Dylan Crews (WSN) Under 1.5 Stolen Bases (-2500)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Athletics prepare to face the Nationals, all eyes are on Dylan Crews and his ability to swipe bags. However, the evidence leans heavily towards him staying put on the bases. Crews has shown flashes of speed, but the recent trends paint a different picture. The Nationals have been conservative on the base paths, with a mere 0.06 average stolen bases per game over the past month. On top of that, the Athletics’ pitching staff has excelled at holding runners, limiting stolen base attempts significantly. With the stakes high, expect a more cautious approach from Crews as he evaluates each opportunity. Given that the model indicates a staggering 96.2% chance of staying under 1.5 stolen bases, this matchup looks ripe for a conservative outing. Betting on the 'Under' here feels like a smart play, as the numbers suggest a strong likelihood that Crews will remain anchored on first.

Dylan Crews (WSN) Under 1.5 Walks (-500)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Athletics gear up to host the Nationals, all eyes will be on rookie sensation Dylan Crews. While he’s shown flashes of brilliance at the plate, his plate discipline is still a work in progress. With a walk rate hovering around 8%, he’s more inclined to swing than to take a free pass. The A’s pitching staff has also been effective at limiting walks, thanks to their aggressive approach on the mound. They’ve averaged just 3.2 walks allowed per game at home, which plays right into this narrative. The combination of Crews's tendency to be overly aggressive and the A’s pitchers’ knack for avoiding walks makes the 'Under 1.5' a compelling angle. With a solid edge in our model and an implied probability nudging towards 83.3%, it feels like a smart move to bet against Crews drawing more than one walk in this matchup.

Harry Ford (NA) Under 1.5 Walks (-667)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Athletics gear up to host the Nationals, keep a close eye on Harry Ford's walk total, particularly with the line set at 1.5. Ford has shown flashes of talent, but his recent plate discipline leaves much to be desired. In the past few weeks, he’s struggled to draw walks, facing pitchers that challenge him aggressively. The Nationals' pitching staff has been notably stingy, surrendering just 2.7 walks per nine innings, and with their strong focus on pounding the zone, Ford may find himself swinging more than waiting for his pitch. Moreover, the Athletics' lineup has been plagued with inconsistency, making it tougher for any hitter to find a rhythm. Given these trends and Ford’s current form, betting on the 'Under' feels like a prudent play. With an implied probability nudging 87%, it’s a bet that lines up well with the matchup dynamics.

See All Our Picks

You're viewing a preview. Subscribe today to unlock the full article and gain access to all our expert insights and best bets - every single day.

Unlock all picks