On Tuesday 4 August 2026, New York Liberty play Seattle Storm in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Under 201.5 Total Points, priced at -769 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Under 201.5 Total Points (-769)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

As the New York Liberty prepare to host the Seattle Storm at Barclays Center, we're likely in for a matchup that emphasizes defensive prowess over offensive fireworks. Both teams have been trending toward lower-scoring affairs lately, with the Liberty tightening up their defense, allowing just 72 points per game over their last five. Seattle, meanwhile, has struggled to find rhythm offensively, often relying on their defense to keep them in games. With the pace set to be methodical-both teams will likely focus on half-court sets-this game feels primed for an underwhelming total. Our model anticipates roughly 166 combined points, painting a picture of an encounter where possessions are precious and scoring comes at a premium. The stakes are high, and both teams will surely prioritize defense, making the under 201.5 a compelling play in this matchup. It was priced at -769 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $11.30 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Seattle Storm +20.5 on the Line (-667)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

As the New York Liberty face off against the Seattle Storm at Barclays Center, this matchup presents a captivating narrative, especially when considering the Storm's resilient spirit this season. While the Liberty boast a powerful roster, the Storm have shown their ability to keep games competitive despite their record. Their defensive tenacity could serve as a crucial factor, especially against a Liberty team that can sometimes struggle to maintain consistent offensive flow. With a projected margin of just over five points in favor of New York, the 20.5 spread feels like an overreach. Seattle's recent performances have demonstrated their capability to stay within striking distance, even against formidable opponents. Expect the Storm to leverage their experience and grit, making this alternate spread more appealing. It's a calculated risk that plays into the unpredictable nature of playoff basketball, where every possession matters and surprises are the norm. It was priced at -667 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $11.50 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Dominique Malonga Over 7.5 Rebounds (-143)

Odds available at BetRivers at time of publishing

New York Liberty play Seattle Storm in the WNBA on Tuesday 4 August 2026. The bet we are looking at is Dominique Malonga Over 7.5 Rebounds. That is a player rebounds bet. It was priced at -143 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $17.00 if it lands. It is on at Barclays Center in New York. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Awa Fam Over 5.5 Rebounds (-109)

Odds available at BetOnline at time of publishing

As the New York Liberty prepare to host the Seattle Storm at Barclays Center, all eyes should be on Awa Fam, especially in the rebounding department. With a model projection of around 7.4 boards, Fam is primed for a strong performance. Her relentless energy and knack for positioning make her a formidable presence on the glass, particularly against a Seattle team that sometimes struggles to secure rebounds. The Storm's recent games have showcased their vulnerability in that area, giving Fam the perfect opportunity to exploit mismatches. With Liberty's up-tempo style and Fam's ability to track down loose balls, it's hard to see her finishing with fewer than six rebounds. Add in the home-court advantage, and you have a recipe for a breakout game. Expect Fam to be active and assertive, making the 'Over 5.5' an enticing play as she helps the Liberty capitalize on their rebounding opportunities. It was priced at -109 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.20 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Flau'jae Johnson Over 14.5 Points and Assists (-227)

Odds available at BetRivers at time of publishing

New York Liberty play Seattle Storm in the WNBA on Tuesday 4 August 2026. The bet we are looking at is Flau'jae Johnson Over 14.5 Points and Assists. That is a player points and assists combined bet. It was priced at -227 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14.40 if it lands. It is on at Barclays Center in New York. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads New York Liberty v Seattle Storm. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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