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Today's AFL Multis, Ranked by Model Edge

Every leg shows its win probability, market odds and edge — so you build same game multis on the numbers, not the payout. Updated through the day.

AFL Player Parlay
Darcy Parish Over 16.5 Disposals
1.13 / -769 97.3% Prob +0.1% Edge
Noah Anderson Over 22.5 Disposals
1.13 / -769 96.4% Prob +0.1% Edge
Brodie Kemp Over 0.5 Goals
1.26 / -385 95.8% Prob +0.2% Edge
Liam Ryan Over 0.5 Goals
1.14 / -714 95.1% Prob +0.1% Edge
Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera Over 23.5 Disposals
1.14 / -714 94.6% Prob +0.1% Edge
Isaac Heeney Over 20.5 Disposals
1.13 / -769 94.1% Prob +0.1% Edge
Patrick Cripps Over 19.5 Disposals
1.13 / -769 93.3% Prob 0.0% Edge

Darcy Parish (Essendon) Over 16.5 Disposals (-769)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Alright, footy punters, let's talk Darcy Parish. The man's been a midfield maestro lately, carving up the turf with his disposal wizardry. At Marvel Stadium this Sunday, he's set to feast on the Greater Western Sydney Giants. In his last five home games, Parish has been a possession magnet, averaging a juicy 23.2 disposals. Facing the Giants at home, he's pumped out an even higher 24.4 disposals on average. With a recent average of 25 disposals overall, including solid contested possessions and efficient ball use, Parish is a safe bet to surpass that 16.5 line. Factor in his current hit streak, nailing 11 out of 11 at home and boasting a stellar 19 out of 20 overall, and you've got a recipe for success. The data sings Parish's praises, so expect him to rack up the touches and deliver for us on the disposal front.


Noah Anderson (Gold Coast SUNS) Over 22.5 Disposals (-769)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Noah Anderson is set to shine on familiar turf at People First Stadium as the Gold Coast Suns tackle the Western Bulldogs. Anderson's recent form is red hot, with a stellar average of 30.4 disposals in his last five home games, comfortably surpassing the 22.5 line. His ball-winning prowess, coupled with a high disposalefficiency of 77.2%, makes him a pivotal figure in the Suns' midfield. Against the Bulldogs, he has maintained a solid average of 25.7 disposals in their last five encounters, indicating a knack for stepping up in big games. With an overall hit rate of 10/11, Anderson is a reliable bet to snag the over in disposals. Expect him to be in the thick of the action, racking up possessions and driving the Suns forward.


Brodie Kemp (Carlton) Over 0.5 Goals (-385)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Brodie Kemp, the young gun from Carlton, is one to watch in the upcoming clash against Collingwood at the MCG. With an impressive average of 1.4 goals in his last five away games, Kemp has been a scoring machine on the road. His accuracy in front of goal sits at a solid 50%, making him a reliable option to snag one when the pressure is on. Kemp's ability to get involved in the Blues' forward line is evident, with an average of 5.8 score involvements in his recent away performances. Facing Collingwood, a team he's previously scored against, Kemp is poised to continue his scoring streak. With a current hit streak of 4 away games and a trend of hitting the back of the net consistently, backing Kemp to score over 0.5 goals seems like a smart play for this showdown.


Liam Ryan (St Kilda) Over 0.5 Goals (-714)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Alright, footy punters, let's talk Liam Ryan. The man's on fire, snagging goals left, right, and center. In his last five away games, he's been a scoring machine, averaging a whopping 2 goals per game. His goal accuracy sits at a solid 58%, showing he's deadly when he lines up for a shot. What's more, he's been a key player in setting up scoring opportunities, with an average of 5.4 score involvements per game. Facing off against Geelong, where he's previously bagged an average of 1 goal per game, the stage is set for Ryan to light it up once again. With a current hit streak of 6 away games and an overall hit rate of 11 out of his last 12 games, Ryan is in red-hot form. Backing him to score over 0.5 goals against Geelong is a bet that just makes sense. Trust in Ryan to split the middle and deliver for your wager.


Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera (St Kilda) Over 23.5 Disposals (-714)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Alright, folks, let's talk Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera. The man's been on an absolute tear lately, and the numbers don't lie. In his last five away games, he's been a disposal machine, racking up an average of 33 possessions per match. When facing off against the Geelong Cats, he's been even more dominant, averaging a solid 30.5 disposals. What's even more impressive is his consistency. Wanganeen-Milera boasts a current hit streak of 6 on the road, nailing his disposal line every time. Overall, he's on fire with an impressive 11-game hit streak. With a model predicting him to hit 31.5 disposals against the Cats, and with a line set at 23.5, the smart money is on Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera to snag those touches and then some. So, when it comes to the 'Player Disposals Over/Under' market, all signs point to loading up on the Over for this gun Saint.


Isaac Heeney (Sydney Swans) Over 20.5 Disposals (-769)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Isaac Heeney, the Swans' midfield maestro, is primed to shine in front of the home crowd at the SCG. Over his last 5 home games, Heeney has been a stats machine, averaging a whopping 30.8 disposals, well over the line of 20.5 set for this clash. His recent form is red hot, with an impeccable contested possessions average of 14.2 and a stellar disposal efficiency of 70.9%. He's been a turnover-minimizing force, averaging just 4.8 per game, while racking up 15.6 handballs and 15.2 kicks. Against the Adelaide Crows, he's even more prolific, averaging 17.3 disposals in their recent encounters. With Heeney's current hit streak of 7 at home and 13 overall, the smart money is on him to surpass the 20.5 disposal mark and continue his dominant form.


Patrick Cripps (Carlton) Over 19.5 Disposals (-769)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to dependable midfielders, Patrick Cripps stands tall. His recent form is as sturdy as a seasoned ruckman, averaging a whopping 29 disposals over his last five away games. Cripps isn't just a possession magnet; he's a master at using the ball efficiently, boasting a 60.7% disposal efficiency rate during those matches. Facing Collingwood, a team he historically performs well against, Cripps has averaged 22.8 disposals in their last five encounters. But let's not forget his overall consistency – with a solid streak of nine games exceeding 19.5 disposals, the stars seem aligned for him to continue his dominance in this crucial clash. Backing Cripps to surpass 19.5 disposals feels as safe as a mark in front of an open goal. With his current form and track record against the Magpies, this bet is a prime opportunity to snag a win.


Bombers vs GIANTS Same Game Parlay
SGM
Darcy Parish Bet
Probability +0.1% Edge
Darcy Parish Bet
Probability +0.1% Edge
Darcy Parish Bet
Probability +0.2% Edge
SUNS vs Bulldogs Same Game Parlay
SGM
Noah Anderson Bet
Probability +0.1% Edge
Noah Anderson Bet
Probability +0.1% Edge
Noah Anderson Bet
Probability +0.1% Edge
Magpies vs Blues Same Game Parlay
SGM
Brodie Kemp Bet
Probability +0.2% Edge
Patrick Cripps Bet
Probability 0.0% Edge
Jack Crisp Bet
Probability +0.1% Edge
Cats vs Saints Same Game Parlay
SGM
Liam Ryan Bet
Probability +0.1% Edge
Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera Bet
Probability +0.1% Edge
Cooper Sharman Bet
Probability +0.1% Edge
Swans vs Crows Same Game Parlay
SGM
Isaac Heeney Bet
Probability +0.1% Edge
Darcy Fogarty Bet
Probability +0.1% Edge
Riley Thilthorpe Bet
Probability +0.1% Edge
Kangaroos vs Demons Same Game Parlay
SGM
Caleb Daniel Bet
Probability 0.0% Edge
Jack Darling Bet
Probability +0.1% Edge
Caleb Windsor Bet
Probability 0.0% Edge
Power vs Dockers Same Game Parlay
SGM
Luke Ryan Bet
Probability 0.0% Edge
Andrew Brayshaw Bet
Probability 0.0% Edge
Jye Amiss Bet
Probability +0.1% Edge
Tigers vs Hawks Same Game Parlay
SGM
Jayden Short Bet
Probability 0.0% Edge
Jai Newcombe Bet
Probability 0.0% Edge
Jayden Short Bet
Probability 0.0% Edge
Eagles vs Lions Same Game Parlay
SGM
Logan Morris Bet
Probability 0.0% Edge
Elliot Yeo Bet
Probability 0.0% Edge
Tom McCarthy Bet
Probability 0.0% Edge

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Understand AFL multis

Quick answer

What is an AFL multi bet?

An AFL multi bet combines multiple selections (legs) into one wager where every leg must win for the bet to pay out. The odds from each leg multiply together, so potential returns are higher than a single bet — but the risk compounds with each leg added. A three-leg multi at even money legs has roughly a 12.5% chance of winning versus 50% for a single leg. Bet Better shows leg probability, market odds, and calculated edge for each leg so you can decide whether a multi is worth building based on data rather than just payout appeal.

What you get on this page

Daily AFL multi ideas including same game multis when available, plus a clear breakdown of each leg's probability and edge so you can keep, swap, or reduce legs confidently. For single bet ideas, use Best Bets.

Same Game Multi SGM

All legs come from the same match. Correlation between legs matters — stacking outcomes that rely on the same game script can amplify both reward and risk.

Edge Value

Edge is the gap between model probability and the bookmaker's implied probability from odds. Positive edge on each leg means the multi starts from a position of value rather than compounding poor bets.

Leg Probability Chance

The model's estimated win chance for each leg. Multiply leg probabilities together to see the combined multi probability — this is your reality check on the payout.

Multi vs Same Game Multi — what's the difference?

Fast comparison
Type What it is When it fits Common pitfall
Multi Legs across multiple matches or markets. When you want to combine 2–3 strong edges from different games on the slate. Adding weak legs just to chase a larger payout — every extra leg reduces the combined win probability.
Same Game Multi All legs from a single AFL match. When you have a coherent match narrative and legs that logically fit together. Stacking correlated outcomes without accounting for how one event affects the others.

How to build a better AFL multi in 5 steps

  1. Start with edge. Pick 2–3 legs with the best positive edge, not the longest odds. Edge means the model estimates a higher probability than the bookmaker is pricing.
  2. Check leg probability. Multiply the win chances together — if the combined probability is under 20%, the multi is likely overbuilt for the payout being offered.
  3. Remove weak links. One low-quality leg can kill a multi even if the other legs are strong. Be willing to cut a leg rather than defend it.
  4. Mind correlation in SGM. Avoid stacking outcomes that all rely on the same fragile game script — e.g. a team winning by large margin AND a player having a big disposal game could both collapse if the match is close.
  5. Keep it readable. If you cannot explain clearly why each leg belongs in the multi, the combination is probably overbuilt. Discipline on leg count is the single biggest driver of long-run multi profitability.
Note: This page helps you build smarter multis — it is not a guarantee of outcomes. For single bet analysis, use Best Bets or Props. Always bet responsibly and within your limits.
Data first

Market odds, model probability, and edge are shown for every leg — so you can judge each selection on numbers rather than feel.

Model driven

Multis are ranked from live model inputs and market prices, then updated as odds move throughout the day.

Responsible betting

Betting involves risk and variance. Use stake limits, never chase losses, and only wager what you can afford to lose.

AFL Multis FAQ

Quick answers
What is an AFL multi bet?

An AFL multi bet combines multiple selections (legs) into a single wager where every leg must win for the bet to pay out. The odds from each leg multiply together, so the potential return is higher than any individual leg — but the probability of winning falls with every leg added. A three-leg multi where each leg is a 50% chance has only a 12.5% combined probability of winning, which is important to understand before building.

What is a Same Game Multi (SGM) in AFL?

A Same Game Multi (SGM) is a multi where all legs come from a single AFL match — for example combining the match result, a player disposal total, and a team score. SGMs are popular because they create high payouts from one game, but correlation between legs is the key risk. If the legs are all dependent on the same game script (such as one team winning big), a single unexpected event can collapse the entire multi simultaneously.

How do AFL multi odds and payouts work?

AFL multi odds are calculated by multiplying the decimal odds of each leg. A three-leg multi with legs at $1.80, $1.90, and $2.00 would produce combined odds of $1.80 × $1.90 × $2.00 = $6.84. If all legs win, your return equals your stake multiplied by the combined odds. If any single leg loses, the entire multi loses — you receive nothing for the legs that did win.

Are more legs always better in an AFL multi?

No — adding legs increases the potential payout but compounds the probability of failure. Each new leg multiplies in both the odds and the chance of loss. A two-leg multi with high-edge legs is almost always more efficient than a five-leg multi padded with weak selections. The most common mistake in multi betting is adding extra legs to reach a "nice" payout number without checking whether those legs actually have positive edge.

What does edge mean on this page?

Edge is the difference between Bet Better's model probability for a leg and the implied probability from the bookmaker's odds. A leg with model probability of 65% against odds implying 55% has a +10% edge — meaning the model estimates the true chance is higher than what the bookmaker is pricing. Positive edge on each individual leg means the multi starts from a mathematically advantaged position rather than compounding overpriced selections.

How often are AFL multis updated?

Multi legs are updated as market prices and model inputs change throughout the day. When bookmakers adjust their odds in response to betting volume or news, the edge on each leg changes — which can upgrade a leg, downgrade it, or remove it from the ranked list. Between rounds or when no qualifying edges are available, the page will show an aggregating data notice until new edges appear. Always check the page close to game time for the most current leg rankings.

What is the difference between a multi and a parlay?

Multi and parlay refer to the same bet type — multiple selections combined into one wager where all legs must win. In Australian betting, the term "multi" is used. In North American betting, the same bet is called a "parlay." The mechanics are identical: odds multiply across legs, all legs must win, and losing one leg loses the entire bet. Bet Better uses "multi" for Australian markets and "parlay" interchangeably in technical contexts.

Does Bet Better guarantee wins on AFL multis?

No. Bet Better provides model probabilities, market odds, edge calculations, and reasoning to support more informed multi-building decisions — but outcomes are never guaranteed. All betting involves variance and risk. No model, regardless of accuracy, can eliminate the inherent uncertainty in sports outcomes. If gambling is affecting your health or finances, contact the National Gambling Helpline on 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.