Bet Better Bet Better
×

AFL Prop Bets - Today's Best AFL Player Prop Bets

Find an edge in AFL Player Props with Bet Better's data-driven analysis. Our models leverage actuarial mathematics, machine learning, and AI to break down player matchups and identify high-value prop betting opportunities for today's AFL games.

AFL • Sydney Swans at Brisbane Lions •
Errol Gulden Under 26.5 Disposals
Probability: 72.6% Edge: 19.4%
Reasoning

Errol Gulden (Sydney Swans) Under 26.5 Disposals (-114)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Errol Gulden, playing away, faces the Brisbane Lions with a model-predicted 23.5 disposals. His recent 24.6 disposals average in away games slightly exceeds the model's prediction but falls below the 26.5 line. With a 19.4% model edge, Gulden's recent away contested possessions (8.8) and turnovers (5.8) suggest he may struggle to reach 26.5. Despite a solid 66.5% disposal efficiency, Gulden's turnover average raises concerns. Facing an opponent where he averages 24 disposals in away games, Gulden's recent performance supports a bet on him to stay under 26.5 disposals in this matchup.

AFL • Collingwood Magpies at Hawthorn Hawks •
Calsher Dear Over 0.5 Goals
Probability: 92.6% Edge: 19.1%
Reasoning

Calsher Dear (Hawthorn) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-278)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Calsher Dear has been in impressive form, averaging 1.8 goals in his last 5 home games with a solid goal accuracy of 52.0%. His ability to find the big sticks is supported by an average of 3 shots at goal per game. Facing Collingwood, against whom he averages 0.5 goals, gives him a favorable matchup. With an edge of 19.1% based on the model's prediction of 1.6 goals (SD 0.8), the implied probability of 73.5% suggests a strong chance for Dear to snag a goal. His involvement in scoring plays, marked by 5.4 score involvements per game, and his consistent presence inside 50, averaging 2.4 marks in that zone, further support this bet.

All prop picks beyond this point are for Pro members
Access 57 more premium prop picks!
AFL • Collingwood Magpies at Hawthorn Hawks •
Collingwood Magpies at Hawthorn Hawks Prop Bet
AFL • Collingwood Magpies at Hawthorn Hawks •
Collingwood Magpies at Hawthorn Hawks Prop Bet
AFL • Collingwood Magpies at Hawthorn Hawks •
Collingwood Magpies at Hawthorn Hawks Prop Bet
AFL • Collingwood Magpies at Hawthorn Hawks •
Collingwood Magpies at Hawthorn Hawks Prop Bet
AFL • Collingwood Magpies at Hawthorn Hawks •
Collingwood Magpies at Hawthorn Hawks Prop Bet
AFL • Collingwood Magpies at Hawthorn Hawks •
Collingwood Magpies at Hawthorn Hawks Prop Bet
AFL • Collingwood Magpies at Hawthorn Hawks •
Collingwood Magpies at Hawthorn Hawks Prop Bet
AFL • Collingwood Magpies at Hawthorn Hawks •
Collingwood Magpies at Hawthorn Hawks Prop Bet
AFL • Collingwood Magpies at Hawthorn Hawks •
Collingwood Magpies at Hawthorn Hawks Prop Bet
AFL • Collingwood Magpies at Hawthorn Hawks •
Collingwood Magpies at Hawthorn Hawks Prop Bet
AFL • Collingwood Magpies at Hawthorn Hawks •
Collingwood Magpies at Hawthorn Hawks Prop Bet
AFL • St Kilda Saints at Richmond Tigers •
St Kilda Saints at Richmond Tigers Prop Bet
AFL • St Kilda Saints at Richmond Tigers •
St Kilda Saints at Richmond Tigers Prop Bet
AFL • Sydney Swans at Brisbane Lions •
Sydney Swans at Brisbane Lions Prop Bet
AFL • Sydney Swans at Brisbane Lions •
Sydney Swans at Brisbane Lions Prop Bet
AFL • Sydney Swans at Brisbane Lions •
Sydney Swans at Brisbane Lions Prop Bet
AFL • Sydney Swans at Brisbane Lions •
Sydney Swans at Brisbane Lions Prop Bet
AFL • Sydney Swans at Brisbane Lions •
Sydney Swans at Brisbane Lions Prop Bet
AFL • Sydney Swans at Brisbane Lions •
Sydney Swans at Brisbane Lions Prop Bet
AFL • Sydney Swans at Brisbane Lions •
Sydney Swans at Brisbane Lions Prop Bet
AFL • Gold Coast Suns at Carlton Blues •
Gold Coast Suns at Carlton Blues Prop Bet
AFL • Gold Coast Suns at Carlton Blues •
Gold Coast Suns at Carlton Blues Prop Bet
AFL • Gold Coast Suns at Carlton Blues •
Gold Coast Suns at Carlton Blues Prop Bet
AFL • Gold Coast Suns at Carlton Blues •
Gold Coast Suns at Carlton Blues Prop Bet
AFL • Gold Coast Suns at Carlton Blues •
Gold Coast Suns at Carlton Blues Prop Bet
AFL • Gold Coast Suns at Carlton Blues •
Gold Coast Suns at Carlton Blues Prop Bet
AFL • Gold Coast Suns at Carlton Blues •
Gold Coast Suns at Carlton Blues Prop Bet
AFL • Fremantle Dockers at Port Adelaide Power •
Fremantle Dockers at Port Adelaide Power Prop Bet
AFL • Fremantle Dockers at Port Adelaide Power •
Fremantle Dockers at Port Adelaide Power Prop Bet
AFL • Fremantle Dockers at Port Adelaide Power •
Fremantle Dockers at Port Adelaide Power Prop Bet
AFL • Fremantle Dockers at Port Adelaide Power •
Fremantle Dockers at Port Adelaide Power Prop Bet
AFL • Fremantle Dockers at Port Adelaide Power •
Fremantle Dockers at Port Adelaide Power Prop Bet
AFL • Fremantle Dockers at Port Adelaide Power •
Fremantle Dockers at Port Adelaide Power Prop Bet
AFL • Fremantle Dockers at Port Adelaide Power •
Fremantle Dockers at Port Adelaide Power Prop Bet
AFL • North Melbourne Kangaroos at Greater Western Sydney Giants •
North Melbourne Kangaroos at Greater Western Sydney Giants Prop Bet
AFL • North Melbourne Kangaroos at Greater Western Sydney Giants •
North Melbourne Kangaroos at Greater Western Sydney Giants Prop Bet
AFL • North Melbourne Kangaroos at Greater Western Sydney Giants •
North Melbourne Kangaroos at Greater Western Sydney Giants Prop Bet
AFL • North Melbourne Kangaroos at Greater Western Sydney Giants •
North Melbourne Kangaroos at Greater Western Sydney Giants Prop Bet
AFL • North Melbourne Kangaroos at Greater Western Sydney Giants •
North Melbourne Kangaroos at Greater Western Sydney Giants Prop Bet
AFL • North Melbourne Kangaroos at Greater Western Sydney Giants •
North Melbourne Kangaroos at Greater Western Sydney Giants Prop Bet
AFL • North Melbourne Kangaroos at Greater Western Sydney Giants •
North Melbourne Kangaroos at Greater Western Sydney Giants Prop Bet
AFL • North Melbourne Kangaroos at Greater Western Sydney Giants •
North Melbourne Kangaroos at Greater Western Sydney Giants Prop Bet
AFL • Western Bulldogs at Melbourne Demons •
Western Bulldogs at Melbourne Demons Prop Bet
AFL • Western Bulldogs at Melbourne Demons •
Western Bulldogs at Melbourne Demons Prop Bet
AFL • Western Bulldogs at Melbourne Demons •
Western Bulldogs at Melbourne Demons Prop Bet
AFL • Western Bulldogs at Melbourne Demons •
Western Bulldogs at Melbourne Demons Prop Bet
AFL • Western Bulldogs at Melbourne Demons •
Western Bulldogs at Melbourne Demons Prop Bet
AFL • Western Bulldogs at Melbourne Demons •
Western Bulldogs at Melbourne Demons Prop Bet
AFL • Western Bulldogs at Melbourne Demons •
Western Bulldogs at Melbourne Demons Prop Bet
AFL • Western Bulldogs at Melbourne Demons •
Western Bulldogs at Melbourne Demons Prop Bet
AFL • Western Bulldogs at Melbourne Demons •
Western Bulldogs at Melbourne Demons Prop Bet
AFL • Adelaide Crows at West Coast Eagles •
Adelaide Crows at West Coast Eagles Prop Bet
AFL • Adelaide Crows at West Coast Eagles •
Adelaide Crows at West Coast Eagles Prop Bet
AFL • Adelaide Crows at West Coast Eagles •
Adelaide Crows at West Coast Eagles Prop Bet
AFL • Adelaide Crows at West Coast Eagles •
Adelaide Crows at West Coast Eagles Prop Bet
AFL • Adelaide Crows at West Coast Eagles •
Adelaide Crows at West Coast Eagles Prop Bet

See The Results Our Members Are Getting

+15 Units on Over/Under!
Their Over/Under 2.5 goals predictions are the most consistent I've ever seen. I'm up over 15 units this month just by following their data-driven calls. It's made betting on soccer profitable and simple.
84% Win-Rate on Props!
I’ve been tracking their MLB player props for three months and my win rate is a verified 84%. I've turned a small bankroll into a serious side income. Unbelievable.
88% Accuracy on Assist Totals!
Their NBA lineup analysis helped me predict assist totals with 88% accuracy, turning a fun side-bet into a steady earner. The depth of their statistical breakdowns is insane.
42 Wins from 50 Picks!
I placed 50 MLB picks based on their model and won 42 of them, an 84% hit rate that has completely transformed my bankroll. The transparency is what keeps me coming back.
55% Weekly Account Growth!
My $200 weekly budget now reliably grows by an average of 55% each NFL Sunday, thanks to their detailed win probabilities. I feel more in control of my bets than ever before.
9 Correct EPL Predictions!
I followed their EPL match predictions for the last two game weeks and correctly called 9 out of 10 results, including a massive underdog win. The insights are top-tier for UK football.
Turned $100 into $1,240!
The NBA player prop analysis is second to none. I started with a small $100 bet on a 3-leg parlay and cashed out at $1,240. This has completely changed how I see betting.
+18.5 Units Last Month!
The NFL picks have been on fire. I'm up over 18 units just last month alone by following their +EV bets. The data is clean, the logic is sound, and the results speak for themselves.
From Guessing to +$1,700!
Using their MLB batting odds insights, I turned a small $100 stake into $1,700 in one series thanks to clear edge calculations. I'm never going back to betting on gut feelings.
+22% ROI on Puck Lines!
Finally, a system that delivers. I've maintained a 22% ROI on NHL puck lines over the last two months. The combination of model-driven picks and risk analysis is perfect.
7/8 Correct on Footy Tips!
As a punter in Melbourne, finding a reliable AFL source is tough. I went 7 for 8 on last round's matches. The analysis is spot-on for the Australian game. Finally, a global site that gets it right.
73% Parlay Success Rate!
Analyzing their NFL edge reports allowed me to build smarter parlays, hitting a 73% success rate across 20 bets. Seeing each probability laid out has removed the stress from betting.
83% Success on Puck Lines!
Bet Better’s NHL puck-line picks hit 83% success last season, doubling my initial stakes in record time. These results feel almost unbelievable until you see your balance grow.
30% Bankroll Growth in 8 Weeks!
Every week I use their NBA free-throw prop data and have watched my account grow by 30% over eight weeks. The analytics are so precise it feels like cheating.
Nailed a 5-Leg Multi!
I was skeptical, but their AFL multi-bet suggestions are legit. I hit a 5-legger last weekend that paid out big time. The detailed write-ups for each leg gave me the confidence to place the bet.
Submit a Testimonial

About Bet Better

20 Proprietary Machine Learning Models

Our edge isn't bought, it's built. Each model is developed in-house to find value the public consensus overlooks.

10,000+ Game Simulations Per Matchup

Our models simulate every game over 10,000 times to project true odds and identify profitable market dislocations.

42,255+ Active Customers

Join a thriving community shaping the future of betting.

AFL Player Props Today: Data-Driven Picks & Predictions

Dive into the exciting world of AFL Player Prop betting with Bet Better's advanced analytics. We deliver the best AFL prop bets today, using AI to generate expert AFL prop picks for every game. Our platform analyzes player stats on disposals, goals, marks, and more, giving you a statistical edge for your betting strategy.

Today's Featured AFL Player Prop Bets

Below you'll find our featured AI-powered prop selections for today's games. For our complete list of daily props, subscribe to Bet Better Pro. Our top 3 AFL player props are always free.

Understanding AFL Player Prop Betting Markets

AFL Player Props offer a diverse range of betting opportunities beyond the game's final score. Common markets include:

  • Disposals Props: Betting over or under a player's projected total disposals (kicks + handballs).
  • Goals Props: Wagering on a player's total goals kicked (e.g., Over/Under 1.5 goals, or 2+ goals).
  • Fantasy Points Props: Betting on a player's total AFL Fantasy or SuperCoach points.
  • Combination Props: Bets on a player achieving multiple stats, e.g., "25+ disposals and a goal."

Analyzing Player Matchups and Statistics for AFL Props

Successful AFL player prop betting relies heavily on granular data analysis. Our models meticulously evaluate individual player statistics (disposal averages, goal accuracy, tackle efficiency, time on ground), recent performance trends, head-to-head matchups against opposing players and teams (e.g., effectiveness of opposition taggers), usage rates within their team structure, and potential impacts from injuries or lineup changes (e.g., a key midfielder out might increase another's disposals). This detailed approach allows us to generate accurate projections for each player's likely statistical output in upcoming AFL games.

Strategies for Betting AFL Player Props

Developing a solid AFL player prop betting strategy involves more than just looking at basic season averages. Our platform helps by providing data-driven insights and clear "Prob" (Probability) and "Edge" metrics for each prop, streamlining your analysis of player roles, matchups, and recent form.

Maximize Your Edge in AFL Player Prop Betting

Bet Better is your partner in navigating the complexities of the AFL player prop market. By leveraging our AI-driven analytics, you gain a powerful tool to identify value bets and build a more informed betting strategy. Explore our current AFL Player Prop Bets to see today's data-backed predictions and edges. Always remember to gamble responsibly!

AFL Player Prop Betting FAQs

What is an AFL Player Prop Bet?

An AFL Player Prop Bet is a wager on an individual player's specific statistical performance within a match, rather than the game's final result. Common examples include betting on a player's total disposals, goals scored, marks taken, or AFL fantasy points.

How can Bet Better help me with AFL Player Props?

Bet Better provides data-driven predictions for AFL Player Props. Our AI analyzes player and matchup data to calculate the true probability ("Prob") of a player going over or under a statistical line. We also highlight the value ("Edge") against the sportsbook odds to help you find potentially profitable AFL prop bets.

What are the most common types of AFL prop bets?

The most popular AFL player prop markets are Over/Under bets on a player's total Disposals, Goals, Marks, and AFL Fantasy Points. Combination bets, like a player to get 25+ disposals and kick a goal, are also common.

How important is matchup analysis for AFL props?

Matchup analysis is critical. A player's output can be heavily influenced by their direct opponent, an opposition tagger, or a team's defensive scheme. For example, a key midfielder facing a team with a strong tagger might see their disposal count impacted. Our models incorporate this matchup data when generating projections.

Can I include player props in a Same Game Multi?

Yes, most sportsbooks allow you to combine player props into a Same Game Multi (SGM). This can create high-payout opportunities. Our analysis focuses on the value of individual prop bets, which you can then use as strong, data-backed legs for your SGM construction.

OddsAPI OddsAPI
Give Feedback