time · value +47.4%
3.90price
under 12 total runs
MLB·Los Angeles Dodgers v Seattle Mariners·Total Runs·Thu 02:10 UTC
Wins 73% of the time · value +47.4%
3.90price
under 9.5 total runs - 1st 5 innings
MLB·Los Angeles Dodgers v Seattle Mariners·Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings·Thu 02:10 UTC
Wins 88% of the time · value +46.4%
2.40price
under 9.5 total runs - 1st 5 innings
MLB·Los Angeles Dodgers v Seattle Mariners·Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings·Thu 02:10 UTC
Wins 88% of the time · value +46.4%
2.40price
San Francisco Giants +2
MLB·San Francisco Giants v Milwaukee Brewers·Spread·Wed 19:45 UTC
Wins 57% of the time · value +46.1%
9.00price
San Francisco Giants +3.5
MLB·San Francisco Giants v Milwaukee Brewers·Spread·Wed 19:45 UTC
Wins 68% of the time · value +46.1%
4.50price
San Francisco Giants +3.5
MLB·San Francisco Giants v Milwaukee Brewers·Spread·Wed 19:45 UTC
Wins 68% of the time · value +46.1%
4.50price
under 11.5 total runs
MLB·Los Angeles Dodgers v Seattle Mariners·Total Runs·Thu 02:10 UTC
Wins 69% of the time · value +45.8%
4.25price
under 11.5 total runs
MLB·Los Angeles Dodgers v Seattle Mariners·Total Runs·Thu 02:10 UTC
Wins 69% of the time · value +45.8%
4.25price
San Francisco Giants +3
MLB·San Francisco Giants v Milwaukee Brewers·Spread·Wed 19:45 UTC
Wins 65% of the time · value +45.7%
5.25price
under 12.5 total runs
MLB·Los Angeles Dodgers v Seattle Mariners·Total Runs·Thu 02:10 UTC
Wins 76% of the time · value +45.2%
3.20price
under 12.5 total runs
MLB·Los Angeles Dodgers v Seattle Mariners·Total Runs·Thu 02:10 UTC
Wins 76% of the time · value +45.2%
3.20price
under 13 total runs
MLB·Los Angeles Dodgers v Seattle Mariners·Total Runs·Thu 02:10 UTC
Wins 80% of the time · value +44.5%
2.85price
San Francisco Giants +1.5
MLB·San Francisco Giants v Milwaukee Brewers·Spread·Wed 19:45 UTC
Wins 53% of the time · value +44.3%
11.00price
San Francisco Giants +1.5
MLB·San Francisco Giants v Milwaukee Brewers·Spread·Wed 19:45 UTC
Wins 53% of the time · value +44.3%
11.00price
under 9.5 total runs
MLB·Los Angeles Dodgers v Seattle Mariners·Total Runs·Thu 02:10 UTC
Wins 53% of the time · value +43.9%
11.00price
under 9.5 total runs
MLB·Los Angeles Dodgers v Seattle Mariners·Total Runs·Thu 02:10 UTC
Wins 53% of the time · value +43.9%
11.00price
San Francisco Giants +4
MLB·San Francisco Giants v Milwaukee Brewers·Spread·Wed 19:45 UTC
Wins 72% of the time · value +40.5%
3.20price
San Francisco Giants +4
MLB·San Francisco Giants v Milwaukee Brewers·Spread·Wed 19:45 UTC
Wins 72% of the time · value +40.5%
3.20price
under 8 total runs
MLB·San Diego Padres v Colorado Rockies·Total Runs·Wed 20:10 UTC
Wins 51% of the time · value +39.3%
8.50price
under 8 total runs
MLB·San Diego Padres v Colorado Rockies·Total Runs·Wed 20:10 UTC
Wins 51% of the time · value +39.3%
8.50price
under 14.5 total runs
MLB·Los Angeles Dodgers v Seattle Mariners·Total Runs·Thu 02:10 UTC
Wins 88% of the time · value +39.2%
2.07price
under 14.5 total runs
MLB·Los Angeles Dodgers v Seattle Mariners·Total Runs·Thu 02:10 UTC
Wins 88% of the time · value +39.2%
2.07price
San Francisco Giants +4.5
MLB·San Francisco Giants v Milwaukee Brewers·Spread·Wed 19:45 UTC
Wins 75% of the time · value +39.0%
2.78price
San Francisco Giants +4.5
MLB·San Francisco Giants v Milwaukee Brewers·Spread·Wed 19:45 UTC
Wins 75% of the time · value +39.0%
2.78price
under 13.5 total runs
MLB·Los Angeles Dodgers v Seattle Mariners·Total Runs·Thu 02:10 UTC
Wins 83% of the time · value +38.3%
2.26price
under 13.5 total runs
MLB·Los Angeles Dodgers v Seattle Mariners·Total Runs·Thu 02:10 UTC
Wins 83% of the time · value +38.3%
2.26price
under 8.5 total runs
MLB·San Diego Padres v Colorado Rockies·Total Runs·Wed 20:10 UTC
Wins 55% of the time · value +37.9%
5.75price
under 8.5 total runs
MLB·San Diego Padres v Colorado Rockies·Total Runs·Wed 20:10 UTC
Wins 55% of the time · value +37.9%
5.75price
under 9 total runs
MLB·San Diego Padres v Colorado Rockies·Total Runs·Wed 20:10 UTC
Wins 60% of the time · value +37.8%
4.60price
under 9 total runs
MLB·San Diego Padres v Colorado Rockies·Total Runs·Wed 20:10 UTC
Wins 60% of the time · value +37.8%
4.60price
under 14 total runs
MLB·Los Angeles Dodgers v Seattle Mariners·Total Runs·Thu 02:10 UTC
Wins 85% of the time · value +36.4%
2.05price
under 14 total runs
MLB·Los Angeles Dodgers v Seattle Mariners·Total Runs·Thu 02:10 UTC
Wins 85% of the time · value +36.4%
2.05price
under 7.5 total runs
MLB·San Diego Padres v Colorado Rockies·Total Runs·Wed 20:10 UTC
Wins 47% of the time · value +35.0%
8.50price
under 7.5 total runs
MLB·San Diego Padres v Colorado Rockies·Total Runs·Wed 20:10 UTC
Wins 47% of the time · value +35.0%
8.50price
over 6.5 total runs - 1st 5 innings
MLB·San Francisco Giants v Milwaukee Brewers·Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings·Wed 19:45 UTC
Wins 49% of the time · value +34.7%
7.00price
over 6.5 total runs - 1st 5 innings
MLB·San Francisco Giants v Milwaukee Brewers·Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings·Wed 19:45 UTC
Wins 49% of the time · value +34.7%
7.00price
under 14.5 total runs
MLB·Los Angeles Dodgers v Seattle Mariners·Total Runs·Thu 02:10 UTC
Wins 88% of the time · value +34.3%
1.88price
under 14.5 total runs
MLB·Los Angeles Dodgers v Seattle Mariners·Total Runs·Thu 02:10 UTC
Wins 88% of the time · value +34.3%
1.88price
over 5.5 total runs - 1st 5 innings
MLB·San Francisco Giants v Milwaukee Brewers·Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings·Wed 19:45 UTC
Wins 61% of the time · value +34.3%
3.70price
over 5.5 total runs - 1st 5 innings
MLB·San Francisco Giants v Milwaukee Brewers·Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings·Wed 19:45 UTC
Wins 61% of the time · value +34.3%
3.70price
under 10.5 total runs - 1st 5 innings
MLB·Los Angeles Dodgers v Seattle Mariners·Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings·Thu 02:10 UTC
Wins 93% of the time · value +33.3%
1.69price
under 10.5 total runs - 1st 5 innings
MLB·Los Angeles Dodgers v Seattle Mariners·Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings·Thu 02:10 UTC
Wins 93% of the time · value +33.3%
1.69price
under 10.5 total runs - 1st 5 innings
MLB·Los Angeles Dodgers v Seattle Mariners·Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings·Thu 02:10 UTC
Wins 93% of the time · value +31.9%
1.65price
under 10.5 total runs - 1st 5 innings
MLB·Los Angeles Dodgers v Seattle Mariners·Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings·Thu 02:10 UTC
Wins 93% of the time · value +31.9%
1.65price
San Francisco Giants
MLB·San Francisco Giants v Milwaukee Brewers·Moneyline·Wed 19:45 UTC
Wins 37% of the time · value +31.5%
18.00price
San Francisco Giants
MLB·San Francisco Giants v Milwaukee Brewers·Moneyline·Wed 19:45 UTC
Wins 37% of the time · value +31.5%
18.00price
Paige Bueckers Paige Bueckers under 19.5 player_points
WNBA·Dallas Wings v Atlanta Dream·player_points·Thu 00:00 UTC
Wins 82% of the time · value +31.5%
2.00price
Kahleah Copper Kahleah Copper under 21.5 player_points_rebounds
WNBA·Phoenix Mercury v Golden State Valkyries·player_points_rebounds·Thu 02:00 UTC
Wins 84% of the time · value +31.1%
1.89price
That was the board anyone can see. Every one of those was priced by the same model — they just didn't clear the bar. The ones that did are waiting at the top of this page.
Unlock today's cleared bets
From $29/week · cancel in one click · 18+, gamble responsibly
1 more model-flagged value picks are on today's board for Pro members — every extra bet we found priced better than the odds, ranked and sized for you. Unlock all picks →
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Do more with these picks: Value Finder · Shop the best price · Is X playing · Line movement · Live scores · Our record by market
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How to read this: Model win is our best guess at how often this bet wins. Value is how much better the price is than it should be — we only show bets that are worth more than the price. Stake is a safe amount to put on, shown in units (1 unit = 1% of your money) and capped — type your bankroll in the box above to see it in real dollars. It's a guide, not advice. Where we have a track record we show how often we beat the final odds. Odds move and betting sites cut winners, so check the price before you bet. Some days no sport has a real edge — when our model doesn't beat the odds we show nothing rather than make up a pick. 18+. Gamble responsibly.

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