On Saturday 8 August 2026, Connecticut Sun play Phoenix Mercury in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Under 191.5 Total Points, priced at -714 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Under 191.5 Total Points (-714)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
As the Connecticut Sun host the Phoenix Mercury at the Mohegan Sun Arena, expect a game that's more about defense than fireworks. Both teams have been leaning into a slower pace lately, which tends to stifle scoring opportunities. The Sun, known for their disciplined defensive scheme, will look to control the tempo, while the Mercury have struggled to find their offensive rhythm, particularly against tougher defenses. With our model projecting a total closer to 158 points, the Under 191.5 seems to be the smart play here. Connecticut's ability to limit high-scoring outings while maintaining their own efficiency has been key. Plus, the gritty matchup between these two rivals often results in a battle of wills rather than a scoring spree. So, while the arena will be buzzing, don't expect the scoreboard to light up-this one should stay well under the mark. It was priced at -714 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $11.40 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Connecticut Sun +18.5 on the Line (-769)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Connecticut Sun play Phoenix Mercury in the WNBA on Saturday 8 August 2026. The bet we are looking at is Connecticut Sun +18.5 on the Line. That is a points handicap bet. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. It was priced at -769 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $11.30 if it lands. It is on at Mohegan Sun Arena in Connecticut. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
Connecticut Sun play Phoenix Mercury in the WNBA on Saturday 8 August 2026. The bet we are looking at is DeWanna Bonner Over 8.5 Points. That is a player points bet. It was priced at -208 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14.80 if it lands. It is on at Mohegan Sun Arena in Connecticut. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Kahleah Copper Under 2.5 Three-Pointers Made (-189)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Connecticut Sun play Phoenix Mercury in the WNBA on Saturday 8 August 2026. The bet we are looking at is Kahleah Copper Under 2.5 Three-Pointers Made. That is a player three-pointers made bet. It was priced at -189 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $15.30 if it lands. It is on at Mohegan Sun Arena in Connecticut. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Kelsey Plum Under 24.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists (-108)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Connecticut Sun play Phoenix Mercury in the WNBA on Saturday 8 August 2026. The bet we are looking at is Kelsey Plum Under 24.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists. That is a player points, rebounds and assists combined bet. It was priced at -108 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.30 if it lands. It is on at Mohegan Sun Arena in Connecticut. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads Connecticut Sun v Phoenix Mercury. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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