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MLB Betting Protocol v2.0

What is MLB Betting?
Wagering on baseball outcomes including outright winners (Moneyline), run margins (Run Line), and scoring volume (Totals).
Primary Markets
Moneyline: Winner.
Run Line: 1.5 run spread.
F5: First 5 Innings result.
Key Strategy
Analyze starting pitcher matchups (FIP/xERA) and bullpen rest days to find edge in the First 5 Innings markets.

Market Mechanics

Major League Baseball (MLB) is defined by its massive sample size (162 games) and high variance. Successful betting requires understanding starting pitcher dominance, bullpen fatigue, and park factors.

HIGH VOLUME 9 INNINGS
[Image of MLB strike zone and betting zones]

Moneyline (Outright)

Betting on the winner. Be aware of "Listed Pitcher" rules; if a scheduled pitcher changes, bets may be voided.

> NY Yankees: -140
> Boston Red Sox: +120
// Bet $140 on NYY to win $100.

Run Line (Spread)

Standard spread is -1.5 runs. The favorite must win by 2+. Sharp bettors use this to get better odds on heavy favorites.

> LA Dodgers: -1.5 (-110)
> SF Giants: +1.5 (-110)
// LAD must win by 2 or more.

Total Runs (Over/Under)

Wagering on the combined score. Park factors (e.g., Coors Field altitude vs. Oracle Park wind) play a massive role.

Market Line
8.5
Result: 5-4
9 (OVER WINS)

Player Props (High Alpha)

Isolating specific player performance. This market is often inefficient compared to game lines.

Strikeouts (Ks) Pitcher dominance metric.
Total Bases Hits weighted by type.
NRFI No Runs First Inning.
View Live Player Props

First 5 Innings (F5)

Eliminates the bullpen variable. You are betting strictly on the starting pitchers and early offense. Highly recommended when an ace is on the mound for a team with a weak bullpen.

System FAQ

What happens if a starting pitcher changes?

If you selected "Listed Pitchers" mode, your bet is voided and refunded. If you selected "Action", the bet stands but odds may adjust.

Do extra innings count for Totals?

Yes. Unless otherwise specified (e.g., F5 bets), all runs scored in extra innings count towards the Over/Under.