On Sunday 9 August 2026, Amanda Lemos takes on Alexia Thainara in the UFC. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Under 2.5 Total Rounds, priced at +165 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Under 2.5 Total Rounds (+165)

Odds available at BetOnline at time of publishing

Amanda Lemos and Alexia Thainara are both exciting fighters, and they can finish fights quickly. Lemos is known for her striking power, while Thainara might need to rely on her grappling to stay competitive. With their fighting styles and our model suggesting they might combine for just over one round, betting on under 2.5 rounds feels like a good chance. Keep in mind, anything can happen in the octagon, so while this looks promising, it's not a guarantee. Enjoy the fight! It was priced at +165 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $26.50 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Amanda Lemos to Win (+210)

Odds available at TAB at time of publishing

I'm going with Amanda Lemos to win her fight against Alexia Thainara. Lemos is a strong striker who can really land some powerful punches, and she knows how to keep the pressure on her opponents. Thainara might try to take it to the ground, but if Lemos can stay on her feet, she has a good chance to land some big shots. This bet is a bit of a long shot, but Lemos has a real chance to pull off the win. Just remember, anything can happen in a fight! It was priced at +210 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $31 if it lands. This is a long shot at the price, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

The tale of the tape:

  • Amanda Lemos: last five L-L-W-L-W, dropped the last 2, 14% of career wins came by knockout, 143 days since the last fight
  • Alexia Thainara: last five W-W-W-W, on a 4-fight win streak, 0% of career wins came by knockout, 129 days since the last fight

That is how our model reads Amanda Lemos v Alexia Thainara. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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