On Saturday 1 August 2026, Gold Coast Titans play New Zealand Warriors in the NRL. Our model likes 4 bets here. The one it likes most is Under 62.5 Total Points, priced at -769 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Under 62.5 Total Points (-769)

Odds available at PointsBet at time of publishing

In the NRL game between the Gold Coast Titans and the New Zealand Warriors, I'm picking the total points to be under 62.5. Both teams have shown they can struggle to score high lately, and our numbers suggest a combined total of around 45.7. This means there's a good chance the game stays low-scoring. While anything can happen in rugby, I feel pretty confident about this pick. Just remember, there's no guarantee, and surprises do happen on the field! It was priced at -769 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $11.30 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

New Zealand Warriors +13.5 on the Line (-769)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

I'm picking the New Zealand Warriors to cover the line at 13.5 against the Gold Coast Titans. The Warriors have been looking strong lately and are rated as the big favorites here. Even though the Titans are at home, our numbers suggest they might struggle against a solid Warriors team. It won't be easy, and the Titans will put up a fight, but I think the Warriors can keep the score well above that line. Just remember, it's sports, so anything can happen! It was priced at -769 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $11.30 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Klese Haas to Score a Try (+1100)

Odds available at PointsBet at time of publishing

Klese Haas is a powerful player for the Gold Coast Titans, often making big plays in attack. In their game against the New Zealand Warriors, he has a chance to score a try, especially since the Warriors have been struggling with defense lately. While this bet is a bit of a long shot, Haas's role in the game could give him opportunities to cross the line. Remember, anything can happen in rugby league, but if you're feeling hopeful, this could be a fun pick! It was priced at +1100 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $120 if it lands. This is a long shot at the price, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Lachlan Ilias Over 1.5 Tries (+15000)

Odds available at PointsBet at time of publishing

Lachlan Ilias has a tough job, but he's been getting more involved in attack lately, making him a player to watch. The Gold Coast Titans are playing the New Zealand Warriors, who sometimes struggle to defend against quick players. If Ilias gets a few chances near the try line, he might surprise us and score two tries. This is a long shot, and it won't be easy, but at these odds, it could be worth a small bet just for the fun of it. Remember, anything can happen in rugby league! It was priced at +15000 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $1510 if it lands. This is a long shot at the price, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads Gold Coast Titans v New Zealand Warriors. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

See All Our Picks

You're viewing a preview. Subscribe today to unlock the full article and gain access to all our expert insights and best bets - every single day.

Unlock all picks