AFL •
Sydney Swans at Brisbane Lions
•
Errol Gulden
Under
26.5
Disposals
Probability:
72.6%
Edge: 19.4%
Reasoning
Errol Gulden (Sydney Swans) Under 26.5 Disposals (-114)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Errol Gulden, playing away, faces the Brisbane Lions with a model-predicted 23.5 disposals. His recent 24.6 disposals average in away games slightly exceeds the model's prediction but falls below the 26.5 line. With a 19.4% model edge, Gulden's recent away contested possessions (8.8) and turnovers (5.8) suggest he may struggle to reach 26.5. Despite a solid 66.5% disposal efficiency, Gulden's turnover average raises concerns. Facing an opponent where he averages 24 disposals in away games, Gulden's recent performance supports a bet on him to stay under 26.5 disposals in this matchup.
AFL •
Collingwood Magpies at Hawthorn Hawks
•
Calsher Dear
Over
0.5
Goals
Probability:
92.6%
Edge: 19.1%
Reasoning
Calsher Dear (Hawthorn) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-278)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Calsher Dear has been in impressive form, averaging 1.8 goals in his last 5 home games with a solid goal accuracy of 52.0%. His ability to find the big sticks is supported by an average of 3 shots at goal per game. Facing Collingwood, against whom he averages 0.5 goals, gives him a favorable matchup. With an edge of 19.1% based on the model's prediction of 1.6 goals (SD 0.8), the implied probability of 73.5% suggests a strong chance for Dear to snag a goal. His involvement in scoring plays, marked by 5.4 score involvements per game, and his consistent presence inside 50, averaging 2.4 marks in that zone, further support this bet.
AFL •
Collingwood Magpies at Hawthorn Hawks
•
Collingwood Magpies at Hawthorn Hawks Prop Bet
AFL •
Collingwood Magpies at Hawthorn Hawks
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Collingwood Magpies at Hawthorn Hawks
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Collingwood Magpies at Hawthorn Hawks
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Collingwood Magpies at Hawthorn Hawks
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Collingwood Magpies at Hawthorn Hawks
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Collingwood Magpies at Hawthorn Hawks
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•
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St Kilda Saints at Richmond Tigers
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Sydney Swans at Brisbane Lions
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Gold Coast Suns at Carlton Blues
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Gold Coast Suns at Carlton Blues
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Gold Coast Suns at Carlton Blues
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North Melbourne Kangaroos at Greater Western Sydney Giants
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Western Bulldogs at Melbourne Demons
•
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Western Bulldogs at Melbourne Demons
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Western Bulldogs at Melbourne Demons
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Adelaide Crows at West Coast Eagles
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Adelaide Crows at West Coast Eagles
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AFL Player Props Today: Data-Driven Picks & Predictions
Dive into the exciting world of AFL Player Prop betting with Bet Better's advanced analytics. We deliver the best AFL prop bets today, using AI to generate expert AFL prop picks for every game. Our platform analyzes player stats on disposals, goals, marks, and more, giving you a statistical edge for your betting strategy.
Today's Featured AFL Player Prop Bets
Below you'll find our featured AI-powered prop selections for today's games. For our complete list of daily props, subscribe to Bet Better Pro. Our top 3 AFL player props are always free.
Understanding AFL Player Prop Betting Markets
AFL Player Props offer a diverse range of betting opportunities beyond the game's final score. Common markets include:
- Disposals Props: Betting over or under a player's projected total disposals (kicks + handballs).
- Goals Props: Wagering on a player's total goals kicked (e.g., Over/Under 1.5 goals, or 2+ goals).
- Fantasy Points Props: Betting on a player's total AFL Fantasy or SuperCoach points.
- Combination Props: Bets on a player achieving multiple stats, e.g., "25+ disposals and a goal."
Analyzing Player Matchups and Statistics for AFL Props
Successful AFL player prop betting relies heavily on granular data analysis. Our models meticulously evaluate individual player statistics (disposal averages, goal accuracy, tackle efficiency, time on ground), recent performance trends, head-to-head matchups against opposing players and teams (e.g., effectiveness of opposition taggers), usage rates within their team structure, and potential impacts from injuries or lineup changes (e.g., a key midfielder out might increase another's disposals). This detailed approach allows us to generate accurate projections for each player's likely statistical output in upcoming AFL games.
Strategies for Betting AFL Player Props
Developing a solid AFL player prop betting strategy involves more than just looking at basic season averages. Our platform helps by providing data-driven insights and clear "Prob" (Probability) and "Edge" metrics for each prop, streamlining your analysis of player roles, matchups, and recent form.
Maximize Your Edge in AFL Player Prop Betting
Bet Better is your partner in navigating the complexities of the AFL player prop market. By leveraging our AI-driven analytics, you gain a powerful tool to identify value bets and build a more informed betting strategy. Explore our current AFL Player Prop Bets to see today's data-backed predictions and edges. Always remember to gamble responsibly!