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AFL Prop Bets - Today's Best AFL Player Prop Bets

Find an edge in AFL Player Props with Bet Better's data-driven analysis. Our models leverage actuarial mathematics, machine learning, and AI to break down player matchups and identify high-value prop betting opportunities for today's AFL games.

AFL Player Props Performance

Focus: Player Props | Odds 1.5–2
2.5% Strategy ROI
Hit Rate
62.9%
Period
Last 7 Days
Total Bets
70 Bets
AFL • Hawthorn Hawks at Geelong Cats •
Patrick Dangerfield Under 16.5 Disposals
Probability: 73.9% Edge: 19.8%
Reasoning

Patrick Dangerfield (Geelong Cats) Under 16.5 Disposals (-118)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Patrick Dangerfield is predicted to fall short of 16.5 disposals based on his recent form. Despite averaging 17 disposals in his last five home games, his current hit rate is only 5 out of 8. Against Hawthorn, he averages 18.2 disposals, slightly above the line. Additionally, his overall disposals average is 16.6, indicating a potential struggle to meet the line. With a model edge of 19.8%, suggesting a high probability of him going under 16.5, this bet on Dangerfield to have fewer than 16.5 disposals seems well-supported by his recent performances and matchup history.

AFL • Brisbane Lions at Collingwood Magpies •
Darcy Cameron Over 13.5 Disposals
Probability: 73.2% Edge: 19.7%
Reasoning

Darcy Cameron (Collingwood) Over 13.5 Disposals (-115)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Darcy Cameron is a solid pick to surpass 13.5 disposals against the Brisbane Lions at the MCG. With a model-predicted average of 16.6 disposals and a strong 19.7% edge, Cameron's recent form supports this bet. His average of 16.8 disposals in the last five home games, including a perfect 12/12 hit rate and a current 12-game hit streak, highlights his consistency. Additionally, his historical performance against the Lions, where he maintains an average of 14 disposals, further strengthens this selection. Cameron's ability to contribute both contested possessions (9.6 avg) and uncontested possessions (6.6 avg) indicates his versatility in gathering disposals, making him a favorable choice to exceed 13.5 disposals in this matchup.

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AFL • Hawthorn Hawks at Geelong Cats •
Hawthorn Hawks at Geelong Cats Prop Bet
AFL • Hawthorn Hawks at Geelong Cats •
Hawthorn Hawks at Geelong Cats Prop Bet
AFL • Hawthorn Hawks at Geelong Cats •
Hawthorn Hawks at Geelong Cats Prop Bet
AFL • Hawthorn Hawks at Geelong Cats •
Hawthorn Hawks at Geelong Cats Prop Bet
AFL • Hawthorn Hawks at Geelong Cats •
Hawthorn Hawks at Geelong Cats Prop Bet
AFL • Hawthorn Hawks at Geelong Cats •
Hawthorn Hawks at Geelong Cats Prop Bet
AFL • Hawthorn Hawks at Geelong Cats •
Hawthorn Hawks at Geelong Cats Prop Bet
AFL • Hawthorn Hawks at Geelong Cats •
Hawthorn Hawks at Geelong Cats Prop Bet
AFL • Hawthorn Hawks at Geelong Cats •
Hawthorn Hawks at Geelong Cats Prop Bet
AFL • Hawthorn Hawks at Geelong Cats •
Hawthorn Hawks at Geelong Cats Prop Bet
AFL • Hawthorn Hawks at Geelong Cats •
Hawthorn Hawks at Geelong Cats Prop Bet
AFL • Hawthorn Hawks at Geelong Cats •
Hawthorn Hawks at Geelong Cats Prop Bet
AFL • Hawthorn Hawks at Geelong Cats •
Hawthorn Hawks at Geelong Cats Prop Bet
AFL • Hawthorn Hawks at Geelong Cats •
Hawthorn Hawks at Geelong Cats Prop Bet
AFL • Hawthorn Hawks at Geelong Cats •
Hawthorn Hawks at Geelong Cats Prop Bet
AFL • Hawthorn Hawks at Geelong Cats •
Hawthorn Hawks at Geelong Cats Prop Bet
AFL • Hawthorn Hawks at Geelong Cats •
Hawthorn Hawks at Geelong Cats Prop Bet
AFL • Hawthorn Hawks at Geelong Cats •
Hawthorn Hawks at Geelong Cats Prop Bet
AFL • Hawthorn Hawks at Geelong Cats •
Hawthorn Hawks at Geelong Cats Prop Bet
AFL • Hawthorn Hawks at Geelong Cats •
Hawthorn Hawks at Geelong Cats Prop Bet
AFL • Hawthorn Hawks at Geelong Cats •
Hawthorn Hawks at Geelong Cats Prop Bet
AFL • Hawthorn Hawks at Geelong Cats •
Hawthorn Hawks at Geelong Cats Prop Bet
AFL • Hawthorn Hawks at Geelong Cats •
Hawthorn Hawks at Geelong Cats Prop Bet
AFL • Hawthorn Hawks at Geelong Cats •
Hawthorn Hawks at Geelong Cats Prop Bet
AFL • Hawthorn Hawks at Geelong Cats •
Hawthorn Hawks at Geelong Cats Prop Bet
AFL • Hawthorn Hawks at Geelong Cats •
Hawthorn Hawks at Geelong Cats Prop Bet
AFL • Hawthorn Hawks at Geelong Cats •
Hawthorn Hawks at Geelong Cats Prop Bet
AFL • Brisbane Lions at Collingwood Magpies •
Brisbane Lions at Collingwood Magpies Prop Bet
AFL • Brisbane Lions at Collingwood Magpies •
Brisbane Lions at Collingwood Magpies Prop Bet
AFL • Brisbane Lions at Collingwood Magpies •
Brisbane Lions at Collingwood Magpies Prop Bet
AFL • Brisbane Lions at Collingwood Magpies •
Brisbane Lions at Collingwood Magpies Prop Bet
AFL • Brisbane Lions at Collingwood Magpies •
Brisbane Lions at Collingwood Magpies Prop Bet
AFL • Brisbane Lions at Collingwood Magpies •
Brisbane Lions at Collingwood Magpies Prop Bet
AFL • Brisbane Lions at Collingwood Magpies •
Brisbane Lions at Collingwood Magpies Prop Bet
AFL • Brisbane Lions at Collingwood Magpies •
Brisbane Lions at Collingwood Magpies Prop Bet
AFL • Brisbane Lions at Collingwood Magpies •
Brisbane Lions at Collingwood Magpies Prop Bet
AFL • Brisbane Lions at Collingwood Magpies •
Brisbane Lions at Collingwood Magpies Prop Bet
AFL • Brisbane Lions at Collingwood Magpies •
Brisbane Lions at Collingwood Magpies Prop Bet
AFL • Brisbane Lions at Collingwood Magpies •
Brisbane Lions at Collingwood Magpies Prop Bet
AFL • Brisbane Lions at Collingwood Magpies •
Brisbane Lions at Collingwood Magpies Prop Bet
AFL • Brisbane Lions at Collingwood Magpies •
Brisbane Lions at Collingwood Magpies Prop Bet
AFL • Brisbane Lions at Collingwood Magpies •
Brisbane Lions at Collingwood Magpies Prop Bet
AFL • Brisbane Lions at Collingwood Magpies •
Brisbane Lions at Collingwood Magpies Prop Bet
AFL • Brisbane Lions at Collingwood Magpies •
Brisbane Lions at Collingwood Magpies Prop Bet

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AFL Player Props Today: Data-Driven Picks & Predictions

Dive into the exciting world of AFL Player Prop betting with Bet Better's advanced analytics. We deliver the best AFL prop bets today, using AI to generate expert AFL prop picks for every game. Our platform analyzes player stats on disposals, goals, marks, and more, giving you a statistical edge for your betting strategy.

Today's Featured AFL Player Prop Bets

Below you'll find our featured AI-powered prop selections for today's games. For our complete list of daily props, subscribe to Bet Better Pro. Our top 3 AFL player props are always free.

Understanding AFL Player Prop Betting Markets

AFL Player Props offer a diverse range of betting opportunities beyond the game's final score. Common markets include:

  • Disposals Props: Betting over or under a player's projected total disposals (kicks + handballs).
  • Goals Props: Wagering on a player's total goals kicked (e.g., Over/Under 1.5 goals, or 2+ goals).
  • Fantasy Points Props: Betting on a player's total AFL Fantasy or SuperCoach points.
  • Combination Props: Bets on a player achieving multiple stats, e.g., "25+ disposals and a goal."

Analyzing Player Matchups and Statistics for AFL Props

Successful AFL player prop betting relies heavily on granular data analysis. Our models meticulously evaluate individual player statistics (disposal averages, goal accuracy, tackle efficiency, time on ground), recent performance trends, head-to-head matchups against opposing players and teams (e.g., effectiveness of opposition taggers), usage rates within their team structure, and potential impacts from injuries or lineup changes (e.g., a key midfielder out might increase another's disposals). This detailed approach allows us to generate accurate projections for each player's likely statistical output in upcoming AFL games.

Strategies for Betting AFL Player Props

Developing a solid AFL player prop betting strategy involves more than just looking at basic season averages. Our platform helps by providing data-driven insights and clear "Prob" (Probability) and "Edge" metrics for each prop, streamlining your analysis of player roles, matchups, and recent form.

Maximize Your Edge in AFL Player Prop Betting

Bet Better is your partner in navigating the complexities of the AFL player prop market. By leveraging our AI-driven analytics, you gain a powerful tool to identify value bets and build a more informed betting strategy. Explore our current AFL Player Prop Bets to see today's data-backed predictions and edges. Always remember to gamble responsibly!

AFL Player Prop Betting FAQs

What is an AFL Player Prop Bet?

An AFL Player Prop Bet is a wager on an individual player's specific statistical performance within a match, rather than the game's final result. Common examples include betting on a player's total disposals, goals scored, marks taken, or AFL fantasy points.

How can Bet Better help me with AFL Player Props?

Bet Better provides data-driven predictions for AFL Player Props. Our AI analyzes player and matchup data to calculate the true probability ("Prob") of a player going over or under a statistical line. We also highlight the value ("Edge") against the sportsbook odds to help you find potentially profitable AFL prop bets.

What are the most common types of AFL prop bets?

The most popular AFL player prop markets are Over/Under bets on a player's total Disposals, Goals, Marks, and AFL Fantasy Points. Combination bets, like a player to get 25+ disposals and kick a goal, are also common.

How important is matchup analysis for AFL props?

Matchup analysis is critical. A player's output can be heavily influenced by their direct opponent, an opposition tagger, or a team's defensive scheme. For example, a key midfielder facing a team with a strong tagger might see their disposal count impacted. Our models incorporate this matchup data when generating projections.

Can I include player props in a Same Game Multi?

Yes, most sportsbooks allow you to combine player props into a Same Game Multi (SGM). This can create high-payout opportunities. Our analysis focuses on the value of individual prop bets, which you can then use as strong, data-backed legs for your SGM construction.

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