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Today's AFL Multis, Ranked by Model Edge

Every leg shows its win probability, market odds and edge — so you build same game multis on the numbers, not the payout. Updated through the day.

AFL Player Parlay
Darcy Parish Over 16.5 Disposals
1.13 / -769 97.3% Prob +0.1% Edge
Noah Anderson Over 22.5 Disposals
1.13 / -769 96.4% Prob +0.1% Edge
Brodie Kemp Over 0.5 Goals
1.29 / -345 95.8% Prob +0.2% Edge
Liam Ryan Over 0.5 Goals
1.13 / -769 95.1% Prob +0.1% Edge
Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera Over 23.5 Disposals
1.13 / -769 94.6% Prob +0.1% Edge
Isaac Heeney Over 20.5 Disposals
1.13 / -769 94.1% Prob +0.1% Edge
Jack Crisp Over 14.5 Disposals
1.17 / -588 93.2% Prob +0.1% Edge

Darcy Parish (Essendon) Over 16.5 Disposals (-769)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Alright, footy punters, buckle up for some Darcy Parish magic at Marvel Stadium this Sunday! The stats are screaming "back him in" for Over 16.5 disposals against the GWS Giants. In his last five home games, Parish has been a midfield maestro, averaging a solid 23.2 disposals, with a pristine 70.7% disposal efficiency. Plus, he's been a turnover titan, coughing up possession only 2.4 times per game. When facing the Giants recently, Parish has elevated his game, averaging a whopping 24.4 disposals. His overall form is red hot, with an average of 25 disposals in the last five games. And with an impressive 88.5% implied probability for this bet, the odds are stacked in our favor. Ride the Parish train to disposals glory this weekend!


Noah Anderson (Gold Coast SUNS) Over 22.5 Disposals (-769)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player prop bet in the AFL, you want a mix of consistency, form, and matchup advantages. Noah Anderson ticks all those boxes heading into the clash at People First Stadium. Over his last five home games, Anderson has been a midfield maestro, averaging an impressive 30.4 disposals. What's more, his recent showdowns with the Western Bulldogs have seen him tally an average of 25.7 disposals, comfortably above the 22.5 line set for this game. With a stellar disposal efficiency of 77.2% at home and a knack for gaining significant metres, Anderson is primed to dominate the contest. Backing him to surpass 22.5 disposals is a smart play, given his current hot streak and the historical matchup data.


Brodie Kemp (Carlton) Over 0.5 Goals (-345)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Looking at the numbers, Brodie Kemp is on fire away from home with an average of 1.4 goals in his last five games. With a solid 50.0% goal accuracy and averaging 3.6 shots at goal per game, he's been a standout performer for the Carlton Blues. Kemp's ability to impact the scoreboard is further emphasized by his average of 5.8 score involvements and 3.2 marks inside 50 in his recent away games. Facing Collingwood, a team he averages 1.4 goals against in his last five encounters, Kemp's current form and historical performance against the Magpies make him a prime candidate to snag at least one goal in this upcoming clash at the MCG. Betting on Kemp to go over 0.5 goals seems like a smart play given his recent goal-scoring prowess and consistent impact on the Blues' attacking plays.


Liam Ryan (St Kilda) Over 0.5 Goals (-769)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player to snag a goal, Liam Ryan stands out as a prime target. His recent form on the road has been nothing short of impressive, averaging 2 goals over his last 5 away clashes. And let's not forget his deadly accuracy of 58% in those games, making every shot count. Facing off against Geelong, Ryan has historically found the back of the net at least once in his last 5 matchups against them away from home. With a hit streak of 6 goals in his away games and an overall hit rate of 91.7% in his last 12 outings, Ryan is in red-hot form to bag one against the Cats. Considering his consistent goal-scoring record and sharp accuracy, taking the Over on Ryan to kick at least one major at GMHBA Stadium seems like a smart play for punters looking to cash in on his scoring prowess.


Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera (St Kilda) Over 23.5 Disposals (-769)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera is a midfield maestro who's been tearing up the field lately. His last five away games have seen him average a whopping 33 disposals, well above the line of 23.5 set for him in this clash against Geelong Cats. This gun player's precision is evident with a solid 65.3% disposal efficiency, ensuring he maximizes every possession. His ability to find space and create opportunities is highlighted by his average of 23.8 kicks per game, while also showcasing a strong defensive game with 3.2 intercepts on average. Facing Geelong, Nasiah has historically performed even better, averaging 30.5 disposals in his last five matchups. With a current hit streak of 6 away games and 11 overall, Nasiah is in red-hot form and primed to exceed expectations once again. Bet confidently on Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera to surpass 23.5 disposals in this showdown.


Isaac Heeney (Sydney Swans) Over 20.5 Disposals (-769)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Isaac Heeney is primed to shine on his home turf at the SCG against the Adelaide Crows. With his recent form boasting an impressive average of 30.8 disposals in the last five home games, Heeney has been a midfield maestro, consistently delivering in contested possessions and ball efficiency. His ability to cover the ground is evident in his average of 465.4 meters gained. Facing the Adelaide Crows, whom he has historically outperformed with an average of 19.8 disposals in their previous encounters, Heeney is in a favorable position to surpass the set line of 20.5 disposals. With a current hit streak of 7 at home and a flawless overall hit rate of 13/13, Heeney is a reliable bet to showcase his ball-winning prowess once again.


Jack Crisp (Collingwood) Over 14.5 Disposals (-588)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to reliable midfield performers, Jack Crisp stands out as a steady hand in the engine room for the Collingwood Magpies. In his last five home games, Crisp has been a model of consistency, averaging a healthy 20 disposals per game. His recent form against Carlton has also been impressive, averaging 21 disposals in their previous encounters. With a strong contested possessions average of 8.2 and a knack for intercepting opposition attacks (3.8 per game), Crisp is poised to make an impact in this matchup at the MCG. His exceptional disposal efficiency of 77.2% further cements his ability to find targets and set up plays effectively. Backed by his solid metrics and facing a familiar foe, Crisp looks primed to surpass the 14.5 disposals line comfortably in this clash.


Bombers vs GIANTS Same Game Parlay
SGM
Darcy Parish Bet
Probability +0.1% Edge
Darcy Parish Bet
Probability +0.1% Edge
Darcy Parish Bet
Probability +0.2% Edge
Magpies vs Blues Same Game Parlay
SGM
Brodie Kemp Bet
Probability +0.2% Edge
Jack Crisp Bet
Probability +0.1% Edge
Harry McKay Bet
Probability 0.0% Edge
SUNS vs Bulldogs Same Game Parlay
SGM
Noah Anderson Bet
Probability +0.1% Edge
Noah Anderson Bet
Probability +0.1% Edge
Noah Anderson Bet
Probability +0.1% Edge
Cats vs Saints Same Game Parlay
SGM
Liam Ryan Bet
Probability +0.1% Edge
Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera Bet
Probability +0.1% Edge
Cooper Sharman Bet
Probability +0.1% Edge
Swans vs Crows Same Game Parlay
SGM
Isaac Heeney Bet
Probability +0.1% Edge
Darcy Fogarty Bet
Probability +0.1% Edge
Riley Thilthorpe Bet
Probability +0.1% Edge
Kangaroos vs Demons Same Game Parlay
SGM
Caleb Daniel Bet
Probability +0.1% Edge
Jack Darling Bet
Probability +0.1% Edge
Caleb Windsor Bet
Probability 0.0% Edge
Power vs Dockers Same Game Parlay
SGM
Andrew Brayshaw Bet
Probability 0.0% Edge
Jye Amiss Bet
Probability +0.1% Edge
Luke Ryan Bet
Probability 0.0% Edge
Eagles vs Lions Same Game Parlay
SGM
Logan Morris Bet
Probability 0.0% Edge
Elliot Yeo Bet
Probability 0.0% Edge
Tom McCarthy Bet
Probability 0.0% Edge
Tigers vs Hawks Same Game Parlay
SGM
Cam Mackenzie Bet
Probability 0.0% Edge
Jayden Short Bet
Probability 0.0% Edge
Jai Newcombe Bet
Probability 0.0% Edge

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Understand AFL multis

Quick answer

What is an AFL multi bet?

An AFL multi bet combines multiple selections (legs) into one wager where every leg must win for the bet to pay out. The odds from each leg multiply together, so potential returns are higher than a single bet — but the risk compounds with each leg added. A three-leg multi at even money legs has roughly a 12.5% chance of winning versus 50% for a single leg. Bet Better shows leg probability, market odds, and calculated edge for each leg so you can decide whether a multi is worth building based on data rather than just payout appeal.

What you get on this page

Daily AFL multi ideas including same game multis when available, plus a clear breakdown of each leg's probability and edge so you can keep, swap, or reduce legs confidently. For single bet ideas, use Best Bets.

Same Game Multi SGM

All legs come from the same match. Correlation between legs matters — stacking outcomes that rely on the same game script can amplify both reward and risk.

Edge Value

Edge is the gap between model probability and the bookmaker's implied probability from odds. Positive edge on each leg means the multi starts from a position of value rather than compounding poor bets.

Leg Probability Chance

The model's estimated win chance for each leg. Multiply leg probabilities together to see the combined multi probability — this is your reality check on the payout.

Multi vs Same Game Multi — what's the difference?

Fast comparison
Type What it is When it fits Common pitfall
Multi Legs across multiple matches or markets. When you want to combine 2–3 strong edges from different games on the slate. Adding weak legs just to chase a larger payout — every extra leg reduces the combined win probability.
Same Game Multi All legs from a single AFL match. When you have a coherent match narrative and legs that logically fit together. Stacking correlated outcomes without accounting for how one event affects the others.

How to build a better AFL multi in 5 steps

  1. Start with edge. Pick 2–3 legs with the best positive edge, not the longest odds. Edge means the model estimates a higher probability than the bookmaker is pricing.
  2. Check leg probability. Multiply the win chances together — if the combined probability is under 20%, the multi is likely overbuilt for the payout being offered.
  3. Remove weak links. One low-quality leg can kill a multi even if the other legs are strong. Be willing to cut a leg rather than defend it.
  4. Mind correlation in SGM. Avoid stacking outcomes that all rely on the same fragile game script — e.g. a team winning by large margin AND a player having a big disposal game could both collapse if the match is close.
  5. Keep it readable. If you cannot explain clearly why each leg belongs in the multi, the combination is probably overbuilt. Discipline on leg count is the single biggest driver of long-run multi profitability.
Note: This page helps you build smarter multis — it is not a guarantee of outcomes. For single bet analysis, use Best Bets or Props. Always bet responsibly and within your limits.
Data first

Market odds, model probability, and edge are shown for every leg — so you can judge each selection on numbers rather than feel.

Model driven

Multis are ranked from live model inputs and market prices, then updated as odds move throughout the day.

Responsible betting

Betting involves risk and variance. Use stake limits, never chase losses, and only wager what you can afford to lose.

AFL Multis FAQ

Quick answers
What is an AFL multi bet?

An AFL multi bet combines multiple selections (legs) into a single wager where every leg must win for the bet to pay out. The odds from each leg multiply together, so the potential return is higher than any individual leg — but the probability of winning falls with every leg added. A three-leg multi where each leg is a 50% chance has only a 12.5% combined probability of winning, which is important to understand before building.

What is a Same Game Multi (SGM) in AFL?

A Same Game Multi (SGM) is a multi where all legs come from a single AFL match — for example combining the match result, a player disposal total, and a team score. SGMs are popular because they create high payouts from one game, but correlation between legs is the key risk. If the legs are all dependent on the same game script (such as one team winning big), a single unexpected event can collapse the entire multi simultaneously.

How do AFL multi odds and payouts work?

AFL multi odds are calculated by multiplying the decimal odds of each leg. A three-leg multi with legs at $1.80, $1.90, and $2.00 would produce combined odds of $1.80 × $1.90 × $2.00 = $6.84. If all legs win, your return equals your stake multiplied by the combined odds. If any single leg loses, the entire multi loses — you receive nothing for the legs that did win.

Are more legs always better in an AFL multi?

No — adding legs increases the potential payout but compounds the probability of failure. Each new leg multiplies in both the odds and the chance of loss. A two-leg multi with high-edge legs is almost always more efficient than a five-leg multi padded with weak selections. The most common mistake in multi betting is adding extra legs to reach a "nice" payout number without checking whether those legs actually have positive edge.

What does edge mean on this page?

Edge is the difference between Bet Better's model probability for a leg and the implied probability from the bookmaker's odds. A leg with model probability of 65% against odds implying 55% has a +10% edge — meaning the model estimates the true chance is higher than what the bookmaker is pricing. Positive edge on each individual leg means the multi starts from a mathematically advantaged position rather than compounding overpriced selections.

How often are AFL multis updated?

Multi legs are updated as market prices and model inputs change throughout the day. When bookmakers adjust their odds in response to betting volume or news, the edge on each leg changes — which can upgrade a leg, downgrade it, or remove it from the ranked list. Between rounds or when no qualifying edges are available, the page will show an aggregating data notice until new edges appear. Always check the page close to game time for the most current leg rankings.

What is the difference between a multi and a parlay?

Multi and parlay refer to the same bet type — multiple selections combined into one wager where all legs must win. In Australian betting, the term "multi" is used. In North American betting, the same bet is called a "parlay." The mechanics are identical: odds multiply across legs, all legs must win, and losing one leg loses the entire bet. Bet Better uses "multi" for Australian markets and "parlay" interchangeably in technical contexts.

Does Bet Better guarantee wins on AFL multis?

No. Bet Better provides model probabilities, market odds, edge calculations, and reasoning to support more informed multi-building decisions — but outcomes are never guaranteed. All betting involves variance and risk. No model, regardless of accuracy, can eliminate the inherent uncertainty in sports outcomes. If gambling is affecting your health or finances, contact the National Gambling Helpline on 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.